How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

Open7 markets·Ends Dec 31, 2026

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This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.

Markets

Market
14–16	31%	$636	$2.63K
11–13	25%	$67	$1.22K
17–19	23%	$11.5	$3.16K
20+	14%	$30.8	$1.62K
8–10	10%	$125	$1.45K
5–7	1%	$58	$4.26K
<5	NoResolved	$0	$0

Age	Market	Trader	Outcome	Shares	Value
14m	Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 0xff36...3ad5b7	Yes / 10.0¢	-5.90	$0.59
14m	Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 Numitus1994	Yes / 10.0¢	+5.90	$0.59
26m	Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 planktonXD	Yes / 10.0¢	-13.10	$1.31
26m	Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 Numitus1994	Yes / 10.0¢	+13.10	$1.31
2h	Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 Assura	No / 74.0¢	+2.00	$1.48
2h	Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 perepuk	No / 74.0¢	-2.00	$1.48
2h	Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 Assura	No / 90.0¢	+2.00	$1.8
2h	Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 Numitus1994	Yes / 10.0¢	+2.00	$0.2
4h	Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 0xff36...3ad5b7	Yes / 10.0¢	-21.00	$2.1
4h	Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 Numitus1994	Yes / 10.0¢	+21.00	$2.1
7h	Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 Trip-Trade	Yes / 6.1¢	-13.09	$0.8
7h	Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 planktonXD	Yes / 6.1¢	+13.09	$0.8
7h	Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 no1biao	Yes / 25.0¢	-8.00	$2
7h	Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 tllompart	Yes / 25.0¢	+8.00	$2
7h	Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 tllompart	Yes / 5.3¢	+12.00	$0.64
7h	Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 DEGENKHAN	No / 94.7¢	+12.00	$11.4
7h	Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 Niromero	Yes / 13.9¢	+7.18	$1
7h	Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 TomTurbo	Yes / 14.0¢	-1.73	$0.24
7h	Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 0x9B43331E0C1CD8E9330eE516264fd8235E4133CE-1768317980638	No / 86.1¢	+5.45	$4.69
7h	Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 truthbeautyjustice	No / 95.2¢	-40.00	$38.1
7h	Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 donnieborislava	No / 95.3¢	+30.00	$28.6
7h	Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 DEGENKHAN	No / 94.7¢	+10.00	$9.47
13h	Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 adfadfadfgf	Yes / 13.9¢	+5.00	$0.69
13h	Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 donnieborislava	No / 95.3¢	+5.00	$4.76
13h	Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 planktonXD	Yes / 0.9¢	-5.00	$0.04
13h	Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	ArmageddonRewardsBilly	Yes / 31.0¢	-5.00	$1.55
13h	Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	ArmageddonRewardsBilly	Yes / 23.0¢	-5.00	$1.15
13h	Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 adfadfadfgf	Yes / 31.0¢	+5.00	$1.55
13h	Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 adfadfadfgf	Yes / 24.0¢	+5.00	$1.2
13h	Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 jnmtm	Yes / 13.0¢	-0.66	$0.09
13h	Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 TomTurbo	Yes / 14.0¢	-4.34	$0.61
13h	Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 adfadfadfgf	Yes / 0.9¢	+5.00	$0.04
13h	Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 adfadfadfgf	Yes / 23.0¢	+5.00	$1.15
13h	Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 AJSV	No / 76.0¢	+5.00	$3.8
13h	Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 adfadfadfgf	Yes / 4.7¢	+5.00	$0.23
13h	Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 jnmtm	Yes / 13.0¢	-5.00	$0.65
13h	Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 adfadfadfgf	Yes / 23.0¢	+5.00	$1.15
13h	Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 adfadfadfgf	Yes / 24.0¢	+5.00	$1.2
13h	Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 adfadfadfgf	Yes / 4.7¢	+5.00	$0.23
13h	Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	ArmageddonRewardsBilly	Yes / 31.0¢	-5.00	$1.55
13h	Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	ArmageddonRewardsBilly	Yes / 23.0¢	-5.00	$1.15
13h	Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 donnieborislava	No / 95.3¢	+5.00	$4.76
13h	Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 planktonXD	Yes / 0.9¢	-5.00	$0.04
13h	Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 adfadfadfgf	Yes / 31.0¢	+5.00	$1.55
13h	Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 AJSV	No / 76.0¢	+5.00	$3.8
13h	Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 adfadfadfgf	Yes / 13.0¢	+5.00	$0.65
13h	Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 adfadfadfgf	Yes / 0.9¢	+5.00	$0.04
13h	Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 AJSV	No / 76.0¢	+5.00	$3.8
13h	Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 adfadfadfgf	Yes / 4.7¢	+5.00	$0.23
13h	Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 adfadfadfgf	Yes / 0.9¢	+5.00	$0.04

Age	Market	Trader	Outcome	Shares	Value
14m	Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 0xff36...3ad5b7	Yes / 10.0¢	-5.90	$0.59
14m	Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 Numitus1994	Yes / 10.0¢	+5.90	$0.59
26m	Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 planktonXD	Yes / 10.0¢	-13.10	$1.31
26m	Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 Numitus1994	Yes / 10.0¢	+13.10	$1.31
2h	Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 Assura	No / 74.0¢	+2.00	$1.48
2h	Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 perepuk	No / 74.0¢	-2.00	$1.48
2h	Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 Assura	No / 90.0¢	+2.00	$1.8
2h	Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 Numitus1994	Yes / 10.0¢	+2.00	$0.2
4h	Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 0xff36...3ad5b7	Yes / 10.0¢	-21.00	$2.1
4h	Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 Numitus1994	Yes / 10.0¢	+21.00	$2.1
7h	Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 Trip-Trade	Yes / 6.1¢	-13.09	$0.8
7h	Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 planktonXD	Yes / 6.1¢	+13.09	$0.8
7h	Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 no1biao	Yes / 25.0¢	-8.00	$2
7h	Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 tllompart	Yes / 25.0¢	+8.00	$2
7h	Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 tllompart	Yes / 5.3¢	+12.00	$0.64
7h	Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 DEGENKHAN	No / 94.7¢	+12.00	$11.4
7h	Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 Niromero	Yes / 13.9¢	+7.18	$1
7h	Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 TomTurbo	Yes / 14.0¢	-1.73	$0.24
7h	Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 0x9B43331E0C1CD8E9330eE516264fd8235E4133CE-1768317980638	No / 86.1¢	+5.45	$4.69
7h	Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 truthbeautyjustice	No / 95.2¢	-40.00	$38.1
7h	Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 donnieborislava	No / 95.3¢	+30.00	$28.6
7h	Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 DEGENKHAN	No / 94.7¢	+10.00	$9.47
13h	Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 adfadfadfgf	Yes / 13.9¢	+5.00	$0.69
13h	Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 donnieborislava	No / 95.3¢	+5.00	$4.76
13h	Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 planktonXD	Yes / 0.9¢	-5.00	$0.04
13h	Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	ArmageddonRewardsBilly	Yes / 31.0¢	-5.00	$1.55
13h	Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	ArmageddonRewardsBilly	Yes / 23.0¢	-5.00	$1.15
13h	Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 adfadfadfgf	Yes / 31.0¢	+5.00	$1.55
13h	Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 adfadfadfgf	Yes / 24.0¢	+5.00	$1.2
13h	Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 jnmtm	Yes / 13.0¢	-0.66	$0.09
13h	Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 TomTurbo	Yes / 14.0¢	-4.34	$0.61
13h	Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 adfadfadfgf	Yes / 0.9¢	+5.00	$0.04
13h	Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 adfadfadfgf	Yes / 23.0¢	+5.00	$1.15
13h	Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 AJSV	No / 76.0¢	+5.00	$3.8
13h	Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 adfadfadfgf	Yes / 4.7¢	+5.00	$0.23
13h	Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 jnmtm	Yes / 13.0¢	-5.00	$0.65
13h	Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 adfadfadfgf	Yes / 23.0¢	+5.00	$1.15
13h	Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 adfadfadfgf	Yes / 24.0¢	+5.00	$1.2
13h	Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 adfadfadfgf	Yes / 4.7¢	+5.00	$0.23
13h	Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	ArmageddonRewardsBilly	Yes / 31.0¢	-5.00	$1.55
13h	Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	ArmageddonRewardsBilly	Yes / 23.0¢	-5.00	$1.15
13h	Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 donnieborislava	No / 95.3¢	+5.00	$4.76
13h	Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 planktonXD	Yes / 0.9¢	-5.00	$0.04
13h	Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 adfadfadfgf	Yes / 31.0¢	+5.00	$1.55
13h	Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 AJSV	No / 76.0¢	+5.00	$3.8
13h	Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 adfadfadfgf	Yes / 13.0¢	+5.00	$0.65
13h	Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 adfadfadfgf	Yes / 0.9¢	+5.00	$0.04
13h	Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 AJSV	No / 76.0¢	+5.00	$3.8
13h	Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 adfadfadfgf	Yes / 4.7¢	+5.00	$0.23
13h	Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	0 adfadfadfgf	Yes / 0.9¢	+5.00	$0.04

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

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How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

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How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

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How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

Probability history

Probability history

Markets

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Probability history