
Volume
$465K
Txns
2,977
Traders
668
Fees
$0
Ends
Sep 30, 2024
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI announces the completion of ChatGPT-5 and/or GPT-5 between July 1, 2024, 12:00 AM ET, and September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official publicly issued communications from OpenAI will count towards this market's resolution. Unofficial statements or interviews by board members or employees, including Sam Altman, will not suffice for a "Yes" resolution. If it is announced that GPT-5 is completed before this market's timeframe begins, this market may immediately resolve to "No". Otherwise, it may not resolve to "No" until its end time has passed and the completion of GPT-5 has not been announced. GPT-5 refers to a product that is explicitly named GPT-5, or is a successor to GPT-4 in the way that GPT-4 was a successor to GPT-3. GPT-4.5 or such products will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official OpenAI communications from its website https://openai.com/.
Trades
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?
No 100%$0volume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Yes 79%$0volume
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
No 95%$0volume
GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?
No 92%$0volume
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?
No 92%$0volume
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
No 55%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | AgricultureSecretary | No / 99.9¢ | +204.90 | $205 | |
| 1y | LBZcapital | No / 99.9¢ | -204.90 | $205 | |
| 1y | LBZcapital | No / 99.9¢ | -0.09 | $0.09 | |
| 1y | quantumP2w | No / 99.9¢ | +0.09 | $0.09 | |
| 1y | LBZcapital | No / 99.5¢ | +30.00 | $29.9 | |
| 1y | oVyg7f | Yes / 0.5¢ | +30.00 | $0.15 | |
| 1y | oVyg7f | Yes / 0.4¢ | +6.00 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | daroghi | Yes / 0.4¢ | -6.00 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | RoaringValue | Yes / 0.5¢ | +80.00 | $0.4 | |
| 1y | LBZcapital | No / 99.5¢ | +80.00 | $79.6 | |
| 1y | kingsirpredictionconnoisseur | No / 99.9¢ | -1,694.29 | $1.69K | |
| 1y | LBZcapital | No / 99.9¢ | +1,694.29 | $1.69K | |
| 1y | Klein-Bottle-Capital-Management | No / 99.9¢ | +1,815.40 | $1.81K | |
| 1y | betfuture.eth | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,300.00 | $1.3 | |
| 1y | daroghi | Yes / 0.2¢ | +6.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | Wojtek | Yes / 0.1¢ | +509.40 | $0.51 | |
| 1y | Wojtek | Yes / 1.0¢ | -5.31 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | 0x9020...247aa9 | No / 99.0¢ | -5.31 | $5.26 | |
| 1y | Wojtek | Yes / 1.0¢ | -2.12 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | 0x172a...bfb04b | No / 99.0¢ | -2.12 | $2.1 | |
| 1y | daroghi | Yes / 0.1¢ | -300.00 | $0.3 | |
| 1y | Wojtek | Yes / 0.1¢ | +300.00 | $0.3 | |
| 1y | noemie | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | Wojtek | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.00 | $0 | |
| 1y | UncleSmurf | No / 99.8¢ | +300.00 | $299 |
1–25