
Volume
$26K
Txns
649
Traders
157
Fees
$0
Ends
Jul 18, 2025
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Treasury 10-year yield on July 18, 2025 is greater than 4.40% according to the daily values published by the Department of the Treasury. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Trades
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 99%$18.4Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 93%$18.3Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
No 99%$6.82Mvolume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$5.95Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 73%$3.7Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Yes 72%$996Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10mo | guiltytrades | Yes / 99.8¢ | -15.49 | $15.5 | |
| 10mo | BobbyB | Yes / 99.8¢ | +15.49 | $15.5 | |
| 10mo | chatgpt.com | No / 0.4¢ | -8.47 | $0.03 | |
| 10mo | Superchor | Yes / 99.6¢ | -8.47 | $8.44 | |
| 10mo | chatgpt.com | No / 0.4¢ | -144.86 | $0.58 | |
| 10mo | OompaLoompa01 | Yes / 99.6¢ | -144.86 | $144 | |
| 10mo | Lokuelo | Yes / 99.6¢ | -1.29 | $1.28 | |
| 10mo | chatgpt.com | No / 0.4¢ | -1.29 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | No / 0.1¢ | +886.27 | $0.89 | |
| 10mo | 1800stopgambling | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,711.09 | $1.71K | |
| 10mo | chatgpt.com | No / 0.2¢ | +724.82 | $1.45 | |
| 10mo | MalarkeyMaster | No / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 10mo | leachanthony | Yes / 99.8¢ | +12.84 | $12.8 | |
| 10mo | chatgpt.com | No / 0.2¢ | +12.84 | $0.03 | |
| 10mo | hernandezaustin | Yes / 99.8¢ | +12.33 | $12.3 | |
| 10mo | chatgpt.com | No / 0.2¢ | +12.33 | $0.02 | |
| 10mo | mistylandry | Yes / 99.9¢ | +11.48 | $11.5 | |
| 10mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | No / 0.1¢ | +11.48 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | No / 0.1¢ | +11.86 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | courtneysanchez | Yes / 99.9¢ | +11.86 | $11.8 | |
| 10mo | chatgpt.com | No / 0.2¢ | +12.64 | $0.03 | |
| 10mo | ericabowers | Yes / 99.8¢ | +12.64 | $12.6 | |
| 10mo | jamessanchez | Yes / 99.9¢ | +16.65 | $16.6 | |
| 10mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | No / 0.1¢ | +16.65 | $0.02 | |
| 10mo | sandra30 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +11.99 | $12 |
1–25