
Volume
$599K
Txns
1,827
Traders
189
Fees
$0
Ends
Aug 31, 2024
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for August 2024 shows an increase greater than 1.29°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of greater than 1.29°C for August 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for August 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Aug" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for August 2024 is provided by NASA by December 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No".
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | OysterFarm | Yes / 99.9¢ | -515.00 | $514 | |
| 1y | AliceBob | No / 0.1¢ | -515.00 | $0.52 | |
| 1y | 0x21E716455a702cCf7fc4f386d57B99faCB325E93-1713509078799 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -2,543.08 | $2.54K | |
| 1y | AliceBob | No / 0.1¢ | -2,543.08 | $2.54 | |
| 1y | 0x21E716455a702cCf7fc4f386d57B99faCB325E93-1713509078799 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -3.64 | $3.64 | |
| 1y | GreedyMacFear | Yes / 99.9¢ | +3.64 | $3.64 | |
| 1y | lesse | Yes / 99.9¢ | -0.82 | $0.82 | |
| 1y | MisTKy3 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,200.96 | $1.2K | |
| 1y | 0x21E716455a702cCf7fc4f386d57B99faCB325E93-1713509078799 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1,200.14 | $1.2K | |
| 1y | lesse | Yes / 99.9¢ | -0.11 | $0.11 | |
| 1y | Tongyy | Yes / 99.9¢ | +0.11 | $0.11 | |
| 1y | MisTKy3 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +43.00 | $43 | |
| 1y | lesse | Yes / 99.9¢ | -43.00 | $43 | |
| 1y | lesse | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1,900.00 | $1.9K | |
| 1y | MisTKy3 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,900.00 | $1.9K | |
| 1y | squirrel-farmer | Yes / 99.0¢ | +1,420.29 | $1.41K | |
| 1y | ZXCVBNM-256 | Yes / 99.0¢ | -1,420.29 | $1.41K | |
| 1y | oVyg7f | Yes / 98.0¢ | -5.00 | $4.9 | |
| 1y | 😏😏😏 | Yes / 98.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.9 | |
| 1y | 😏😏😏 | Yes / 94.8¢ | +55.00 | $52.1 | |
| 1y | ImHereForTheRewards | Yes / 93.0¢ | -5.00 | $4.65 | |
| 1y | Lyapunov | No / 5.0¢ | +50.00 | $2.5 | |
| 1y | 0x21E716455a702cCf7fc4f386d57B99faCB325E93-1713509078799 | Yes / 94.0¢ | -2,500.00 | $2.35K | |
| 1y | aenews2 | Yes / 94.0¢ | +2,500.00 | $2.35K | |
| 1y | oVyg7f | Yes / 81.0¢ | -5.00 | $4.05 |
1–25
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in July 2026?
No 97%$0volume
Will July 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?
No 96%$0volume
Will June 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?
Yes 99%$0volume
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?
No 98%$0volume
Will June 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?
No 100%$0volume
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
No 72%$0volume