Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?

Open1 market·Ends Nov 3, 2026

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Politics republican party house of representatives Congress

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Republican party ceases to hold a majority in the United States House of Representatives at any point before polls open for the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A majority in the House of Representatives means holding more than half of the currently seated voting members of the U.S. House at that time, excluding vacant seats. Ties do not qualify as a majority. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States House of Representatives Press Gallery (https://pressgallery.house.gov/member-data/party-breakdown); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Markets

Market				Ends
Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	5%	$0	$593	Nov 3, 2026

Age	Market	Trader	Outcome	Shares	Value
2d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 0xaF05465D8f88a8Aad0BD916d23fA781BaA8a33E2-1781769499788	No / 95.0¢	+5.00	$4.75
2d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938	Yes / 5.0¢	+5.00	$0.26
5d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 Spectrum	No / 93.8¢	-18.00	$16.9
5d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 Numitus1994	Yes / 6.0¢	-18.00	$1.08
6d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 0x58e80Dd4a5c365BA380795103f5E0963a287bB5A-1781767424338	Yes / 4.0¢	+5.00	$0.2
6d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 0x85EE84bE50f99d9ec7c379F9C56442aA7529a64a-1775502961314	Yes / 3.8¢	-20.00	$0.77
6d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 0x58e80Dd4a5c365BA380795103f5E0963a287bB5A-1781767424338	Yes / 4.0¢	+5.00	$0.2
6d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938	No / 96.0¢	-5.00	$4.8
6d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 0x58e80Dd4a5c365BA380795103f5E0963a287bB5A-1781767424338	Yes / 4.0¢	+5.00	$0.2
6d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 Numitus1994	Yes / 5.0¢	+21.00	$1.05
6d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938	No / 95.0¢	-9.00	$8.55
6d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 0x85EE84bE50f99d9ec7c379F9C56442aA7529a64a-1775502961314	Yes / 4.8¢	-30.00	$1.44
7d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 0x6b0e...46e3ea	Yes / 8.0¢	+48.00	$3.84
7d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 0x85EE84bE50f99d9ec7c379F9C56442aA7529a64a-1775502961314	Yes / 7.7¢	-48.00	$3.7
7d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 wfsxfwetrdsf	Yes / 7.7¢	-30.00	$2.31
7d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 0x6b0e...46e3ea	Yes / 8.0¢	+15.00	$1.2
7d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 0x58e80Dd4a5c365BA380795103f5E0963a287bB5A-1781767424338	Yes / 8.0¢	+5.00	$0.4
7d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 0x58e80Dd4a5c365BA380795103f5E0963a287bB5A-1781767424338	Yes / 8.0¢	+5.00	$0.4
7d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 0x58e80Dd4a5c365BA380795103f5E0963a287bB5A-1781767424338	Yes / 8.0¢	+5.00	$0.4
7d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 0x85EE84bE50f99d9ec7c379F9C56442aA7529a64a-1775502961314	Yes / 8.7¢	-58.00	$5.03
7d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 Numitus1994	Yes / 9.0¢	+21.00	$1.89
7d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 wfsxfwetrdsf	Yes / 9.0¢	+30.00	$2.7
7d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 dropmeplease	Yes / 9.0¢	+2.00	$0.18
7d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 0x00cDEa4d807710807cdBC54AD34cFAFCd992c0aE-1782010404295	No / 91.0¢	-5.00	$4.55
8d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 Spectrum	No / 91.0¢	+18.00	$16.4
8d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 dropmeplease	Yes / 9.0¢	+18.00	$1.62
13d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 dropmeplease	Yes / 11.0¢	-118.01	$13
13d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 dhbw1	No / 88.6¢	-393.35	$349
13d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	Slowroasted	No / 89.0¢	+275.34	$245
14d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	Yes / 10.0¢	+18.40	$1.91
14d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 0x00cDEa4d807710807cdBC54AD34cFAFCd992c0aE-1782010404295	No / 90.0¢	+5.00	$4.5
14d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 0x6b0e...46e3ea	Yes / 10.0¢	-13.40	$1.34
15d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 trevxyz	No / 89.6¢	-102.74	$92.1
15d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 dropmeplease	Yes / 11.0¢	-2.74	$0.3
15d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 dropmeplease	No / 90.0¢	+20.00	$18
15d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 0x6b0e...46e3ea	Yes / 10.0¢	-80.00	$8
16d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 0x5c41...658794	No / 88.2¢	-15.72	$13.9
16d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 dropmeplease	Yes / 11.0¢	-15.72	$1.73
16d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 0x6b0e...46e3ea	Yes / 9.0¢	+39.91	$3.59
16d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 ViscaElBarca	Yes / 8.7¢	-39.91	$3.46
16d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 0x5c41...658794	No / 90.5¢	+1.20	$1.1
16d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 ViscaElBarca	Yes / 10.0¢	+0.58	$0.06
16d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 0x6b0e...46e3ea	Yes / 9.0¢	+1.20	$0.11
16d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 0x5c41...658794	No / 91.0¢	+1.20	$1.1
16d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 0x6b0e...46e3ea	Yes / 9.0¢	+0.62	$0.06
16d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 ViscaElBarca	Yes / 10.0¢	+1.21	$0.12
16d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 0x5c41...658794	No / 90.0¢	+1.21	$1.1
16d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 0x5c41...658794	No / 90.0¢	+1.21	$1.1
16d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 0x5c41...658794	No / 90.0¢	+1.21	$1.1
16d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 ViscaElBarca	Yes / 10.0¢	+1.21	$0.12

Age	Market	Trader	Outcome	Shares	Value
2d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 0xaF05465D8f88a8Aad0BD916d23fA781BaA8a33E2-1781769499788	No / 95.0¢	+5.00	$4.75
2d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938	Yes / 5.0¢	+5.00	$0.26
5d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 Spectrum	No / 93.8¢	-18.00	$16.9
5d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 Numitus1994	Yes / 6.0¢	-18.00	$1.08
6d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 0x58e80Dd4a5c365BA380795103f5E0963a287bB5A-1781767424338	Yes / 4.0¢	+5.00	$0.2
6d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 0x85EE84bE50f99d9ec7c379F9C56442aA7529a64a-1775502961314	Yes / 3.8¢	-20.00	$0.77
6d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 0x58e80Dd4a5c365BA380795103f5E0963a287bB5A-1781767424338	Yes / 4.0¢	+5.00	$0.2
6d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938	No / 96.0¢	-5.00	$4.8
6d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 0x58e80Dd4a5c365BA380795103f5E0963a287bB5A-1781767424338	Yes / 4.0¢	+5.00	$0.2
6d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 Numitus1994	Yes / 5.0¢	+21.00	$1.05
6d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938	No / 95.0¢	-9.00	$8.55
6d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 0x85EE84bE50f99d9ec7c379F9C56442aA7529a64a-1775502961314	Yes / 4.8¢	-30.00	$1.44
7d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 0x6b0e...46e3ea	Yes / 8.0¢	+48.00	$3.84
7d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 0x85EE84bE50f99d9ec7c379F9C56442aA7529a64a-1775502961314	Yes / 7.7¢	-48.00	$3.7
7d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 wfsxfwetrdsf	Yes / 7.7¢	-30.00	$2.31
7d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 0x6b0e...46e3ea	Yes / 8.0¢	+15.00	$1.2
7d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 0x58e80Dd4a5c365BA380795103f5E0963a287bB5A-1781767424338	Yes / 8.0¢	+5.00	$0.4
7d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 0x58e80Dd4a5c365BA380795103f5E0963a287bB5A-1781767424338	Yes / 8.0¢	+5.00	$0.4
7d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 0x58e80Dd4a5c365BA380795103f5E0963a287bB5A-1781767424338	Yes / 8.0¢	+5.00	$0.4
7d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 0x85EE84bE50f99d9ec7c379F9C56442aA7529a64a-1775502961314	Yes / 8.7¢	-58.00	$5.03
7d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 Numitus1994	Yes / 9.0¢	+21.00	$1.89
7d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 wfsxfwetrdsf	Yes / 9.0¢	+30.00	$2.7
7d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 dropmeplease	Yes / 9.0¢	+2.00	$0.18
7d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 0x00cDEa4d807710807cdBC54AD34cFAFCd992c0aE-1782010404295	No / 91.0¢	-5.00	$4.55
8d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 Spectrum	No / 91.0¢	+18.00	$16.4
8d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 dropmeplease	Yes / 9.0¢	+18.00	$1.62
13d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 dropmeplease	Yes / 11.0¢	-118.01	$13
13d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 dhbw1	No / 88.6¢	-393.35	$349
13d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	Slowroasted	No / 89.0¢	+275.34	$245
14d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	Yes / 10.0¢	+18.40	$1.91
14d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 0x00cDEa4d807710807cdBC54AD34cFAFCd992c0aE-1782010404295	No / 90.0¢	+5.00	$4.5
14d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 0x6b0e...46e3ea	Yes / 10.0¢	-13.40	$1.34
15d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 trevxyz	No / 89.6¢	-102.74	$92.1
15d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 dropmeplease	Yes / 11.0¢	-2.74	$0.3
15d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 dropmeplease	No / 90.0¢	+20.00	$18
15d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 0x6b0e...46e3ea	Yes / 10.0¢	-80.00	$8
16d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 0x5c41...658794	No / 88.2¢	-15.72	$13.9
16d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 dropmeplease	Yes / 11.0¢	-15.72	$1.73
16d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 0x6b0e...46e3ea	Yes / 9.0¢	+39.91	$3.59
16d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 ViscaElBarca	Yes / 8.7¢	-39.91	$3.46
16d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 0x5c41...658794	No / 90.5¢	+1.20	$1.1
16d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 ViscaElBarca	Yes / 10.0¢	+0.58	$0.06
16d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 0x6b0e...46e3ea	Yes / 9.0¢	+1.20	$0.11
16d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 0x5c41...658794	No / 91.0¢	+1.20	$1.1
16d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 0x6b0e...46e3ea	Yes / 9.0¢	+0.62	$0.06
16d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 ViscaElBarca	Yes / 10.0¢	+1.21	$0.12
16d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 0x5c41...658794	No / 90.0¢	+1.21	$1.1
16d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 0x5c41...658794	No / 90.0¢	+1.21	$1.1
16d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 0x5c41...658794	No / 90.0¢	+1.21	$1.1
16d	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	0 ViscaElBarca	Yes / 10.0¢	+1.21	$0.12

Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?

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Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?

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Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?

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Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?

Probability history

Probability history

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