
Volume
$26K
Txns
715
Traders
169
Fees
$1
Liquidity
$16,396
Ends
Jun 12, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted). Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution. Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?
No 100%$3.83Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 95%$18.1Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 84%$22.2Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Yes 100%$10.1Mvolume
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
No 99%$63.4Mvolume
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?
No 100%$1.02Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13m | Haradwaith | No / 95.0¢ | -27.00 | $25.6 | |
| 13m | 0x238f...983015 | Yes / 5.0¢ | -27.00 | $1.35 | |
| 23m | youcaiz6 | No / 95.0¢ | +5.26 | $5 | |
| 23m | Haradwaith | No / 95.0¢ | -5.26 | $5 | |
| 23m | Haradwaith | No / 94.0¢ | -4.67 | $4.39 | |
| 23m | J25525 | Yes / 6.0¢ | -81.20 | $4.87 | |
| 23m | OkieDokiePeon | Yes / 6.0¢ | +76.53 | $4.59 | |
| 1h | J25525 | Yes / 8.0¢ | -18.80 | $1.5 | |
| 1h | zyunqjnjqqq | Yes / 8.0¢ | +35.10 | $2.81 | |
| 1h | polonioxz | No / 92.0¢ | +16.30 | $15 | |
| 1h | yiujijinm | No / 94.0¢ | +5.56 | $5.23 | |
| 1h | OkieDokiePeon | Yes / 6.0¢ | +5.56 | $0.33 | |
| 1h | mkllmmqoppkpqp | No / 94.0¢ | +6.53 | $6.14 | |
| 1h | OkieDokiePeon | Yes / 6.0¢ | +6.53 | $0.39 | |
| 1h | iwuhiuhqhw | No / 94.0¢ | +6.39 | $6.01 | |
| 1h | OkieDokiePeon | Yes / 6.0¢ | +6.39 | $0.38 | |
| 1h | innjknknk | No / 94.0¢ | +5.66 | $5.32 | |
| 1h | OkieDokiePeon | Yes / 6.0¢ | +5.66 | $0.34 | |
| 1h | ufjionjeiofnnfio | No / 94.0¢ | +5.34 | $5.02 | |
| 1h | OkieDokiePeon | Yes / 6.0¢ | +5.34 | $0.32 | |
| 1h | OkieDokiePeon | Yes / 6.0¢ | +5.62 | $0.34 | |
| 1h | zpixioipo | No / 94.0¢ | +5.62 | $5.28 | |
| 1h | philwat | No / 94.0¢ | +5.17 | $4.86 | |
| 1h | OkieDokiePeon | Yes / 6.0¢ | +5.17 | $0.31 | |
| 2h | Chuggo1 | No / 94.0¢ | +77.79 | $73.1 |
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