
Volume
$4M
Txns
10,341
Traders
1,476
Fees
$0
Ends
Jul 31, 2024
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for July 2024 shows an increase greater than that of any prior July when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". At the point the data for July 2024 is first released, it will be compared to all previous data points for July, and if 2024 July is higher than all previous data points, this market will resolve to "Yes." Note: If 2024 July is tied for highest with another year, it will NOT suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" - it must be higher. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jul" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for July 2024 is provided by NASA by November 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Trades
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in June 2026?
No 95%$0volume
Will June 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?
Yes 99%$0volume
Will June 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?
No 100%$0volume
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in June 2026?
Yes 96%$0volume
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
No 70%$0volume
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?
No 100%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 0.1¢ | -133.95 | $0.13 | |
| 1y | polyprediction | Yes / 99.9¢ | -133.95 | $134 | |
| 1y | bevi | Yes / 99.9¢ | -21.95 | $21.9 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 0.1¢ | -21.95 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | AliceBob | No / 0.1¢ | -18,470.43 | $18.5 | |
| 1y | Dr.ChristmasJones | Yes / 99.9¢ | -28,143.22 | $28.1K | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 0.1¢ | -9,672.79 | $9.67 | |
| 1y | Slaylorswift | Yes / 99.9¢ | -69.99 | $69.9 | |
| 1y | AliceBob | No / 0.1¢ | -69.99 | $0.07 | |
| 1y | AliceBob | No / 0.1¢ | -8,500.02 | $8.5 | |
| 1y | 0x-JayBee | Yes / 99.9¢ | -8,500.02 | $8.49K | |
| 1y | AliceBob | No / 0.1¢ | -805.72 | $0.81 | |
| 1y | MalikNabers | Yes / 99.9¢ | -805.72 | $805 | |
| 1y | AliceBob | No / 0.1¢ | -1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | Erfthg | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | AlienB | Yes / 99.9¢ | -441.17 | $441 | |
| 1y | AliceBob | No / 0.1¢ | -441.17 | $0.44 | |
| 1y | AliceBob | No / 0.1¢ | -45.30 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | Gdubb47 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -45.30 | $45.3 | |
| 1y | pman | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | cacho | No / 0.1¢ | -37.00 | $0.04 | |
| 1y | AliceBob | No / 0.1¢ | -958.00 | $0.96 | |
| 1y | RunBadCapital | Yes / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 1y | aviato | No / 0.1¢ | -301.11 | $0.3 | |
| 1y | FOMOs-retardoo | No / 0.1¢ | -497.25 | $0.5 |
1–25