
Volume
$411K
Txns
2,950
Traders
573
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 12, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Venezuelan soil on the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within Venezuela. A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of Venezuela counts. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Venezuelan territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Trades
Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
No 100%$0volume
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 80%$0volume
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 87%$0volume
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elec…
Yes 56%$0volume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026…
No 98%$0volume
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?
No 97%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6mo | ProfessionalPunter | No / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 6mo | 5454545555 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 6mo | 55554545454 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 6mo | ProfessionalPunter | No / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 6mo | RecursiveDragon | No / 99.8¢ | +2.46 | $2.46 | |
| 6mo | d68e | Yes / 0.1¢ | -97.54 | $0.1 | |
| 6mo | nayihz | No / 99.9¢ | -100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 6mo | d68e | Yes / 0.1¢ | -3.02 | $0 | |
| 6mo | nerdytrader | No / 99.9¢ | -3.02 | $3.02 | |
| 6mo | JFS9 | No / 99.9¢ | -10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 6mo | d68e | Yes / 0.1¢ | -10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | Gr33d | No / 99.9¢ | +910.56 | $910 | |
| 6mo | curr0002 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 6mo | d68e | Yes / 0.1¢ | -89.44 | $0.09 | |
| 6mo | aaugoustis | No / 99.9¢ | -20.70 | $20.7 | |
| 6mo | Gr33d | No / 99.9¢ | +20.70 | $20.7 | |
| 6mo | Gr33d | No / 99.9¢ | +68.74 | $68.7 | |
| 6mo | BMRT | No / 99.9¢ | -311.60 | $311 | |
| 6mo | esac | Yes / 0.1¢ | -242.86 | $0.24 | |
| 6mo | 0xa9E8FaF20424F3efBF12abaEa0e7069d7546C443-1727183987392 | No / 99.9¢ | -3,677.46 | $3.67K | |
| 6mo | 30-dollar-per-day | Yes / 0.1¢ | -2,420.32 | $2.42 | |
| 6mo | esac | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,257.14 | $1.26 | |
| 6mo | 30-dollar-per-day | Yes / 0.1¢ | -10.01 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | Mmiikka | No / 99.9¢ | -10.01 | $10 | |
| 6mo | Mutarexx | No / 99.9¢ | -40.00 | $40 |
1–25