
Volume
$16K
Txns
951
Traders
149
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market resolves “Yes” if 50-year GSE-eligible mortgages are approved by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying approval requires that either: A) The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) officially approves 50-year mortgages. An approval alone will qualify, regardless of whether Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac subsequently update their guidelines. B) Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac officially makes 50-year mortgages eligible for purchase or guaranty. Only changes regarding new-origination, first-lien, fully amortizing 50-year mortgages will qualify. Other arrangements (e.g., limited pilots, post-origination term changes, junior-lien or revolving products, loss-mitigation programs, etc.) will not be considered. The primary resolution source is official information from the FHFA, Fannie Mae, and Freddie Mac; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | Yes / 0.1¢ | +79.00 | $0.08 | |
| 6mo | 0x161f...28b075 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +163.00 | $0.16 | |
| 6mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | Yes / 0.1¢ | +206.00 | $0.21 | |
| 6mo | tailevent | Yes / 0.1¢ | +600.00 | $0.6 | |
| 6mo | bamesjond | No / 99.9¢ | +3,057.54 | $3.05K | |
| 6mo | Ignisss | Yes / 0.1¢ | +40.98 | $0.04 | |
| 6mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +148.00 | $0.15 | |
| 6mo | Rlso | Yes / 0.1¢ | +43.26 | $0.04 | |
| 6mo | blunderbot | No / 99.9¢ | -76.30 | $76.2 | |
| 6mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +101.00 | $0.1 | |
| 6mo | Nexuus | Yes / 0.1¢ | +44.11 | $0.04 | |
| 6mo | Snpe | Yes / 0.1¢ | +31.44 | $0.03 | |
| 6mo | Pestle | Yes / 0.1¢ | +49.75 | $0.05 | |
| 6mo | Shipoo | Yes / 0.1¢ | +30.67 | $0.03 | |
| 6mo | Cronnozzz | Yes / 0.1¢ | +41.32 | $0.04 | |
| 6mo | blunderbot | No / 99.9¢ | -14.70 | $14.7 | |
| 6mo | 0xe8d0E6f73B49Ef07078562dB4b12974EEf365542-1722338495689 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.00 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | 0xe9b4...42f03a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +87.00 | $0.09 | |
| 6mo | Yukaii | Yes / 0.1¢ | +40.74 | $0.04 | |
| 6mo | Avvnnnn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +34.49 | $0.03 | |
| 6mo | Kanp | Yes / 0.1¢ | +41.40 | $0.04 | |
| 6mo | AsuraSmellsLikeASS | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | Blaorra | Yes / 0.1¢ | +31.78 | $0.03 | |
| 6mo | blunderbot | No / 99.9¢ | -14.70 | $14.7 | |
| 6mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +398.00 | $0.4 |
1–25
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes 85%$0volume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
No 85%$0volume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
No 99%$0volume
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?
Yes 87%$0volume
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?
No 86%$0volume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
No 95%$0volume