
Volume
$1K
Txns
124
Traders
43
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$2,424
Ends
Jun 15, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement relating to vessel traffic, transit management, tolling, or fee collection in the Strait of Hormuz, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between Iran and Oman between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Statements describing talks, proposals, negotiations, or non-finalized frameworks that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not qualify. An agreement will qualify as a mutual agreement if it is confirmed as a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if the agreement isn’t formally announced by both governments. Agreements that include Iran and Oman as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Iran and Oman; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
No 62%$40Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
No 71%$6.69Mvolume
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?
Yes 100%$6.66Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
No 88%$8.39Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
No 91%$22.2Mvolume
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?
Yes 100%$1.98Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | S888 | Yes / 37.0¢ | +20.00 | $7.4 | |
| 1h | Alex88best | Yes / 36.2¢ | -66.16 | $23.9 | |
| 1h | TerranSupremacy | Yes / 35.0¢ | +4.84 | $1.69 | |
| 1h | Ogre-Magi | Yes / 35.0¢ | +16.58 | $5.8 | |
| 1h | TerranSupremacy | Yes / 37.0¢ | +14.49 | $5.36 | |
| 1h | Ogre-Magi | Yes / 36.0¢ | +10.25 | $3.69 | |
| 2h | 0xe637BE728ef688e25e9e1bc511590e70f43B834F-1779578229223 | Yes / 43.0¢ | +2.33 | $1 | |
| 2h | TerranSupremacy | Yes / 43.0¢ | -2.33 | $1 | |
| 4h | AJSV | Yes / 37.0¢ | +40.00 | $14.8 | |
| 4h | LargeChips | No / 63.0¢ | +40.00 | $25.2 | |
| 4h | LargeChips | No / 62.0¢ | +30.00 | $18.6 | |
| 4h | PPMT | Yes / 38.0¢ | +30.00 | $11.4 | |
| 4h | TerranSupremacy | Yes / 37.0¢ | +13.33 | $4.93 | |
| 4h | puposalbani | No / 63.0¢ | -3.25 | $2.05 | |
| 4h | LargeChips | No / 63.0¢ | +16.58 | $10.4 | |
| 4h | iPhone5 | Yes / 38.0¢ | +8.00 | $3.04 | |
| 4h | LargeChips | No / 62.0¢ | +8.00 | $4.96 | |
| 5h | lll999 | No / 60.0¢ | -9.36 | $5.62 | |
| 5h | puposalbani | No / 63.0¢ | -1.75 | $1.1 | |
| 5h | Saleem369 | Yes / 39.5¢ | -11.11 | $4.39 | |
| 5h | Drunken-Mentat | No / 55.0¢ | +11.11 | $6.11 | |
| 5h | Saleem369 | Yes / 45.0¢ | +11.11 | $5 | |
| 5h | Drunken-Mentat | No / 55.0¢ | +42.77 | $23.5 | |
| 5h | lll999 | No / 57.0¢ | +9.36 | $5.34 | |
| 5h | projectparrot | Yes / 44.6¢ | +60.13 | $26.8 |
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