
Volume
$56K
Txns
2,197
Traders
420
Fees
$0
Ends
Apr 15, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attacks on military vessels will not be considered. Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris. Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
No 91%$11.7Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
No 73%$44Mvolume
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Yes 100%$5.27Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?
No 100%$1.68Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
No 97%$24.1Mvolume
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?
Yes 100%$3.15Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1mo | 0xc491...6a8012 | No / 99.9¢ | -3.06 | $3.06 | |
| 1mo | OraculumNobius | No / 99.9¢ | +3.06 | $3.06 | |
| 1mo | OraculumNobius | No / 99.9¢ | +2.00 | $2 | |
| 1mo | zactest2 | No / 99.9¢ | -2.00 | $2 | |
| 1mo | 0x1b2560FdB5fe859E61A89a3378EdF721492a4357-1762434831515 | No / 99.9¢ | -4.00 | $4 | |
| 1mo | OraculumNobius | No / 99.9¢ | +4.00 | $4 | |
| 1mo | OraculumNobius | No / 99.9¢ | +3.00 | $3 | |
| 1mo | Elec7 | No / 99.9¢ | -3.00 | $3 | |
| 1mo | Card666 | No / 99.9¢ | -2.29 | $2.29 | |
| 1mo | OraculumNobius | No / 99.9¢ | +2.29 | $2.29 | |
| 1mo | OraculumNobius | No / 99.9¢ | +2.00 | $2 | |
| 1mo | madu44 | No / 99.9¢ | -2.00 | $2 | |
| 1mo | hiusd | No / 99.9¢ | -2.00 | $2 | |
| 1mo | OraculumNobius | No / 99.9¢ | +2.00 | $2 | |
| 1mo | zac111 | No / 99.9¢ | -2.00 | $2 | |
| 1mo | OraculumNobius | No / 99.9¢ | +2.00 | $2 | |
| 1mo | OraculumNobius | No / 99.9¢ | +2.00 | $2 | |
| 1mo | Russ10 | No / 99.9¢ | -2.00 | $2 | |
| 1mo | ipad10 | No / 99.9¢ | -2.00 | $2 | |
| 1mo | OraculumNobius | No / 99.9¢ | +2.00 | $2 | |
| 1mo | OraculumNobius | No / 99.9¢ | +4.80 | $4.8 | |
| 1mo | 0xa6A58866Fc88af3f5231384B26aEE35EC242173B-1761375550839 | No / 99.9¢ | -4.80 | $4.8 | |
| 1mo | OraculumNobius | No / 99.9¢ | +2.29 | $2.29 | |
| 1mo | tt-king | No / 99.9¢ | -2.29 | $2.29 | |
| 1mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -148.50 | $148 |
1–25