
Volume
$49K
Txns
1,106
Traders
216
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States falls below 6.00% at any point between September 2 and December 31, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If, for any reason, there is no data point for this market's resolution date on either of the sources listed below, information for the nearest previously available date will be used. The primary resolution source for this market is Freddie Mac, specifically https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms. The data that will be looked at is the "30Y FRM" as indicated on the graph titled "Primary Mortgage Market Survey®". If the resolution source is unavailable, https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MORTGAGE30US will be looked at instead. If both sources are unavailable, other credible reporting may be used.
Trades
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 80%$0volume
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meetin…
Yes 100%$0volume
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
No 55%$0volume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeti…
No 100%$0volume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meet…
No 100%$0volume
Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
No 100%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6mo | MistahFox | No / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 6mo | 0x0a23...3aaa25 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | 0xChainWizard | No / 99.4¢ | -5.50 | $5.47 | |
| 6mo | NFLandChill | Yes / 0.6¢ | -5.50 | $0.03 | |
| 7mo | weather.fanatic | No / 99.9¢ | +31.69 | $31.7 | |
| 7mo | Cronnozzz | Yes / 0.1¢ | +31.69 | $0.03 | |
| 7mo | NFLandChill | Yes / 0.2¢ | +5.50 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | 0xChainWizard | No / 99.8¢ | +5.50 | $5.49 | |
| 7mo | 84jaak | No / 99.6¢ | -5.62 | $5.6 | |
| 7mo | NFLandChill | Yes / 0.4¢ | -5.62 | $0.02 | |
| 7mo | Owwwnn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +35.25 | $0.04 | |
| 7mo | Cronnozzz | Yes / 0.1¢ | +4.51 | $0 | |
| 7mo | Haradwaith | Yes / 0.1¢ | -39.76 | $0.04 | |
| 7mo | Rlso | Yes / 0.1¢ | +31.59 | $0.03 | |
| 7mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | Yes / 0.1¢ | +105.00 | $0.1 | |
| 7mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | Yes / 0.1¢ | +171.00 | $0.17 | |
| 7mo | Avvnnnn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +38.60 | $0.04 | |
| 7mo | Shipoo | Yes / 0.1¢ | +38.47 | $0.04 | |
| 7mo | 0xe9b4...42f03a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +120.00 | $0.12 | |
| 7mo | ObsidianPM | Yes / 0.1¢ | +31.16 | $0.03 | |
| 7mo | Kanp | Yes / 0.1¢ | +44.83 | $0.04 | |
| 7mo | 0x161f...28b075 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +159.00 | $0.16 | |
| 7mo | Yukaii | Yes / 0.1¢ | +33.02 | $0.03 | |
| 7mo | Oddinn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +44.42 | $0.04 | |
| 7mo | AsuraSmellsLikeASS | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 |
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