Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026

Open7 markets·Ends Dec 31, 2026

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This market will resolve according to the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield on the last reported day of 2026, as reported by the Japanese Ministry of Finance. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Japanese Ministry of Finance’s “Interest Rate” data for Japanese Government Bonds found at (https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/jgbs/reference/interest_rate/index.htm). The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “10Y” in row corresponding to the latest reported date of 2026. The latest reported date will be confirmed once the Japanese Ministry of Finance publishes its first 10-year government bond yield for a 2027 date. The last 2026 date published before that point will be treated as the final reported date of 2026. If the Ministry of Finance has not published any 2027 yield data for the specified date by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve using the most recent 2026 yield published as of that date.

Markets

Market				Ends
2.6-2.8%	38%	$0	$1.56K	Dec 31, 2026
2.8-3.0%	23%	$0	$1.35K	Dec 31, 2026
3.0%+	12%	$114	$512	Dec 31, 2026
2.4-2.6%	11%	$0	$2.64K	Dec 31, 2026
2.0-2.2%	10%	$170	$910	Dec 31, 2026
<2.0%	1%	$0	$626	Dec 31, 2026
2.2-2.4%	0%	$0	$600	Dec 31, 2026

Age	Market	Trader	Outcome	Shares	Value
1h	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	AllyouneedisClaude	No / 90.0¢	+90.03	$81.4
1h	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 59gfdgd	Yes / 10.0¢	+8.78	$0.88
1h	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 59gfdgd	Yes / 10.0¢	+5.80	$0.58
1h	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 Numitus1994	Yes / 10.0¢	+51.00	$5.1
1h	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 59gfdgd	Yes / 10.1¢	+9.74	$0.98
1h	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 AJSV	Yes / 10.1¢	+14.71	$1.49
2h	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 TraderProMax	Yes / 11.9¢	-10.50	$1.25
2h	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 R0ont	Yes / 12.0¢	+76.80	$9.61
2h	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 dropmeplease	Yes / 12.0¢	-46.30	$5.56
2h	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 bechamel	No / 88.0¢	+20.00	$17.6
5d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 0xE8C428250693d7f1E588ba6F4666d02E68F0eA5c-1782008528190	No / 76.4¢	-1.80	$1.38
5d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	Corlys	Yes / 22.7¢	-1.80	$0.41
9d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 59gfdgd	Yes / 10.1¢	+15.92	$1.61
9d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 0x7943...7129b4	Yes / 9.6¢	-15.92	$1.54
14d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 keybo	Yes / 9.6¢	-7.56	$0.73
14d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 nc3iceibvtvetvbt	Yes / 10.1¢	+6.93	$0.7
14d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 59gfdgd	Yes / 10.1¢	+0.63	$0.06
15d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 sirjhow01	No / 88.0¢	-20.00	$17.6
15d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 keybo	Yes / 11.5¢	-20.00	$2.29
16d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 TraderProMax	Yes / 8.9¢	+10.50	$0.93
16d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 niglette	Yes / 8.5¢	-21.50	$1.83
16d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 Oklmntrader	No / 91.1¢	-11.00	$10
16d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 niglette	Yes / 22.7¢	-12.76	$2.9
16d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 0x00cDEa4d807710807cdBC54AD34cFAFCd992c0aE-1782010404295	No / 76.4¢	-5.00	$3.82
16d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 0xE8C428250693d7f1E588ba6F4666d02E68F0eA5c-1782008528190	No / 76.4¢	-7.76	$5.93
16d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 AiBird	Yes / 14.0¢	-21.00	$2.94
16d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 0x7943...7129b4	No / 85.4¢	-21.00	$17.9
17d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 UranusProbe	Yes / 22.7¢	-0.44	$0.1
17d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 0xE8C428250693d7f1E588ba6F4666d02E68F0eA5c-1782008528190	No / 76.4¢	-0.44	$0.34
17d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 sirjhow01	No / 75.4¢	-50.00	$37.7
17d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 UranusProbe	Yes / 23.7¢	-22.00	$5.21
17d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 pogb	Yes / 23.7¢	-28.00	$6.64
17d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	LornaPredicts	Yes / 24.6¢	+14.70	$3.62
17d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 59gfdgd	Yes / 23.7¢	-14.70	$3.48
17d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 0x60172c890D721e728707Da07402CE2534500BF2C-1769494710304	No / 70.7¢	-1.92	$1.36
17d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 UranusProbe	Yes / 28.3¢	-1.92	$0.54
17d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 UranusProbe	Yes / 28.3¢	-2.64	$0.75
17d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 0x14b6E11b4eaf4AED0E1A4C35ff925e3b6f789E5A-1769423126395	No / 70.7¢	-2.64	$1.87
17d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 0x14b6E11b4eaf4AED0E1A4C35ff925e3b6f789E5A-1769423126395	No / 70.7¢	-1.80	$1.27
17d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 TraderProMax	Yes / 28.3¢	-1.80	$0.51
17d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	Dr.PNL	No / 73.0¢	-9.23	$6.74
17d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 AiBird	No / 72.9¢	-40.77	$29.7
17d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	tymedu	Yes / 26.1¢	-100.00	$26.1
17d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	LornaPredicts	Yes / 27.1¢	+50.00	$13.6
17d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 59gfdgd	Yes / 28.4¢	-2.25	$0.64
17d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 AiBird	No / 72.9¢	-11.22	$8.18
17d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 0x14b6E11b4eaf4AED0E1A4C35ff925e3b6f789E5A-1769423126395	No / 70.6¢	-2.25	$1.59
17d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 0x7d8101802D2c1bce2f08517bFC9e6aA0F4863Fc2-1769423590210	No / 72.9¢	+11.22	$8.29
17d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 AiBird	No / 72.9¢	-25.00	$18.2
17d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 Victor-Rainbow-Polymarket	Yes / 26.2¢	-25.00	$6.55

Age	Market	Trader	Outcome	Shares	Value
1h	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	AllyouneedisClaude	No / 90.0¢	+90.03	$81.4
1h	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 59gfdgd	Yes / 10.0¢	+8.78	$0.88
1h	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 59gfdgd	Yes / 10.0¢	+5.80	$0.58
1h	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 Numitus1994	Yes / 10.0¢	+51.00	$5.1
1h	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 59gfdgd	Yes / 10.1¢	+9.74	$0.98
1h	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 AJSV	Yes / 10.1¢	+14.71	$1.49
2h	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 TraderProMax	Yes / 11.9¢	-10.50	$1.25
2h	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 R0ont	Yes / 12.0¢	+76.80	$9.61
2h	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 dropmeplease	Yes / 12.0¢	-46.30	$5.56
2h	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 bechamel	No / 88.0¢	+20.00	$17.6
5d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 0xE8C428250693d7f1E588ba6F4666d02E68F0eA5c-1782008528190	No / 76.4¢	-1.80	$1.38
5d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	Corlys	Yes / 22.7¢	-1.80	$0.41
9d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 59gfdgd	Yes / 10.1¢	+15.92	$1.61
9d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 0x7943...7129b4	Yes / 9.6¢	-15.92	$1.54
14d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 keybo	Yes / 9.6¢	-7.56	$0.73
14d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 nc3iceibvtvetvbt	Yes / 10.1¢	+6.93	$0.7
14d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 59gfdgd	Yes / 10.1¢	+0.63	$0.06
15d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 sirjhow01	No / 88.0¢	-20.00	$17.6
15d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 keybo	Yes / 11.5¢	-20.00	$2.29
16d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 TraderProMax	Yes / 8.9¢	+10.50	$0.93
16d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 niglette	Yes / 8.5¢	-21.50	$1.83
16d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 Oklmntrader	No / 91.1¢	-11.00	$10
16d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 niglette	Yes / 22.7¢	-12.76	$2.9
16d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 0x00cDEa4d807710807cdBC54AD34cFAFCd992c0aE-1782010404295	No / 76.4¢	-5.00	$3.82
16d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 0xE8C428250693d7f1E588ba6F4666d02E68F0eA5c-1782008528190	No / 76.4¢	-7.76	$5.93
16d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 AiBird	Yes / 14.0¢	-21.00	$2.94
16d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 0x7943...7129b4	No / 85.4¢	-21.00	$17.9
17d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 UranusProbe	Yes / 22.7¢	-0.44	$0.1
17d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 0xE8C428250693d7f1E588ba6F4666d02E68F0eA5c-1782008528190	No / 76.4¢	-0.44	$0.34
17d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 sirjhow01	No / 75.4¢	-50.00	$37.7
17d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 UranusProbe	Yes / 23.7¢	-22.00	$5.21
17d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 pogb	Yes / 23.7¢	-28.00	$6.64
17d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	LornaPredicts	Yes / 24.6¢	+14.70	$3.62
17d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 59gfdgd	Yes / 23.7¢	-14.70	$3.48
17d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 0x60172c890D721e728707Da07402CE2534500BF2C-1769494710304	No / 70.7¢	-1.92	$1.36
17d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 UranusProbe	Yes / 28.3¢	-1.92	$0.54
17d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 UranusProbe	Yes / 28.3¢	-2.64	$0.75
17d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 0x14b6E11b4eaf4AED0E1A4C35ff925e3b6f789E5A-1769423126395	No / 70.7¢	-2.64	$1.87
17d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 0x14b6E11b4eaf4AED0E1A4C35ff925e3b6f789E5A-1769423126395	No / 70.7¢	-1.80	$1.27
17d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 TraderProMax	Yes / 28.3¢	-1.80	$0.51
17d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	Dr.PNL	No / 73.0¢	-9.23	$6.74
17d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 AiBird	No / 72.9¢	-40.77	$29.7
17d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	tymedu	Yes / 26.1¢	-100.00	$26.1
17d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	LornaPredicts	Yes / 27.1¢	+50.00	$13.6
17d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 59gfdgd	Yes / 28.4¢	-2.25	$0.64
17d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 AiBird	No / 72.9¢	-11.22	$8.18
17d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 0x14b6E11b4eaf4AED0E1A4C35ff925e3b6f789E5A-1769423126395	No / 70.6¢	-2.25	$1.59
17d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 0x7d8101802D2c1bce2f08517bFC9e6aA0F4863Fc2-1769423590210	No / 72.9¢	+11.22	$8.29
17d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 AiBird	No / 72.9¢	-25.00	$18.2
17d	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day…	0 Victor-Rainbow-Polymarket	Yes / 26.2¢	-25.00	$6.55

Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026

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Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026

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Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026

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Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026

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Probability history

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