
Volume
$76K
Txns
396
Traders
109
Fees
$0
Ends
Jul 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Damascus Governorate, or any target within it, between July 15 and July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact within Damascus Governorate. Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land in Damascus Governorate, or cause damage. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and video evidence. If there is ambiguity over whether a strike occurred, or whether the drone/missile was intercepted, this market will resolve based on whatever is most likely according to a consensus of credible reporting and video evidence.
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 88%$27.8Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Yes 100%$15.7Mvolume
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
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US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 65%$26.2Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Yes 100%$7.12Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 88%$3.69Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11mo | whyuasostupid | No / 0.1¢ | -18.25 | $0.02 | |
| 11mo | Nitroglycerin | Yes / 99.9¢ | -18.25 | $18.2 | |
| 11mo | whyuasostupid | No / 0.1¢ | -11.51 | $0.01 | |
| 11mo | sargon | Yes / 99.9¢ | -11.51 | $11.5 | |
| 11mo | Reved | Yes / 99.9¢ | -19.58 | $19.6 | |
| 11mo | whyuasostupid | No / 0.1¢ | -19.58 | $0.02 | |
| 11mo | shsyci | Yes / 99.9¢ | -307.00 | $307 | |
| 11mo | whyuasostupid | No / 0.1¢ | -307.00 | $0.31 | |
| 11mo | whyuasostupid | No / 0.1¢ | -31.11 | $0.03 | |
| 11mo | KoninaAntonina | Yes / 99.9¢ | -177.00 | $177 | |
| 11mo | MajidJavadi | Yes / 99.9¢ | +145.89 | $146 | |
| 11mo | Ram19 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -654.11 | $653 | |
| 11mo | MajidJavadi | Yes / 99.9¢ | +654.11 | $653 | |
| 11mo | 0x2jsdkvfhjaklsdfnkjwebnksdnwerewe | Yes / 99.8¢ | +3,000.00 | $2.99K | |
| 11mo | Jdavidsonchaput | No / 0.2¢ | +3,000.00 | $6 | |
| 11mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | No / 0.1¢ | +9.00 | $0.01 | |
| 11mo | CaptainCoinflip | Yes / 99.9¢ | -625.45 | $625 | |
| 11mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | No / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 11mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | No / 0.1¢ | +617.99 | $0.62 | |
| 11mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | No / 0.1¢ | +9.00 | $0.01 | |
| 11mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | No / 0.1¢ | +9.00 | $0.01 | |
| 11mo | 0x2jsdkvfhjaklsdfnkjwebnksdnwerewe | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,398.44 | $1.4K | |
| 11mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | No / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 11mo | qwertzu | No / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 11mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | No / 0.1¢ | +13.00 | $0.01 |
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