U.S. nuclear test by...?

Open7 markets·Ends Mar 31, 2026

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Geopolitics Trump Politics putin

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield. Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution. Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US. The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.

Markets

Market				Ends
December 31, 2026	8%	$0	$9.74K	Dec 31, 2026
September 30, 2026	1%	$41	$8.11K	Sep 30, 2026
November 30	NoResolved	$0	$0	—
December 31	NoResolved	$0	$0	—
June 30, 2026	NoResolved	$0	$0	Jun 30, 2026
March 31, 2026	NoResolved	$0	$0	Mar 31, 2026

Age	Market	Trader	Outcome	Shares	Value
20h	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	0 gaut6375	Yes / 1.1¢	+3.96	$0.04
20h	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	0 Mary202	No / 98.9¢	-40.57	$40.1
20h	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	0 0x4cAF2c7C0Ea0411a6DBD4F5420001F180F5Db74A-1761648363452	Yes / 0.9¢	-69.98	$0.64
20h	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	0 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.	Yes / 0.6¢	+25.45	$0.15
3d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	0 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.	Yes / 1.8¢	-2.76	$0.05
3d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	0 Tuatara5921	No / 98.2¢	-2.76	$2.71
4d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	0 gaut6375	Yes / 1.1¢	+2.38	$0.03
4d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	0 Thund3r66Ph03nix	No / 98.9¢	+2.38	$2.35
4d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	0 gaut6375	Yes / 1.1¢	+2.54	$0.03
4d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	0 StormRider22	No / 98.9¢	+2.54	$2.51
4d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	0 gaut6375	Yes / 1.1¢	+1.11	$0.01
4d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	0 Zoriel92P	No / 98.9¢	+1.11	$1.1
5d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	0 Avaghghgv	Yes / 8.0¢	-9.89	$0.79
5d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	johnlkelly	No / 92.0¢	-9.89	$9.1
5d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	0 0x0bf730d2B5E0b401b4d529841783f50Cb6D243A2-1771603323578	Yes / 1.2¢	-10.10	$0.12
5d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	johnlkelly	No / 98.7¢	-72.37	$71.4
5d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	0 mickyakofi	No / 98.7¢	+56.00	$55.3
5d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	0 b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	Yes / 1.9¢	-6.27	$0.12
5d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	0 gaut6375	Yes / 1.2¢	+4.67	$0.06
5d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	0 0x0bf730d2B5E0b401b4d529841783f50Cb6D243A2-1771603323578	Yes / 1.2¢	-4.67	$0.06
6d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	0 F1reBlaze21	No / 98.8¢	+1.19	$1.18
6d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	0 gaut6375	Yes / 1.2¢	+1.19	$0.01
6d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	0 Thunder19Hawk	No / 98.8¢	+4.13	$4.08
6d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	0 gaut6375	Yes / 1.2¢	+4.13	$0.05
7d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	0 b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	Yes / 1.2¢	+8.60	$0.1
7d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	0 PPMT	Yes / 1.2¢	-8.60	$0.1
7d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	0 PalmPalm	No / 99.0¢	+1.30	$1.29
7d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	johnlkelly	No / 99.0¢	-1.30	$1.29
7d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	0 PPMT	Yes / 1.1¢	+8.59	$0.09
7d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	0 EnigmaticExplorer7284	No / 98.9¢	+8.59	$8.5
9d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	0 Avaghghgv	Yes / 8.0¢	-125.00	$10
9d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	0 Oleg1970	Yes / 8.0¢	+125.00	$10
10d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	0 sj1world	No / 95.0¢	-19.42	$18.4
10d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	0 0xDf273e0fE72a613b27de588aaA5237F3B76ae6E4-1773050216221	No / 95.0¢	-26.03	$24.7
10d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	0 darkestpool	Yes / 5.0¢	-45.45	$2.27
10d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	0 chukwudi	Yes / 8.0¢	+25.00	$2.08
10d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	0 Avaghghgv	Yes / 8.0¢	-25.00	$2
11d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	0 0x0bf730d2B5E0b401b4d529841783f50Cb6D243A2-1771603323578	Yes / 1.1¢	+14.76	$0.16
11d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	0 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.	Yes / 0.8¢	+26.66	$0.21
11d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	0 Baesangchu	Yes / 0.9¢	-41.42	$0.38
11d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	0 0x5533...8251ba	Yes / 7.0¢	-97.00	$6.79
11d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	0 0xDf273e0fE72a613b27de588aaA5237F3B76ae6E4-1773050216221	No / 93.0¢	-97.00	$90.2
11d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	0 0xDf273e0fE72a613b27de588aaA5237F3B76ae6E4-1773050216221	No / 94.0¢	-19.73	$18.5
11d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	0 AJSV	No / 94.0¢	+19.73	$18.5
11d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	0 PPMT	Yes / 6.0¢	-21.26	$1.28
11d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	0 0xDf273e0fE72a613b27de588aaA5237F3B76ae6E4-1773050216221	No / 94.0¢	-21.26	$20
11d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	0 0xE9f2e4FFb806eE414C62ce7167125Fdb22F2F982-1781633647844	Yes / 5.5¢	+18.25	$1
11d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	0 0x0bf730d2B5E0b401b4d529841783f50Cb6D243A2-1771603323578	Yes / 5.0¢	-9.52	$0.48
11d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	0 PPMT	Yes / 6.0¢	-8.73	$0.52
11d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	0 akko123	Yes / 5.0¢	-7.90	$0.39

Age	Market	Trader	Outcome	Shares	Value
20h	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	0 gaut6375	Yes / 1.1¢	+3.96	$0.04
20h	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	0 Mary202	No / 98.9¢	-40.57	$40.1
20h	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	0 0x4cAF2c7C0Ea0411a6DBD4F5420001F180F5Db74A-1761648363452	Yes / 0.9¢	-69.98	$0.64
20h	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	0 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.	Yes / 0.6¢	+25.45	$0.15
3d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	0 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.	Yes / 1.8¢	-2.76	$0.05
3d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	0 Tuatara5921	No / 98.2¢	-2.76	$2.71
4d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	0 gaut6375	Yes / 1.1¢	+2.38	$0.03
4d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	0 Thund3r66Ph03nix	No / 98.9¢	+2.38	$2.35
4d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	0 gaut6375	Yes / 1.1¢	+2.54	$0.03
4d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	0 StormRider22	No / 98.9¢	+2.54	$2.51
4d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	0 gaut6375	Yes / 1.1¢	+1.11	$0.01
4d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	0 Zoriel92P	No / 98.9¢	+1.11	$1.1
5d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	0 Avaghghgv	Yes / 8.0¢	-9.89	$0.79
5d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	johnlkelly	No / 92.0¢	-9.89	$9.1
5d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	0 0x0bf730d2B5E0b401b4d529841783f50Cb6D243A2-1771603323578	Yes / 1.2¢	-10.10	$0.12
5d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	johnlkelly	No / 98.7¢	-72.37	$71.4
5d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	0 mickyakofi	No / 98.7¢	+56.00	$55.3
5d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	0 b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	Yes / 1.9¢	-6.27	$0.12
5d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	0 gaut6375	Yes / 1.2¢	+4.67	$0.06
5d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	0 0x0bf730d2B5E0b401b4d529841783f50Cb6D243A2-1771603323578	Yes / 1.2¢	-4.67	$0.06
6d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	0 F1reBlaze21	No / 98.8¢	+1.19	$1.18
6d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	0 gaut6375	Yes / 1.2¢	+1.19	$0.01
6d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	0 Thunder19Hawk	No / 98.8¢	+4.13	$4.08
6d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	0 gaut6375	Yes / 1.2¢	+4.13	$0.05
7d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	0 b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	Yes / 1.2¢	+8.60	$0.1
7d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	0 PPMT	Yes / 1.2¢	-8.60	$0.1
7d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	0 PalmPalm	No / 99.0¢	+1.30	$1.29
7d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	johnlkelly	No / 99.0¢	-1.30	$1.29
7d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	0 PPMT	Yes / 1.1¢	+8.59	$0.09
7d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	0 EnigmaticExplorer7284	No / 98.9¢	+8.59	$8.5
9d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	0 Avaghghgv	Yes / 8.0¢	-125.00	$10
9d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	0 Oleg1970	Yes / 8.0¢	+125.00	$10
10d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	0 sj1world	No / 95.0¢	-19.42	$18.4
10d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	0 0xDf273e0fE72a613b27de588aaA5237F3B76ae6E4-1773050216221	No / 95.0¢	-26.03	$24.7
10d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	0 darkestpool	Yes / 5.0¢	-45.45	$2.27
10d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	0 chukwudi	Yes / 8.0¢	+25.00	$2.08
10d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	0 Avaghghgv	Yes / 8.0¢	-25.00	$2
11d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	0 0x0bf730d2B5E0b401b4d529841783f50Cb6D243A2-1771603323578	Yes / 1.1¢	+14.76	$0.16
11d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	0 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.	Yes / 0.8¢	+26.66	$0.21
11d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	0 Baesangchu	Yes / 0.9¢	-41.42	$0.38
11d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	0 0x5533...8251ba	Yes / 7.0¢	-97.00	$6.79
11d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	0 0xDf273e0fE72a613b27de588aaA5237F3B76ae6E4-1773050216221	No / 93.0¢	-97.00	$90.2
11d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	0 0xDf273e0fE72a613b27de588aaA5237F3B76ae6E4-1773050216221	No / 94.0¢	-19.73	$18.5
11d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	0 AJSV	No / 94.0¢	+19.73	$18.5
11d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	0 PPMT	Yes / 6.0¢	-21.26	$1.28
11d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	0 0xDf273e0fE72a613b27de588aaA5237F3B76ae6E4-1773050216221	No / 94.0¢	-21.26	$20
11d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	0 0xE9f2e4FFb806eE414C62ce7167125Fdb22F2F982-1781633647844	Yes / 5.5¢	+18.25	$1
11d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	0 0x0bf730d2B5E0b401b4d529841783f50Cb6D243A2-1771603323578	Yes / 5.0¢	-9.52	$0.48
11d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	0 PPMT	Yes / 6.0¢	-8.73	$0.52
11d	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	0 akko123	Yes / 5.0¢	-7.90	$0.39

U.S. nuclear test by...?

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U.S. nuclear test by...?

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U.S. nuclear test by...?

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U.S. nuclear test by...?

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