
Volume
$26K
Txns
649
Traders
157
Fees
$0
Ends
Jul 18, 2025
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Treasury 10-year yield on July 18, 2025 is greater than 4.40% according to the daily values published by the Department of the Treasury. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | guiltytrades | Yes / 99.8¢ | -15.49 | $15.5 | |
| 1y | BobbyB | Yes / 99.8¢ | +15.49 | $15.5 | |
| 1y | chatgpt.com | No / 0.4¢ | -8.47 | $0.03 | |
| 1y | Superchor | Yes / 99.6¢ | -8.47 | $8.44 | |
| 1y | chatgpt.com | No / 0.4¢ | -144.86 | $0.58 | |
| 1y | OompaLoompa01 | Yes / 99.6¢ | -144.86 | $144 | |
| 1y | Lokuelo | Yes / 99.6¢ | -1.29 | $1.28 | |
| 1y | chatgpt.com | No / 0.4¢ | -1.29 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | No / 0.1¢ | +886.27 | $0.89 | |
| 1y | 1800stopgambling | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,711.09 | $1.71K | |
| 1y | chatgpt.com | No / 0.2¢ | +724.82 | $1.45 | |
| 1y | MalarkeyMaster | No / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | leachanthony | Yes / 99.8¢ | +12.84 | $12.8 | |
| 1y | chatgpt.com | No / 0.2¢ | +12.84 | $0.03 | |
| 1y | hernandezaustin | Yes / 99.8¢ | +12.33 | $12.3 | |
| 1y | chatgpt.com | No / 0.2¢ | +12.33 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | mistylandry | Yes / 99.9¢ | +11.48 | $11.5 | |
| 1y | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | No / 0.1¢ | +11.48 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | No / 0.1¢ | +11.86 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | courtneysanchez | Yes / 99.9¢ | +11.86 | $11.8 | |
| 1y | chatgpt.com | No / 0.2¢ | +12.64 | $0.03 | |
| 1y | ericabowers | Yes / 99.8¢ | +12.64 | $12.6 | |
| 1y | jamessanchez | Yes / 99.9¢ | +16.65 | $16.6 | |
| 1y | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | No / 0.1¢ | +16.65 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | sandra30 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +11.99 | $12 |
1–25
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meetin…
Yes 78%$0volume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meet…
No 100%$0volume
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes 76%$0volume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026…
No 98%$0volume
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 mee…
Yes 61%$0volume
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decem…
No 87%$0volume