
Volume
$18K
Txns
742
Traders
184
Fees
$0
Ends
Sep 30, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Damascus Governorate, or any target within it, between September 1, 7:20 PM ET, and September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact within Damascus Governorate. Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land in Damascus Governorate, or cause damage. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and video evidence. If there is ambiguity over whether a strike occurred, or whether the drone/missile was intercepted, this market will resolve based on whatever is most likely according to a consensus of credible reporting and video evidence.
Trades
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?
No 100%$0volume
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?
No 100%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
No 99%$0volume
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 7?
No 100%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 93%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?
No 100%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +0.80 | $0 | |
| 9mo | HolyMoses7 | No / 99.9¢ | +0.80 | $0.8 | |
| 9mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.00 | $0 | |
| 9mo | 0xc45A | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 9mo | Fain | No / 99.8¢ | +10.00 | $9.98 | |
| 9mo | vbm | No / 99.8¢ | -10.00 | $9.98 | |
| 9mo | vbm | No / 99.8¢ | -20.00 | $20 | |
| 9mo | Fain | No / 99.8¢ | +20.00 | $20 | |
| 9mo | SVOI | Yes / 2.2¢ | -32.67 | $0.72 | |
| 9mo | asd456 | No / 97.8¢ | -32.67 | $32 | |
| 9mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +11.00 | $0.01 | |
| 9mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +18.40 | $0.02 | |
| 9mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +4.19 | $0 | |
| 9mo | prostoLUCK | No / 99.8¢ | -26.54 | $26.5 | |
| 9mo | Muslii | No / 99.9¢ | +100.13 | $100 | |
| 9mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +27.00 | $0.03 | |
| 9mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +13.00 | $0.01 | |
| 9mo | ColoradoWeed | No / 98.0¢ | -109.89 | $108 | |
| 9mo | SVOI | Yes / 2.0¢ | -109.89 | $2.2 | |
| 9mo | 0x6cD96187d6A9D0876291A99D5f278956AB6D05E5-1759046086991 | No / 99.8¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 9mo | prostoLUCK | No / 99.8¢ | -1.00 | $1 | |
| 9mo | prostoLUCK | No / 90.9¢ | +27.47 | $25 | |
| 9mo | KazakhJournalist | No / 90.9¢ | -27.47 | $25 | |
| 9mo | guiltytrades | No / 90.6¢ | -1.76 | $1.59 | |
| 9mo | belka.game | No / 90.6¢ | +1.76 | $1.59 |
1–25