
Volume
$3M
Txns
43,384
Traders
2,045
Fees
$0
Ends
Nov 30, 2024
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for November 2024 shows an increase greater than that of any prior November when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". At the point the data for November 2024 is first released, it will be compared to all previous data points for November, and if 2024 November is higher than all previous data points, this market will resolve to "Yes". Note: If 2024 November is tied for highest with another year, it will NOT suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" - it must be higher. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Nov" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for November 2024 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Trades
Will there be 4-6 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 202…
No 100%$0volume
Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?
Yes 85%$0volume
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m squar…
No 77%$0volume
Natural Disaster in 2026?
No 89%$0volume
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 105…
No 93%$0volume
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.6m & 4.8…
No 81%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | 0xa771...d1d9b1 | No / 99.9¢ | +67.63 | $67.6 | |
| 1y | 0xb338...77bd57 | No / 99.9¢ | -67.63 | $67.6 | |
| 1y | 0x5681...26c098 | No / 99.9¢ | -64.63 | $64.6 | |
| 1y | notebookled | Yes / 0.1¢ | -64.63 | $0.06 | |
| 1y | 3r3rsdfs | No / 99.9¢ | +50.00 | $50 | |
| 1y | notebookled | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | pootytherewardfarmer | Yes / 0.1¢ | +52.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | Biowatch | No / 99.9¢ | -15.00 | $15 | |
| 1y | notebookled | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | 3r3rsdfs | No / 99.9¢ | +117.00 | $117 | |
| 1y | 0xb338...77bd57 | No / 99.8¢ | +67.63 | $67.5 | |
| 1y | 0xdb64...055897 | No / 99.8¢ | -67.63 | $67.5 | |
| 1y | 0x3922...c9f4bd | No / 99.8¢ | -67.63 | $67.5 | |
| 1y | 0xdb64...055897 | No / 99.8¢ | +67.63 | $67.5 | |
| 1y | pootytherewardfarmer | Yes / 0.1¢ | +15.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | Biowatch | No / 99.9¢ | +15.00 | $15 | |
| 1y | 0x5681...26c098 | No / 99.8¢ | +64.63 | $64.5 | |
| 1y | 0xcd7d...ce739e | No / 99.8¢ | -64.63 | $64.5 | |
| 1y | 0x3922...c9f4bd | No / 99.8¢ | +67.63 | $67.5 | |
| 1y | 0xa771...d1d9b1 | No / 99.8¢ | -67.63 | $67.5 | |
| 1y | 0xcd7d...ce739e | No / 99.8¢ | +64.63 | $64.5 | |
| 1y | 0x0cea...62a88b | No / 99.8¢ | -64.63 | $64.5 | |
| 1y | 0x0cea...62a88b | No / 99.8¢ | +64.63 | $64.5 | |
| 1y | 0x815e...92cfa4 | No / 99.8¢ | -64.63 | $64.5 | |
| 1y | 0x815e...92cfa4 | No / 99.9¢ | +64.63 | $64.6 |
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