Will Claude go down on __ days in July?

Open5 markets·Ends Jul 31, 2026

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Volume

$107K

Txns

5,765

Traders

501

Fees

$557

Big Tech Claude Tech outage

This market will resolve according to the number of days in July 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime. Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution. A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun. This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).

Markets

Market				Ends
12+	99%	$14.4K	$9.12K	Jul 31, 2026
9-11	0%	$5.52K	$5.91K	Jul 31, 2026
0-2	NoResolved	$0	$0	Jul 31, 2026
6-8	NoResolved	$0	$0	Jul 31, 2026
3-5	NoResolved	$0	$0	Jul 31, 2026

Age	Market	Trader	Outcome	Shares	Value
1h	Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?	0 Blorpgore	Yes / 99.4¢	-1.38	$1.37
1h	Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?	0 0xf7964A7e2c38634162f7178c92309B5d78CB3543-1783213418981	Yes / 99.4¢	+1.38	$1.37
2h	Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?	0 Palace8709	Yes / 99.9¢	-618.00	$617
2h	Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?	ArmageddonRewardsBilly	No / 0.1¢	-618.00	$0.59
2h	Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?	0 Palace8709	Yes / 99.9¢	-17.00	$17
2h	Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?	0 TENETENET	No / 0.1¢	+100.00	$0.1
2h	Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?	0 triklozoid	No / 0.1¢	+15.00	$0.01
2h	Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?	ArmageddonRewardsBilly	No / 0.1¢	-132.00	$0.13
3h	Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?	0 0x1d08deDaB8F8db00B7Bedf802C116Cbcc0803F18-1782869127151	Yes / 99.3¢	-26.73	$26.5
3h	Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?	0 0x5533...8251ba	No / 0.7¢	-26.73	$0.19
4h	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?	0 STACK123	Yes / 0.1¢	-20.00	$0.02
4h	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?	0 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.	Yes / 0.1¢	+20.00	$0.02
4h	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?	CheChe-0	No / 99.0¢	-0.01	$0.01
4h	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?	0 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.	Yes / 1.0¢	-0.01	$0
5h	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?	0 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.	Yes / 1.0¢	-0.01	$0
5h	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?	CheChe-0	No / 99.0¢	-0.01	$0.01
5h	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?	CheChe-0	No / 99.0¢	-0.01	$0.01
5h	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?	0 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.	Yes / 1.0¢	-0.01	$0
5h	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?	0 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.	Yes / 0.1¢	+20.00	$0.02
5h	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?	0 0xaCe3E1cD20759DBAE04AaE226111BB71Ac41F9B0-1779226113944	Yes / 0.1¢	-20.00	$0.02
5h	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?	0 em...well	Yes / 1.0¢	-30.00	$0.3
5h	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?	0 galhammerman	No / 98.9¢	-73.01	$72.2
5h	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?	0 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.	Yes / 1.1¢	-43.01	$0.47
6h	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?	0 TENETENET	Yes / 0.1¢	+100.00	$0.1
6h	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?	Dr.mett	No / 99.9¢	+245.00	$245
6h	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?	0 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.	Yes / 0.2¢	+100.00	$0.2
6h	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?	0 triklozoid	Yes / 0.1¢	+15.00	$0.01
6h	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?	0 em...well	Yes / 0.1¢	+30.00	$0.03
6h	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?	CheChe-0	No / 98.9¢	-0.01	$0.01
6h	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?	0 Hourglass	No / 98.9¢	+0.01	$0.01
6h	Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?	0 0x63Bd19EC92d98B4CeBFB150DF81B629A67B4aFf2-1776698908434	No / 0.5¢	+20.02	$0.1
6h	Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?	stapanu1337	Yes / 99.5¢	+20.02	$19.9
6h	Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?	r1stal	Yes / 99.5¢	-11.51	$11.5
6h	Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?	stapanu1337	Yes / 99.5¢	+11.51	$11.5
6h	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?	0 Bosphorus	No / 98.8¢	+0.01	$0.01
6h	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?	CheChe-0	No / 98.8¢	-0.01	$0.01
6h	Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?	0 ms1910	Yes / 99.5¢	-118.47	$118
6h	Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?	stapanu1337	Yes / 99.5¢	+118.47	$118
7h	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?	Majas	No / 98.7¢	+0.01	$0.01
7h	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?	CheChe-0	No / 98.7¢	-0.01	$0.01
7h	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?	0 gambler925	No / 98.5¢	+278.29	$274
7h	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?	0 DeepDitch	Yes / 1.1¢	-75.06	$0.83
7h	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?	0 Shalevini	Yes / 1.4¢	+353.35	$5.2
8h	Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?	0 DeepDitch	No / 1.3¢	-74.81	$0.97
8h	Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?	0 alessi2008	No / 1.3¢	+76.77	$1.04
8h	Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?	0 0x5533...8251ba	No / 1.4¢	-1.96	$0.03
8h	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?	0 DeepDitch	Yes / 1.4¢	-21.43	$0.3
8h	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?	0 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.	Yes / 0.8¢	-47.76	$0.38
8h	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?	Majas	No / 99.1¢	+100.00	$99.1
8h	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?	0 Kronos888	Yes / 0.9¢	+221.43	$2.08

Age	Market	Trader	Outcome	Shares	Value
1h	Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?	0 Blorpgore	Yes / 99.4¢	-1.38	$1.37
1h	Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?	0 0xf7964A7e2c38634162f7178c92309B5d78CB3543-1783213418981	Yes / 99.4¢	+1.38	$1.37
2h	Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?	0 Palace8709	Yes / 99.9¢	-618.00	$617
2h	Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?	ArmageddonRewardsBilly	No / 0.1¢	-618.00	$0.59
2h	Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?	0 Palace8709	Yes / 99.9¢	-17.00	$17
2h	Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?	0 TENETENET	No / 0.1¢	+100.00	$0.1
2h	Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?	0 triklozoid	No / 0.1¢	+15.00	$0.01
2h	Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?	ArmageddonRewardsBilly	No / 0.1¢	-132.00	$0.13
3h	Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?	0 0x1d08deDaB8F8db00B7Bedf802C116Cbcc0803F18-1782869127151	Yes / 99.3¢	-26.73	$26.5
3h	Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?	0 0x5533...8251ba	No / 0.7¢	-26.73	$0.19
4h	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?	0 STACK123	Yes / 0.1¢	-20.00	$0.02
4h	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?	0 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.	Yes / 0.1¢	+20.00	$0.02
4h	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?	CheChe-0	No / 99.0¢	-0.01	$0.01
4h	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?	0 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.	Yes / 1.0¢	-0.01	$0
5h	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?	0 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.	Yes / 1.0¢	-0.01	$0
5h	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?	CheChe-0	No / 99.0¢	-0.01	$0.01
5h	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?	CheChe-0	No / 99.0¢	-0.01	$0.01
5h	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?	0 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.	Yes / 1.0¢	-0.01	$0
5h	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?	0 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.	Yes / 0.1¢	+20.00	$0.02
5h	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?	0 0xaCe3E1cD20759DBAE04AaE226111BB71Ac41F9B0-1779226113944	Yes / 0.1¢	-20.00	$0.02
5h	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?	0 em...well	Yes / 1.0¢	-30.00	$0.3
5h	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?	0 galhammerman	No / 98.9¢	-73.01	$72.2
5h	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?	0 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.	Yes / 1.1¢	-43.01	$0.47
6h	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?	0 TENETENET	Yes / 0.1¢	+100.00	$0.1
6h	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?	Dr.mett	No / 99.9¢	+245.00	$245
6h	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?	0 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.	Yes / 0.2¢	+100.00	$0.2
6h	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?	0 triklozoid	Yes / 0.1¢	+15.00	$0.01
6h	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?	0 em...well	Yes / 0.1¢	+30.00	$0.03
6h	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?	CheChe-0	No / 98.9¢	-0.01	$0.01
6h	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?	0 Hourglass	No / 98.9¢	+0.01	$0.01
6h	Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?	0 0x63Bd19EC92d98B4CeBFB150DF81B629A67B4aFf2-1776698908434	No / 0.5¢	+20.02	$0.1
6h	Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?	stapanu1337	Yes / 99.5¢	+20.02	$19.9
6h	Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?	r1stal	Yes / 99.5¢	-11.51	$11.5
6h	Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?	stapanu1337	Yes / 99.5¢	+11.51	$11.5
6h	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?	0 Bosphorus	No / 98.8¢	+0.01	$0.01
6h	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?	CheChe-0	No / 98.8¢	-0.01	$0.01
6h	Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?	0 ms1910	Yes / 99.5¢	-118.47	$118
6h	Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?	stapanu1337	Yes / 99.5¢	+118.47	$118
7h	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?	Majas	No / 98.7¢	+0.01	$0.01
7h	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?	CheChe-0	No / 98.7¢	-0.01	$0.01
7h	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?	0 gambler925	No / 98.5¢	+278.29	$274
7h	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?	0 DeepDitch	Yes / 1.1¢	-75.06	$0.83
7h	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?	0 Shalevini	Yes / 1.4¢	+353.35	$5.2
8h	Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?	0 DeepDitch	No / 1.3¢	-74.81	$0.97
8h	Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?	0 alessi2008	No / 1.3¢	+76.77	$1.04
8h	Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?	0 0x5533...8251ba	No / 1.4¢	-1.96	$0.03
8h	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?	0 DeepDitch	Yes / 1.4¢	-21.43	$0.3
8h	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?	0 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.	Yes / 0.8¢	-47.76	$0.38
8h	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?	Majas	No / 99.1¢	+100.00	$99.1
8h	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?	0 Kronos888	Yes / 0.9¢	+221.43	$2.08

Will Claude go down on __ days in July?

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Will Claude go down on __ days in July?

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Will Claude go down on __ days in July?

Probability history

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Will Claude go down on __ days in July?

Probability history

Probability history

Markets

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Probability history