
Volume
$709K
Txns
8,419
Traders
1,087
Fees
$25
Ends
May 24, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted). Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution. Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?
No 100%$0volume
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
No 89%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 100%$0volume
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?
No 100%$0volume
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
No 93%$0volume
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?
No 100%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1mo | looppau | No / 99.9¢ | +2,701.14 | $2.7K | |
| 1mo | 99centrug | No / 99.9¢ | +450.00 | $450 | |
| 1mo | triklozoid | Yes / 0.1¢ | -48.89 | $0.05 | |
| 1mo | NeoOracle | No / 99.9¢ | +3,003.00 | $3K | |
| 1mo | Ordon | No / 99.9¢ | +2,987.03 | $2.98K | |
| 1mo | 99centrug | No / 99.9¢ | +450.00 | $450 | |
| 1mo | 99centrug | No / 99.9¢ | +450.00 | $450 | |
| 1mo | 99centrug | No / 99.9¢ | +450.00 | $450 | |
| 1mo | bezneslawt | No / 99.9¢ | -11,031.30 | $11K | |
| 1mo | Crypto-Well | Yes / 0.1¢ | -391.24 | $0.39 | |
| 1mo | TENETENET | Yes / 0.1¢ | -100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1mo | triklozoid | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1.11 | $0 | |
| 1mo | cassettes6 | No / 99.9¢ | -1.11 | $1.11 | |
| 1mo | OraculumNobius | No / 99.9¢ | +221.58 | $221 | |
| 1mo | HerrieDavis | Yes / 0.1¢ | -5.47 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | Timolol45 | No / 99.9¢ | -227.05 | $227 | |
| 1mo | destiny | No / 99.9¢ | -300.00 | $300 | |
| 1mo | OraculumNobius | No / 99.9¢ | +300.00 | $300 | |
| 1mo | OraculumNobius | No / 99.9¢ | +166.19 | $166 | |
| 1mo | 0x1ecbA6467c9FF27Cbedd738364380933Eeee9296-1770668539221 | No / 99.9¢ | -166.19 | $166 | |
| 1mo | eax | No / 99.9¢ | -302.17 | $302 | |
| 1mo | OraculumNobius | No / 99.9¢ | +302.17 | $302 | |
| 1mo | Stingyowl | No / 99.9¢ | -10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 1mo | OraculumNobius | No / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 1mo | OraculumNobius | No / 99.9¢ | +1.06 | $1.06 |
1–25