
Volume
$3K
Txns
153
Traders
48
Fees
$11
Liquidity
$5,027
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
No 99%$4.62Mvolume
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?
No 100%$136Kvolume
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?
Yes 50%$113Kvolume
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?
No 51%$86Kvolume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 86%$37.3Mvolume
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
No 73%$87.3Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9h | Lurki | Yes / 2.0¢ | +100.00 | $2 | |
| 9h | 52adsa | Yes / 2.0¢ | +13.10 | $0.26 | |
| 9h | DFK | No / 98.0¢ | +113.10 | $111 | |
| 9h | b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes / 2.2¢ | +20.00 | $0.44 | |
| 9h | DFK | No / 97.8¢ | +20.00 | $19.6 | |
| 9h | DFK | No / 97.8¢ | +20.00 | $19.6 | |
| 9h | b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes / 2.2¢ | +20.00 | $0.44 | |
| 9h | DFK | No / 97.8¢ | +20.00 | $19.6 | |
| 9h | b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes / 2.2¢ | +20.00 | $0.44 | |
| 9h | DFK | No / 97.7¢ | +20.90 | $20.4 | |
| 9h | PPMT | No / 97.7¢ | -20.90 | $20.4 | |
| 9h | DFK | No / 97.8¢ | +7.46 | $7.3 | |
| 9h | 52adsa | Yes / 2.2¢ | +7.46 | $0.16 | |
| 23h | PPMT | No / 97.7¢ | -4.09 | $4 | |
| 23h | 0xaB5FaF4906aD4C554Fdca082e71a5772b03D48c9-1780320804205 | No / 97.7¢ | +4.09 | $4 | |
| 1d | INsomne | Yes / 2.4¢ | -4.99 | $0.12 | |
| 1d | PPMT | No / 97.5¢ | -4.99 | $4.87 | |
| 1d | PPMT | No / 96.1¢ | +30.00 | $28.8 | |
| 1d | Wowiwow | No / 95.9¢ | -67.51 | $64.8 | |
| 1d | 52adsa | Yes / 3.8¢ | -7.12 | $0.27 | |
| 1d | alexkrg | Yes / 3.9¢ | -30.39 | $1.19 | |
| 1d | Executor398 | Yes / 2.5¢ | +9.19 | $0.23 | |
| 1d | DFK | No / 97.5¢ | +9.19 | $8.97 | |
| 2d | Executor398 | Yes / 2.5¢ | +5.13 | $0.13 | |
| 2d | Goodn1ght | No / 97.5¢ | +5.13 | $5.01 |
1–25