
Volume
$94K
Txns
811
Traders
202
Fees
$0
Ends
Sep 30, 2024
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out a military strike against the U.S. military, inclusive of all U.S. military ships, planes, bases and other infrastructure, between August 25 and September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Iranian missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets will not be considered for this market. Strikes on U.S. military unmanned aerial vehicles/projectiles and U.S. commercial/civilian ships will NOT count toward a "Yes" resolution. Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks on the U.S. military by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is official statements from the U.S. and Iranian governments, however a consensus of credible may also be used.
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Yes 97%$71.2Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 100%$15.4Mvolume
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Yes 100%$4.81Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Yes 98%$37.6Mvolume
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
No 99%$69.5Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Yes 99%$10.3Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | DrK666 | No / 99.9¢ | +279.00 | $279 | |
| 1y | 50Whence | No / 99.9¢ | -200.00 | $200 | |
| 1y | pootytherewardfarmer | Yes / 0.1¢ | +79.00 | $0.08 | |
| 1y | ImJustKen | Yes / 0.1¢ | +3,000.00 | $3 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -1,886.00 | $1.88K | |
| 1y | DrK666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2,000.00 | $2 | |
| 1y | ImJustKen | Yes / 0.1¢ | +3,000.00 | $3 | |
| 1y | Shirogoroff | Yes / 0.1¢ | +51.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | 50Whence | No / 99.9¢ | +9,937.00 | $9.93K | |
| 1y | kingfisher | No / 99.5¢ | +700.00 | $697 | |
| 1y | trav | Yes / 0.5¢ | +1,000.00 | $5 | |
| 1y | polyproguy | No / 99.5¢ | +300.00 | $299 | |
| 1y | kingfisher | Yes / 0.3¢ | +2,585.77 | $7.76 | |
| 1y | europe123 | Yes / 0.3¢ | -2,585.77 | $7.76 | |
| 1y | Musubi | Yes / 1.3¢ | +769.23 | $10 | |
| 1y | 50Whence | No / 98.7¢ | +214.23 | $211 | |
| 1y | 50Whence | No / 98.7¢ | +555.00 | $548 | |
| 1y | europe123 | Yes / 1.1¢ | +534.90 | $5.88 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 98.9¢ | +534.90 | $529 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 98.9¢ | +454.55 | $450 | |
| 1y | Musubi | Yes / 1.1¢ | +454.55 | $5 | |
| 1y | 50Whence | No / 98.9¢ | +222.00 | $220 | |
| 1y | 50Whence | No / 98.9¢ | +222.00 | $220 | |
| 1y | Musubi | Yes / 1.1¢ | +454.55 | $5 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 98.9¢ | +10.55 | $10.4 |
1–25