
Volume
$92K
Txns
1,126
Traders
295
Fees
$0
Ends
Aug 31, 2024
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out a military strike against the U.S. military, inclusive of all U.S. military ships, planes, bases and other infrastructure, by August 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Iranian missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets will not be considered for this market. Strikes on U.S. military unmanned aerial vehicles/projectiles and U.S. commercial/civilian ships will NOT count toward a "Yes" resolution. Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks on the U.S. military by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is official statements from the U.S. and Iranian governments, however a consensus of credible may also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | pootytherewardfarmer | Yes / 0.1¢ | +151.39 | $0.15 | |
| 1y | 1mperator17 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | DrK666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -251.39 | $0.25 | |
| 1y | pootytherewardfarmer | Yes / 0.1¢ | +108.00 | $0.11 | |
| 1y | Apsalar | Yes / 0.1¢ | -208.00 | $0.21 | |
| 1y | DrK666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | ImJustKen | Yes / 0.1¢ | +677.20 | $0.68 | |
| 1y | pootytherewardfarmer | Yes / 0.1¢ | +104.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | polyproguy | No / 99.9¢ | +781.20 | $780 | |
| 1y | Apsalar | Yes / 0.1¢ | +4,000.00 | $4 | |
| 1y | MLBksRETARD | No / 99.9¢ | +13,236.61 | $13.2K | |
| 1y | 50Whence | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5,555.00 | $5.55 | |
| 1y | ImJustKen | Yes / 0.1¢ | +822.80 | $0.82 | |
| 1y | DrK666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | Shirogoroff | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,858.81 | $1.86 | |
| 1y | Shirogoroff | Yes / 1.1¢ | -108.47 | $1.19 | |
| 1y | b1d00256-1e29-498c-8984-ac55cb860cdd | No / 98.9¢ | -108.47 | $107 | |
| 1y | Shirogoroff | Yes / 1.1¢ | -0.15 | $0 | |
| 1y | strideVector9 | No / 98.9¢ | -0.15 | $0.15 | |
| 1y | Shirogoroff | Yes / 0.1¢ | +0.15 | $0 | |
| 1y | strideVector9 | No / 99.9¢ | +0.15 | $0.15 | |
| 1y | Tenebrus7 | No / 99.8¢ | -1.67 | $1.67 | |
| 1y | Shirogoroff | Yes / 0.1¢ | +141.03 | $0.14 | |
| 1y | 12danieel1 | No / 99.9¢ | +142.70 | $143 | |
| 1y | Tenebrus7 | No / 99.8¢ | -152.04 | $152 |
1–25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
No 100%$6.73Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Yes 97%$6Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
No 85%$34.8Mvolume
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?
Yes 100%$3.11Mvolume
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
No 99%$27.3Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
No 93%$1.35Mvolume