U.S. nuclear test by...?

Open6 markets·Ends Mar 31, 2026

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield. Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution. Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US. The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.

Markets

Market
December 31, 2026	8%	$0	$9.8K
September 30, 2026	5%	$0	$17.2K
June 30, 2026	3%	$489	$13.5K
November 30	NoResolved	$0	$0
December 31	NoResolved	$0	$0
March 31, 2026	NoResolved	$0	$0

Age	Market	Trader	Outcome	Shares	Value
31m	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 bachishev	No / 97.5¢	-1.07	$1.04
31m	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 Xylo66	No / 97.5¢	+1.07	$1.04
3h	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 bachishev	No / 97.5¢	-27.21	$26.5
3h	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 0xDf273e0fE72a613b27de588aaA5237F3B76ae6E4-1773050216221	No / 97.5¢	+27.21	$26.5
3h	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 0xDf273e0fE72a613b27de588aaA5237F3B76ae6E4-1773050216221	No / 97.5¢	+172.79	$168
3h	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 0x7a63...81b4ef	Yes / 2.5¢	+24.00	$0.6
3h	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 fryderykaesen	No / 97.5¢	-48.79	$47.6
3h	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 dmitro234	No / 97.5¢	-50.00	$48.8
3h	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 bibboop	No / 97.5¢	-50.00	$48.8
3h	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 fryderykaesen	No / 97.5¢	-3.82	$3.72
3h	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 Abys2sker7892	No / 97.5¢	+3.82	$3.72
7h	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 fryderykaesen	No / 97.5¢	-4.31	$4.2
7h	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 IronFist44	No / 97.5¢	+4.31	$4.2
10h	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 bachishev	No / 97.3¢	+54.00	$52.5
10h	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 S888	No / 96.6¢	+50.00	$48.3
10h	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 v1notlost	Yes / 3.0¢	+104.00	$3.16
1d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 fryderykaesen	No / 97.5¢	-3.08	$3
1d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 Phnt0m7Tger	No / 97.5¢	+3.08	$3
2d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 Barracuda6172	No / 98.9¢	+2.02	$2
2d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	Haradwaith	No / 98.9¢	-2.02	$2
2d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 dmitro234	No / 97.4¢	+50.00	$48.7
2d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 bibboop	No / 97.4¢	+50.00	$48.7
2d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 0x0bf730d2B5E0b401b4d529841783f50Cb6D243A2-1771603323578	Yes / 2.5¢	-20.39	$0.51
2d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 0x0bf730d2B5E0b401b4d529841783f50Cb6D243A2-1771603323578	Yes / 2.5¢	-16.23	$0.41
2d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 0xe0111c932dDF1C517B31E8CF14Ea8aa534C19e82-1777333572129	Yes / 2.6¢	+193.72	$5
2d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 0xDf273e0fE72a613b27de588aaA5237F3B76ae6E4-1773050216221	No / 97.4¢	+39.62	$38.6
2d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	PaddyAlpha	No / 97.4¢	+17.48	$17
2d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 0x0bf730d2B5E0b401b4d529841783f50Cb6D243A2-1771603323578	Yes / 1.2¢	+8.19	$0.1
2d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 0x0bf730d2B5E0b401b4d529841783f50Cb6D243A2-1771603323578	Yes / 1.2¢	+12.20	$0.15
2d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 alexkrg	Yes / 1.0¢	+47.74	$0.48
2d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 Tobimateu	Yes / 1.1¢	-88.23	$0.94
2d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	Haradwaith	No / 98.9¢	-20.10	$19.9
3d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 Bun123ni	No / 98.8¢	+3.24	$3.2
3d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 0x0bf730d2B5E0b401b4d529841783f50Cb6D243A2-1771603323578	Yes / 1.2¢	+2.63	$0.03
3d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 0x0bf730d2B5E0b401b4d529841783f50Cb6D243A2-1771603323578	Yes / 1.2¢	+0.61	$0.01
3d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 nativedude	No / 98.8¢	+13.00	$12.8
3d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 0x0bf730d2B5E0b401b4d529841783f50Cb6D243A2-1771603323578	Yes / 1.2¢	+6.75	$0.08
3d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 0x0bf730d2B5E0b401b4d529841783f50Cb6D243A2-1771603323578	Yes / 1.2¢	+6.25	$0.07
3d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 0xDf273e0fE72a613b27de588aaA5237F3B76ae6E4-1773050216221	Yes / 1.9¢	-117.46	$2.23
3d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	jesse.n533n	Yes / 2.0¢	+493.38	$10
3d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 0xDf273e0fE72a613b27de588aaA5237F3B76ae6E4-1773050216221	Yes / 1.4¢	-14.88	$0.21
3d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 0xDf273e0fE72a613b27de588aaA5237F3B76ae6E4-1773050216221	Yes / 1.5¢	-52.20	$0.78
3d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 0xDf273e0fE72a613b27de588aaA5237F3B76ae6E4-1773050216221	Yes / 2.0¢	-208.81	$4.18
3d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	PaddyAlpha	No / 97.4¢	+100.03	$97.4
4d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	Haradwaith	No / 99.3¢	-4.03	$4
4d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 Charlie101	No / 99.3¢	+4.03	$4
4d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 mentaljay12	No / 99.3¢	+4.03	$4
4d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	Haradwaith	No / 99.3¢	-4.03	$4
4d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 0xDf273e0fE72a613b27de588aaA5237F3B76ae6E4-1773050216221	Yes / 1.4¢	-24.27	$0.34
4d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 jhuret2	No / 99.0¢	-102.88	$102

Age	Market	Trader	Outcome	Shares	Value
31m	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 bachishev	No / 97.5¢	-1.07	$1.04
31m	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 Xylo66	No / 97.5¢	+1.07	$1.04
3h	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 bachishev	No / 97.5¢	-27.21	$26.5
3h	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 0xDf273e0fE72a613b27de588aaA5237F3B76ae6E4-1773050216221	No / 97.5¢	+27.21	$26.5
3h	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 0xDf273e0fE72a613b27de588aaA5237F3B76ae6E4-1773050216221	No / 97.5¢	+172.79	$168
3h	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 0x7a63...81b4ef	Yes / 2.5¢	+24.00	$0.6
3h	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 fryderykaesen	No / 97.5¢	-48.79	$47.6
3h	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 dmitro234	No / 97.5¢	-50.00	$48.8
3h	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 bibboop	No / 97.5¢	-50.00	$48.8
3h	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 fryderykaesen	No / 97.5¢	-3.82	$3.72
3h	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 Abys2sker7892	No / 97.5¢	+3.82	$3.72
7h	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 fryderykaesen	No / 97.5¢	-4.31	$4.2
7h	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 IronFist44	No / 97.5¢	+4.31	$4.2
10h	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 bachishev	No / 97.3¢	+54.00	$52.5
10h	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 S888	No / 96.6¢	+50.00	$48.3
10h	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 v1notlost	Yes / 3.0¢	+104.00	$3.16
1d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 fryderykaesen	No / 97.5¢	-3.08	$3
1d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 Phnt0m7Tger	No / 97.5¢	+3.08	$3
2d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 Barracuda6172	No / 98.9¢	+2.02	$2
2d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	Haradwaith	No / 98.9¢	-2.02	$2
2d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 dmitro234	No / 97.4¢	+50.00	$48.7
2d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 bibboop	No / 97.4¢	+50.00	$48.7
2d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 0x0bf730d2B5E0b401b4d529841783f50Cb6D243A2-1771603323578	Yes / 2.5¢	-20.39	$0.51
2d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 0x0bf730d2B5E0b401b4d529841783f50Cb6D243A2-1771603323578	Yes / 2.5¢	-16.23	$0.41
2d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 0xe0111c932dDF1C517B31E8CF14Ea8aa534C19e82-1777333572129	Yes / 2.6¢	+193.72	$5
2d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 0xDf273e0fE72a613b27de588aaA5237F3B76ae6E4-1773050216221	No / 97.4¢	+39.62	$38.6
2d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	PaddyAlpha	No / 97.4¢	+17.48	$17
2d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 0x0bf730d2B5E0b401b4d529841783f50Cb6D243A2-1771603323578	Yes / 1.2¢	+8.19	$0.1
2d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 0x0bf730d2B5E0b401b4d529841783f50Cb6D243A2-1771603323578	Yes / 1.2¢	+12.20	$0.15
2d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 alexkrg	Yes / 1.0¢	+47.74	$0.48
2d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 Tobimateu	Yes / 1.1¢	-88.23	$0.94
2d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	Haradwaith	No / 98.9¢	-20.10	$19.9
3d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 Bun123ni	No / 98.8¢	+3.24	$3.2
3d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 0x0bf730d2B5E0b401b4d529841783f50Cb6D243A2-1771603323578	Yes / 1.2¢	+2.63	$0.03
3d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 0x0bf730d2B5E0b401b4d529841783f50Cb6D243A2-1771603323578	Yes / 1.2¢	+0.61	$0.01
3d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 nativedude	No / 98.8¢	+13.00	$12.8
3d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 0x0bf730d2B5E0b401b4d529841783f50Cb6D243A2-1771603323578	Yes / 1.2¢	+6.75	$0.08
3d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 0x0bf730d2B5E0b401b4d529841783f50Cb6D243A2-1771603323578	Yes / 1.2¢	+6.25	$0.07
3d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 0xDf273e0fE72a613b27de588aaA5237F3B76ae6E4-1773050216221	Yes / 1.9¢	-117.46	$2.23
3d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	jesse.n533n	Yes / 2.0¢	+493.38	$10
3d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 0xDf273e0fE72a613b27de588aaA5237F3B76ae6E4-1773050216221	Yes / 1.4¢	-14.88	$0.21
3d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 0xDf273e0fE72a613b27de588aaA5237F3B76ae6E4-1773050216221	Yes / 1.5¢	-52.20	$0.78
3d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 0xDf273e0fE72a613b27de588aaA5237F3B76ae6E4-1773050216221	Yes / 2.0¢	-208.81	$4.18
3d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	PaddyAlpha	No / 97.4¢	+100.03	$97.4
4d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	Haradwaith	No / 99.3¢	-4.03	$4
4d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 Charlie101	No / 99.3¢	+4.03	$4
4d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 mentaljay12	No / 99.3¢	+4.03	$4
4d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	Haradwaith	No / 99.3¢	-4.03	$4
4d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 0xDf273e0fE72a613b27de588aaA5237F3B76ae6E4-1773050216221	Yes / 1.4¢	-24.27	$0.34
4d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	0 jhuret2	No / 99.0¢	-102.88	$102

U.S. nuclear test by...?

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U.S. nuclear test by...?

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U.S. nuclear test by...?

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U.S. nuclear test by...?

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