
Volume
$82K
Txns
2,011
Traders
351
Fees
$0
Ends
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attacks on military vessels will not be considered. Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris. Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4mo | OraculumNobius | No / 99.9¢ | +35.85 | $35.8 | |
| 4mo | 0x5654...32e51c | No / 99.9¢ | -35.85 | $35.8 | |
| 4mo | OraculumNobius | No / 99.9¢ | +2.00 | $2 | |
| 4mo | Voltwist | No / 99.9¢ | -2.00 | $2 | |
| 4mo | OraculumNobius | No / 99.9¢ | +20.00 | $20 | |
| 4mo | Voltwist | No / 99.9¢ | -20.00 | $20 | |
| 4mo | 0xRocket666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 4mo | OraculumNobius | No / 99.8¢ | +58.84 | $58.7 | |
| 4mo | orbitalcoins2 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +8.82 | $0.02 | |
| 4mo | orbitalcoins2 | Yes / 0.3¢ | +11.76 | $0.04 | |
| 4mo | orbitalcoins2 | Yes / 0.3¢ | +11.76 | $0.04 | |
| 4mo | pootytherewardfarmer | Yes / 0.1¢ | +205.00 | $0.2 | |
| 4mo | orbitalcoins2 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +8.82 | $0.02 | |
| 4mo | OraculumNobius | No / 99.9¢ | +405.00 | $405 | |
| 4mo | orbitalcoins2 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +17.68 | $0.04 | |
| 4mo | OraculumNobius | No / 99.8¢ | +480.96 | $480 | |
| 4mo | orbitalcoins2 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +19.91 | $0.04 | |
| 4mo | OneChina | Yes / 0.2¢ | +155.34 | $0.31 | |
| 4mo | LetTheGoodTimesRoll | Yes / 0.2¢ | +12.00 | $0.02 | |
| 4mo | CitadelLasalle | Yes / 0.2¢ | +200.00 | $0.4 | |
| 4mo | orbitalcoins2 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +93.07 | $0.19 | |
| 4mo | orbitalcoins2 | Yes / 0.3¢ | +0.64 | $0 | |
| 4mo | OraculumNobius | No / 99.7¢ | +20.06 | $20 | |
| 4mo | orbitalcoins2 | Yes / 0.3¢ | +20.06 | $0.06 | |
| 4mo | orbitalcoins2 | Yes / 0.3¢ | +5.01 | $0.02 |
1–25
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
Yes 100%$0volume
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
No 100%$0volume
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 75%$0volume
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
No 84%$0volume
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Yes 79%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
No 93%$0volume