
Volume
$2M
Txns
7,736
Traders
1,317
Fees
$0
Ends
Nov 30, 2024
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran initiates a military action on Israeli soil, airspace, maritime territory or any official Israeli embassy or consulate between October 31, 12:00 PM ET and November 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a "military action" will be considered to be any use of force executed by Iran on Israeli soil, airspace, maritime territory or any official Israeli embassy or consulate (e.g. if a weapons depot on Israeli soil is hit by an Iranian missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Iranian government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market. Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks on Israel by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market. In the case that the "Yes" resolution criteria are met prior to this market's resolution date, this market will resolve immediately.
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 83%$24.4Mvolume
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Yes 100%$4.57Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 53%$24.6Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 75%$19.3Mvolume
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 82%$37.5Mvolume
Israel closes its airspace by June 10?
No 100%$1.54Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | gaffy3r | Yes / 0.4¢ | -1,930.32 | $7.72 | |
| 1y | kjihiuhi | No / 99.5¢ | -6,480.48 | $6.45K | |
| 1y | salunkhe | Yes / 0.5¢ | -4,550.16 | $22.8 | |
| 1y | 👑_King_George_👑 | No / 99.9¢ | -106.29 | $106 | |
| 1y | AIisTheNewWalkingDead | No / 99.9¢ | +23,444.67 | $23.4K | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -2,538.38 | $2.54K | |
| 1y | salunkhe | Yes / 0.1¢ | +20,000.00 | $20 | |
| 1y | gaffy3r | Yes / 0.2¢ | +800.00 | $1.6 | |
| 1y | gaffy3r | Yes / 0.5¢ | -10.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | XiJinPing-478 | No / 99.5¢ | -10.00 | $9.95 | |
| 1y | XiJinPing-478 | No / 99.5¢ | -50.00 | $49.8 | |
| 1y | gaffy3r | Yes / 0.5¢ | -50.00 | $0.25 | |
| 1y | XiJinPing-478 | No / 99.5¢ | -53.00 | $52.7 | |
| 1y | gaffy3r | Yes / 0.5¢ | -53.00 | $0.27 | |
| 1y | kabina | No / 99.9¢ | +501.50 | $501 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -501.50 | $501 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -382.52 | $382 | |
| 1y | MMousse | Yes / 0.1¢ | +55.00 | $0.06 | |
| 1y | alamedik | No / 99.9¢ | +565.12 | $565 | |
| 1y | MMousse | Yes / 0.1¢ | +105.87 | $0.11 | |
| 1y | Rogu | No / 99.9¢ | -21.73 | $21.7 | |
| 1y | Gusjj9753 | No / 99.9¢ | +0.60 | $0.6 | |
| 1y | MMousse | Yes / 0.1¢ | +0.60 | $0 | |
| 1y | kajj38ujh | No / 99.8¢ | +0.58 | $0.58 | |
| 1y | Geromi | No / 99.8¢ | -0.58 | $0.58 |
1–25