Iran leadership change by March 13?
ResolvedVolume
$6M
Txns
20,019
Traders
3,489
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
Volume
$6M
Txns
20,019
Traders
3,489
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1mo | rickytj | No / 99.9¢ | -19.13 | $19.1 | |
| 1mo | 033033033 | No / 99.9¢ | +19.13 | $19.1 | |
| 1mo | 4cap | No / 99.9¢ | -24.65 | $24.6 | |
| 1mo | 033033033 | No / 99.9¢ | +24.65 | $24.6 | |
| 1mo | arnoji | No / 99.9¢ | -219.83 | $220 | |
| 1mo | 033033033 | No / 99.9¢ | +219.83 | $220 | |
| 1mo | zuka00 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1mo | 033033033 | No / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 1mo | pessoal | No / 99.9¢ | -5.00 | $5 | |
| 1mo | 033033033 | No / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 1mo | 033033033 | No / 99.9¢ | +16.00 | $16 | |
| 1mo | cyigkbnn | No / 99.9¢ | -16.00 | $16 | |
| 1mo | 033033033 | No / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 1mo | thew | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1mo | 033033033 | No / 99.9¢ | +4,000.00 | $4K | |
| 1mo | h212 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +4,000.00 | $4 | |
| 1mo | 033033033 | No / 99.9¢ | +246.85 | $247 | |
| 1mo | hotdoctor | No / 99.9¢ | -246.85 | $247 | |
| 1mo | 0x5cca...8b8a29 | No / 99.9¢ | -109.85 | $110 | |
| 1mo | 033033033 | No / 99.9¢ | +109.85 | $110 | |
| 1mo | 033033033 | No / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 1mo | TKSavior | No / 99.9¢ | -10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 1mo | PhoenixWager | No / 99.9¢ | -308.86 | $309 | |
| 1mo | 033033033 | No / 99.9¢ | +308.86 | $309 | |
| 1mo | doufenb | No / 99.9¢ | -15.00 | $15 |
1–25
Iran leadership change by May 31?
No 92%$1.76Mvolume
Iran leadership change by December 31?
No 65%$2.41Mvolume
Iran leadership change by June 30?
No 84%$939Kvolume
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?
No 97%$75.6Kvolume
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?
No 94%$26Kvolume
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 10, 2026?
No 100%$94.2Kvolume