
Volume
$238K
Txns
2,068
Traders
441
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 12, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Venezuelan soil on the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within Venezuela. A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of Venezuela counts. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Venezuelan territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 88%$28.1Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Yes 100%$15.7Mvolume
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Yes 100%$5.43Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 61%$26.6Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Yes 100%$7.13Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 91%$3.98Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5mo | Gr33d | No / 99.9¢ | +718.74 | $718 | |
| 5mo | Iamnailong | No / 99.9¢ | -718.74 | $718 | |
| 5mo | uyokuyjhg | No / 99.8¢ | -440.44 | $440 | |
| 5mo | LukeDelta | Yes / 0.2¢ | -127.15 | $0.25 | |
| 5mo | LukeDelta | Yes / 0.2¢ | -313.29 | $0.63 | |
| 5mo | Iamnailong | No / 99.9¢ | -99.99 | $99.9 | |
| 5mo | Brezh | Yes / 0.1¢ | -99.99 | $0.1 | |
| 5mo | uyokuyjhg | No / 99.9¢ | +440.44 | $440 | |
| 5mo | Iamnailong | No / 99.9¢ | -440.44 | $440 | |
| 5mo | Iamnailong | No / 99.9¢ | -210.00 | $210 | |
| 5mo | PSignals.trade | No / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 5mo | stringerr | No / 99.9¢ | +200.00 | $200 | |
| 5mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +288.00 | $0.29 | |
| 5mo | Gr33d | No / 99.9¢ | -1,122.84 | $1.12K | |
| 5mo | ScottVan | Yes / 0.1¢ | +150.00 | $0.15 | |
| 5mo | godfather888 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 5mo | bamesjond | No / 99.9¢ | +1,660.84 | $1.66K | |
| 5mo | FedericoAsado | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 5mo | Gr33d | No / 99.9¢ | +1,122.84 | $1.12K | |
| 5mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +380.00 | $0.38 | |
| 5mo | orin40 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 5mo | godfather888 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 5mo | BSS37 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 5mo | 0x161f...28b075 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +103.00 | $0.1 | |
| 5mo | ScottVan | Yes / 0.1¢ | +139.84 | $0.14 |
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