Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?

Open1 market·Ends Dec 31, 2026

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Volume

$149K

Txns

4,035

Traders

620

Fees

$24

Crypto Bitcoin Science quantum

On December 9, Google introduced Willow, a breakthrough state-of-the-art quantum chip. This achievement fueled speculation that Bitcoin's encryption may be vulnerable to quantum computers in the not-so-distant future (see https://www.cryptoglobe.com/latest/2024/12/does-googles-new-quantum-chip-willow-threaten-bitcoin-the-crypto-community-responds/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bitcoin stops using SHA-256 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the Bitcoin blockchain, in addition to a consensus of credible reporting.

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Markets

Market
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	5%	$2.73K	$7.79K

Age	Market	Trader	Outcome	Shares	Value
4h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 serio56	No / 94.7¢	-10.00	$9.47
4h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 newmetairatrust2	No / 94.7¢	+10.00	$9.51
4h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 newmetairatrust2	No / 94.7¢	+10.00	$9.51
4h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 serio56	No / 94.7¢	-10.00	$9.47
4h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 serio56	No / 94.7¢	-10.00	$9.47
4h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 newmetairatrust2	No / 94.7¢	+10.00	$9.51
6h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 cornwalll	No / 94.6¢	+53.00	$50.1
6h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 jubeli	No / 94.6¢	+0.82	$0.78
6h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 jubileeeee	No / 94.6¢	+41.18	$39
6h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 Liamforpol	No / 94.2¢	-148.00	$139
6h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 literally451F	No / 94.6¢	+53.00	$50.1
6h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 0x477bfFfDA2FbBAC508A43973616E94A73AF92433-1761810947354	No / 94.2¢	-79.92	$75.3
6h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 wear-chair-kirkland	No / 94.6¢	+53.00	$50.1
6h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 jubileeeee	No / 94.6¢	+11.82	$11.2
6h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 WEARECHARLIEKIRKK	No / 94.6¢	+15.10	$14.3
8h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 0x477bfFfDA2FbBAC508A43973616E94A73AF92433-1761810947354	No / 94.7¢	-124.08	$118
8h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 Liamforpol	No / 94.7¢	+148.00	$141
8h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 MomOlivia	No / 94.7¢	-23.92	$22.7
9h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 MomOlivia	No / 94.7¢	-131.08	$124
9h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 0x477bfFfDA2FbBAC508A43973616E94A73AF92433-1761810947354	No / 94.7¢	+204.00	$194
9h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 intelfinish	No / 94.7¢	-72.92	$69.1
9h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 MomOlivia	No / 94.7¢	+155.00	$147
9h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 juliaHD	No / 94.7¢	-16.92	$16
9h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 intelfinish	No / 94.7¢	-138.08	$131
11h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 yyykkkppp	No / 94.2¢	-23.23	$21.9
11h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 WEARECHARLIEKIRKK	No / 94.6¢	+23.23	$22
12h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 intelfinish	No / 94.7¢	+211.00	$201
12h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 Leolovebtc	No / 94.7¢	-41.92	$39.7
12h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 juliaHD	No / 94.7¢	-169.08	$160
13h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 Leolovebtc	No / 94.7¢	-165.08	$156
13h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 switcher610	No / 94.7¢	-20.92	$19.8
13h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 juliaHD	No / 94.7¢	+186.00	$177
13h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 YuriLoza	No / 94.7¢	-46.00	$43.6
13h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 switcher610	No / 94.7¢	-29.08	$27.5
13h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 dickcan	No / 94.7¢	-51.00	$48.3
13h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 hyperboreanchromosome	No / 94.7¢	-31.16	$29.5
13h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 valeriafronzo	No / 94.7¢	-49.76	$47.1
13h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 Leolovebtc	No / 94.7¢	+207.00	$197
15h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 WEARECHARLIEKIRKK	No / 94.6¢	+14.67	$13.9
15h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 l0xxen	No / 94.2¢	-31.67	$29.8
15h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 Africa-Toto	No / 94.6¢	+17.00	$16.1
19h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 hyperboreanchromosome	No / 94.7¢	-15.84	$15
19h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 HAB-BRAVE	No / 94.7¢	+15.84	$15.1
1d	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 valeriafronzo	No / 94.6¢	+1.00	$0.95
1d	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 serio56	No / 94.6¢	+51.00	$48.2
1d	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 jamepayne	No / 94.6¢	+48.00	$45.4
1d	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 Africa-Toto	No / 94.6¢	+36.00	$34.1
1d	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 SFoo1luck	No / 94.2¢	-136.00	$128
1d	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 SFoo1luck	No / 94.8¢	+136.00	$129
1d	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 tiger555	Yes / 5.2¢	+136.00	$7.07

Age	Market	Trader	Outcome	Shares	Value
4h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 serio56	No / 94.7¢	-10.00	$9.47
4h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 newmetairatrust2	No / 94.7¢	+10.00	$9.51
4h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 newmetairatrust2	No / 94.7¢	+10.00	$9.51
4h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 serio56	No / 94.7¢	-10.00	$9.47
4h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 serio56	No / 94.7¢	-10.00	$9.47
4h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 newmetairatrust2	No / 94.7¢	+10.00	$9.51
6h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 cornwalll	No / 94.6¢	+53.00	$50.1
6h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 jubeli	No / 94.6¢	+0.82	$0.78
6h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 jubileeeee	No / 94.6¢	+41.18	$39
6h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 Liamforpol	No / 94.2¢	-148.00	$139
6h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 literally451F	No / 94.6¢	+53.00	$50.1
6h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 0x477bfFfDA2FbBAC508A43973616E94A73AF92433-1761810947354	No / 94.2¢	-79.92	$75.3
6h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 wear-chair-kirkland	No / 94.6¢	+53.00	$50.1
6h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 jubileeeee	No / 94.6¢	+11.82	$11.2
6h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 WEARECHARLIEKIRKK	No / 94.6¢	+15.10	$14.3
8h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 0x477bfFfDA2FbBAC508A43973616E94A73AF92433-1761810947354	No / 94.7¢	-124.08	$118
8h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 Liamforpol	No / 94.7¢	+148.00	$141
8h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 MomOlivia	No / 94.7¢	-23.92	$22.7
9h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 MomOlivia	No / 94.7¢	-131.08	$124
9h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 0x477bfFfDA2FbBAC508A43973616E94A73AF92433-1761810947354	No / 94.7¢	+204.00	$194
9h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 intelfinish	No / 94.7¢	-72.92	$69.1
9h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 MomOlivia	No / 94.7¢	+155.00	$147
9h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 juliaHD	No / 94.7¢	-16.92	$16
9h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 intelfinish	No / 94.7¢	-138.08	$131
11h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 yyykkkppp	No / 94.2¢	-23.23	$21.9
11h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 WEARECHARLIEKIRKK	No / 94.6¢	+23.23	$22
12h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 intelfinish	No / 94.7¢	+211.00	$201
12h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 Leolovebtc	No / 94.7¢	-41.92	$39.7
12h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 juliaHD	No / 94.7¢	-169.08	$160
13h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 Leolovebtc	No / 94.7¢	-165.08	$156
13h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 switcher610	No / 94.7¢	-20.92	$19.8
13h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 juliaHD	No / 94.7¢	+186.00	$177
13h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 YuriLoza	No / 94.7¢	-46.00	$43.6
13h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 switcher610	No / 94.7¢	-29.08	$27.5
13h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 dickcan	No / 94.7¢	-51.00	$48.3
13h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 hyperboreanchromosome	No / 94.7¢	-31.16	$29.5
13h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 valeriafronzo	No / 94.7¢	-49.76	$47.1
13h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 Leolovebtc	No / 94.7¢	+207.00	$197
15h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 WEARECHARLIEKIRKK	No / 94.6¢	+14.67	$13.9
15h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 l0xxen	No / 94.2¢	-31.67	$29.8
15h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 Africa-Toto	No / 94.6¢	+17.00	$16.1
19h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 hyperboreanchromosome	No / 94.7¢	-15.84	$15
19h	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 HAB-BRAVE	No / 94.7¢	+15.84	$15.1
1d	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 valeriafronzo	No / 94.6¢	+1.00	$0.95
1d	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 serio56	No / 94.6¢	+51.00	$48.2
1d	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 jamepayne	No / 94.6¢	+48.00	$45.4
1d	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 Africa-Toto	No / 94.6¢	+36.00	$34.1
1d	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 SFoo1luck	No / 94.2¢	-136.00	$128
1d	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 SFoo1luck	No / 94.8¢	+136.00	$129
1d	Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?	0 tiger555	Yes / 5.2¢	+136.00	$7.07

Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?

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Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?

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Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?

Probability history

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Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?

Probability history

Probability history

Markets

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Probability history