Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
ActiveVolume
$179K
Txns
3,557
Traders
607
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$1,644
Volume
$179K
Txns
3,557
Traders
607
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$1,644
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12h | KELBI | Yes / 32.0¢ | -6.28 | $2.01 | |
| 12h | keynesian.multiplier | Yes / 32.0¢ | +6.28 | $2.01 | |
| 12h | keynesian.multiplier | Yes / 32.0¢ | +10.00 | $3.2 | |
| 12h | KELBI | Yes / 32.0¢ | -10.00 | $3.2 | |
| 1d | northdrawer | No / 66.0¢ | +30.00 | $19.8 | |
| 1d | Lavincey | Yes / 34.0¢ | +23.33 | $7.93 | |
| 1d | keynesian.multiplier | Yes / 34.0¢ | +6.67 | $2.27 | |
| 1d | keynesian.multiplier | Yes / 34.0¢ | +3.33 | $1.13 | |
| 1d | 0xF1ADDd3C7e01dF23C3258EC690BBEf8896546979-1774575209559 | Yes / 34.0¢ | -3.33 | $1.13 | |
| 1d | keynesian.multiplier | No / 62.0¢ | +6.29 | $3.9 | |
| 1d | profit4real | Yes / 38.0¢ | +6.29 | $2.39 | |
| 3d | DEGENKHAN | Yes / 32.0¢ | +112.03 | $35.8 | |
| 3d | girardesque | Yes / 32.1¢ | -119.55 | $38.3 | |
| 3d | 53asdad | Yes / 33.0¢ | +7.52 | $2.48 | |
| 5d | AJSV | Yes / 31.0¢ | +5.00 | $1.55 | |
| 5d | 53asdad | Yes / 31.0¢ | +2.14 | $0.66 | |
| 5d | 0x41a8C3cD61ce2c3A52fF2C4FC7D1222CF28068FB-1775593852861 | Yes / 31.0¢ | -7.14 | $2.21 | |
| 8d | TH12 | Yes / 39.0¢ | -2.56 | $1 | |
| 8d | 0xa98F1a50432904510798116F68D93FA06919D282-1774625508104 | Yes / 39.0¢ | +2.56 | $1 | |
| 8d | lottonakamoto | No / 62.0¢ | +5.00 | $3.1 | |
| 8d | yiuyoo | Yes / 38.0¢ | +5.00 | $1.9 | |
| 8d | lottonakamoto | No / 62.0¢ | +5.00 | $3.1 | |
| 8d | yiuyoo | Yes / 38.0¢ | +5.00 | $1.9 | |
| 11d | 0x5784...c734b8 | Yes / 38.0¢ | -30.00 | $11.4 | |
| 11d | TH12 | Yes / 39.0¢ | -389.06 | $152 |
1–25
Human moon landing in 2026?
No 97%$391Kvolume
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Yes 78%$317Kvolume
New pandemic in 2026?
No 90%$655Kvolume
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
No 96%$851Kvolume
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
No 65%$177Kvolume
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
No 92%$4.08Mvolume