Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
ActiveVolume
$153K
Txns
4,225
Traders
659
Fees
$33
Liquidity
$7,365
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
Volume
$153K
Txns
4,225
Traders
659
Fees
$33
Liquidity
$7,365
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
On December 9, Google introduced Willow, a breakthrough state-of-the-art quantum chip. This achievement fueled speculation that Bitcoin's encryption may be vulnerable to quantum computers in the not-so-distant future (see https://www.cryptoglobe.com/latest/2024/12/does-googles-new-quantum-chip-willow-threaten-bitcoin-the-crypto-community-responds/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bitcoin stops using SHA-256 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the Bitcoin blockchain, in addition to a consensus of credible reporting.
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| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | revgfwed | No / 95.1¢ | +24.19 | $23.1 | |
| 1h | hyuingho | No / 95.1¢ | -16.23 | $15.4 | |
| 1h | stephenwrite | No / 95.0¢ | -7.96 | $7.56 | |
| 1d | shadowrunner | No / 95.0¢ | +15.00 | $14.3 | |
| 1d | stephenwrite | No / 95.0¢ | -15.00 | $14.3 | |
| 1d | DrkShade2K | No / 95.0¢ | +2.51 | $2.39 | |
| 1d | stephenwrite | No / 95.0¢ | -2.51 | $2.38 | |
| 2d | shadowrunner | No / 95.0¢ | +20.00 | $19.1 | |
| 2d | stephenwrite | No / 95.0¢ | -20.00 | $19 | |
| 3d | LedgerB2 | No / 95.1¢ | +4.71 | $4.5 | |
| 3d | stephenwrite | No / 95.1¢ | -4.71 | $4.48 | |
| 3d | tiger555 | Yes / 5.2¢ | -1.24 | $0.06 | |
| 3d | oruewqwt | No / 94.5¢ | -1.24 | $1.17 | |
| 4d | tiger555 | Yes / 5.2¢ | -1.52 | $0.08 | |
| 4d | pyuotwr | No / 94.5¢ | -1.52 | $1.44 | |
| 4d | MusicLover88 | No / 95.1¢ | +1.05 | $1 | |
| 4d | stephenwrite | No / 95.1¢ | -1.05 | $1 | |
| 4d | elpatrondelaciudad | No / 94.5¢ | -1.07 | $1.01 | |
| 4d | tiger555 | Yes / 5.2¢ | -1.07 | $0.06 | |
| 4d | stephenwrite | No / 95.1¢ | -1.07 | $1.02 | |
| 4d | elpatrondelaciudad | No / 95.1¢ | +1.07 | $1.02 | |
| 5d | iouoi | No / 94.5¢ | -1.48 | $1.4 | |
| 5d | tiger555 | Yes / 5.2¢ | -1.48 | $0.08 | |
| 6d | elpatrondelaciudad | No / 94.5¢ | -1.09 | $1.03 | |
| 6d | tiger555 | Yes / 5.2¢ | -1.09 | $0.06 |
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