
Volume
$2M
Txns
7,738
Traders
1,317
Fees
$0
Ends
Nov 30, 2024
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran initiates a military action on Israeli soil, airspace, maritime territory or any official Israeli embassy or consulate between October 31, 12:00 PM ET and November 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a "military action" will be considered to be any use of force executed by Iran on Israeli soil, airspace, maritime territory or any official Israeli embassy or consulate (e.g. if a weapons depot on Israeli soil is hit by an Iranian missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Iranian government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market. Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks on Israel by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market. In the case that the "Yes" resolution criteria are met prior to this market's resolution date, this market will resolve immediately.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | gaffy3r | Yes / 0.4¢ | -1,930.32 | $7.72 | |
| 1y | kjihiuhi | No / 99.5¢ | -6,480.48 | $6.45K | |
| 1y | salunkhe | Yes / 0.5¢ | -4,550.16 | $22.8 | |
| 1y | 👑_King_George_👑 | No / 99.9¢ | -106.29 | $106 | |
| 1y | AIisTheNewWalkingDead | No / 99.9¢ | +23,444.67 | $23.4K | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -2,538.38 | $2.54K | |
| 1y | salunkhe | Yes / 0.1¢ | +20,000.00 | $20 | |
| 1y | gaffy3r | Yes / 0.2¢ | +800.00 | $1.6 | |
| 1y | gaffy3r | Yes / 0.5¢ | -10.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | XiJinPing-478 | No / 99.5¢ | -10.00 | $9.95 | |
| 1y | XiJinPing-478 | No / 99.5¢ | -50.00 | $49.8 | |
| 1y | gaffy3r | Yes / 0.5¢ | -50.00 | $0.25 | |
| 1y | XiJinPing-478 | No / 99.5¢ | -53.00 | $52.7 | |
| 1y | gaffy3r | Yes / 0.5¢ | -53.00 | $0.27 | |
| 1y | kabina | No / 99.9¢ | +501.50 | $501 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -501.50 | $501 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -382.52 | $382 | |
| 1y | MMousse | Yes / 0.1¢ | +55.00 | $0.06 | |
| 1y | alamedik | No / 99.9¢ | +565.12 | $565 | |
| 1y | MMousse | Yes / 0.1¢ | +105.87 | $0.11 | |
| 1y | Rogu | No / 99.9¢ | -21.73 | $21.7 | |
| 1y | Gusjj9753 | No / 99.9¢ | +0.60 | $0.6 | |
| 1y | MMousse | Yes / 0.1¢ | +0.60 | $0 | |
| 1y | kajj38ujh | No / 99.8¢ | +0.58 | $0.58 | |
| 1y | Geromi | No / 99.8¢ | -0.58 | $0.58 |
1–25
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
No 87%$0volume
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?
Yes 100%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 100%$0volume
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
No 76%$0volume
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
No 91%$0volume
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
Yes 100%$0volume