
Volume
$43K
Txns
1,580
Traders
325
Fees
$47
Liquidity
$7,542
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any house of any US state legislature holds a vote, as part of its standard legislative process, on a bill, resolution, or constitutional amendment whose main purpose is for the state to secede from the United States, or to otherwise declare its support for such a secession, by June 30, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying measure must clearly state its purpose as part of a process for the state to leave, withdraw from, dissolve political ties with, declare independence from, or otherwise terminate its membership in the United States; measures which merely study, explore, or explain a possibility of secession or independence will not qualify. Informal measures of consensus taking such as straw polls or whip counts will not qualify toward this market's resolution. A vote on a resolution or other statement without binding legal effect but declaring the state's explicit support for secession will qualify toward this market's resolution. Only a vote taken by a full chamber will qualify toward this market's resolution. Votes held by committees/subcommittees, etc., will not qualify. This market's primary resolution source will be official records of qualifying votes from relevant state governments, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trades
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 85%$2.45Bvolume
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 85%$43.7Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 84%$29.6Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 57%$27.2Mvolume
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No 67%$654Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 100%$4.59Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10h | PowerPicker | No / 99.5¢ | -12.59 | $12.5 | |
| 10h | 0x6b0e...46e3ea | Yes / 0.5¢ | -12.59 | $0.06 | |
| 10h | romanew-1-new | Yes / 0.4¢ | -9.19 | $0.04 | |
| 10h | PowerPicker | No / 99.6¢ | -68.71 | $68.4 | |
| 10h | Crypto-Well | Yes / 0.4¢ | -59.52 | $0.24 | |
| 17h | Crypto-Well | Yes / 0.3¢ | +59.52 | $0.18 | |
| 17h | PPMT | Yes / 0.3¢ | -59.52 | $0.17 | |
| 1d | iliabouchouev | No / 99.5¢ | -1.62 | $1.61 | |
| 1d | HerrieDavis | Yes / 0.5¢ | -1.62 | $0.01 | |
| 1d | 0x9e6B7c77C06ebdBF2993BE0BA1d02F785E6fb20a-1772834751084 | Yes / 0.6¢ | -530.00 | $3.05 | |
| 1d | BSS37 | Yes / 0.6¢ | +100.00 | $0.6 | |
| 1d | Biver52 | Yes / 0.6¢ | +100.00 | $0.6 | |
| 1d | andy29 | Yes / 0.6¢ | +330.00 | $1.98 | |
| 1d | romanew-1-new | Yes / 0.8¢ | -2.72 | $0.02 | |
| 1d | 0xcb05...2aaccb | No / 98.7¢ | -2.72 | $2.68 | |
| 2d | romanew-crypto | Yes / 0.8¢ | -9.27 | $0.07 | |
| 2d | resilience26 | No / 99.2¢ | -18.49 | $18.3 | |
| 2d | romanew-1-new | Yes / 0.8¢ | -9.22 | $0.07 | |
| 2d | Numitus1994 | Yes / 0.9¢ | -15.00 | $0.14 | |
| 2d | PowerPicker | No / 99.1¢ | -15.00 | $14.9 | |
| 4d | PowerPicker | No / 99.1¢ | -96.30 | $95.4 | |
| 4d | Numitus1994 | Yes / 0.9¢ | -96.30 | $0.87 | |
| 4d | 0xfdaB941d6870883aFc9c5EFbA3D1C49B884B01a5-1771691277971 | No / 99.1¢ | -1.09 | $1.08 | |
| 4d | Numitus1994 | Yes / 0.9¢ | -1.09 | $0.01 | |
| 5d | Numitus1994 | Yes / 0.9¢ | -1.36 | $0.01 |
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