| PnL | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30? Yes 72.83 net shares | 63.9¢ / 80.0¢ | $0 (25.1%) | Jun 5, 2026 4:34 PM | |
 No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30? Yes 1,216.69 net shares | 13.8¢ / 10.0¢ | -$0 (-27.6%) | Jun 5, 2026 4:30 PM | |
 June 30 Yes 391.11 net shares | 45.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0 (122.2%) | May 22, 2026 11:06 AM | |
 December 31 No 410.53 net shares | 57.0¢ / 68.0¢ | $0 (19.3%) | May 22, 2026 10:56 AM | |
June 30 No 246.91 net shares | 81.0¢ / 95.0¢ | $0 (17.3%) | May 22, 2026 10:55 AM | |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No 403.57 net shares | 56.0¢ / 59.0¢ | $9.71 (5.4%) | May 22, 2026 10:39 AM | |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No 1,006.40 net shares | 24.8¢ / 23.0¢ | -$20.8 (-7.4%) | May 22, 2026 10:37 AM | |
 June 30 No 298.51 net shares | 67.0¢ / 60.0¢ | -$17.5 (-10.4%) | May 12, 2026 12:14 PM | |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes 2,000.00 net shares | 9.2¢ / 3.8¢ | -$54 (-58.7%) | May 12, 2026 12:13 PM | |
 June 30 Yes 4,109.03 net shares | 18.8¢ / 3.6¢ | -$240 (-80.8%) | May 12, 2026 12:12 PM | |
 Mexico Yes 142.00 net shares | 48.0¢ / 63.0¢ | $10.6 (31.2%) | Apr 24, 2026 4:27 AM | |
France Yes 61.41 net shares | 71.0¢ / 66.0¢ | -$1.54 (-7.0%) | Apr 23, 2026 9:27 PM | |
 South America Yes 100.00 net shares | 22.0¢ / 22.0¢ | -$0 (-0.0%) | Apr 23, 2026 8:56 PM | |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? No 0.01 net shares | 71.0¢ / 99.9¢ | $0 (40.7%) | Apr 23, 2026 3:27 PM | |
 May 15 No -70.32 net shares | 71.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $0 (40.6%) | Apr 21, 2026 3:25 PM | |
 May 31 No -102.72 net shares | 73.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0 (37.0%) | Apr 17, 2026 2:57 PM | |
 December 31 Yes 161.29 net shares | 62.0¢ / 81.0¢ | $15.3 (30.6%) | Apr 17, 2026 11:52 AM | |
 December 31 Yes 0.00 net shares | 12.7¢ / 5.3¢ | -$0 (-58.2%) | Apr 12, 2026 9:11 PM | |
 50-54% Yes 0.00 net shares | 67.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $0 (47.9%) | Apr 12, 2026 8:34 PM | |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes 0.00 net shares | 17.0¢ / 10.0¢ | -$0 (-41.2%) | Apr 12, 2026 8:19 PM | |
 April 30 No 0.01 net shares | 88.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0 (13.6%) | Apr 6, 2026 4:20 PM | |
— / 24.0¢ | $0 | — | ||
 Andy Burnham Yes | — / 74.0¢ | $0 | — |
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