Alfredss Polymarket Trader

How We Built Realtime Precomputed PnL for PolymarketRead the post

Explorer

Loading open positions...

Volume

Fees

Trades

Avg trade size

					Merge
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? NoCrypto 14.88 shares	64.2¢ / 44.0¢	-$16 (-13.1%)	$122 · 13	$99.4 · 4	$0	Jul 30, 2026 3:22 AM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Over $20M committed to the Infinex public sale? WonNoCrypto	97.6¢ / 100.0¢	$18.6 (2.5%)	$751 · 4	$0	$0	Jan 12, 2026 2:35 AM
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? WonYesPolitics	98.1¢ / 100.0¢	$15.8 (0.3%)	$5.69K · 41	$5.71K · 25	$0	Jan 28, 2026 10:53 PM
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in January? WonNoCrypto	96.4¢ / 0.0¢	$5.15 (0.1%)	$5.97K · 83	$5.97K · 41	$0	Jan 31, 2026 8:11 PM
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? WonNoCrypto	92.8¢ / 94.0¢	$4.8 (1.1%)	$445 · 6	$450 · 5	$0	Feb 15, 2026 4:08 PM
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)? WonYesFinance	90.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.6 (1.1%)	$324 · 11	$328 · 45	$0	Mar 18, 2026 9:18 PM
Will Perena launch a token by March 31, 2026? WonNoCrypto	89.8¢ / 100.0¢	$3 (1.3%)	$225 · 3	$228 · 2	$0	Apr 1, 2026 8:37 AM
Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026? WonNoCrypto	78.5¢ / 96.0¢	$2 (2.5%)	$78.5 · 2	$80.5 · 3	$0	Jul 29, 2026 11:09 AM
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeti… WonYesPolitics	60.3¢ / 100.0¢	$1.68 (1.5%)	$113 · 3	$115 · 4	$0	Mar 18, 2026 9:07 PM
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 January 5-11? WonNoCrypto	99.3¢ / 100.0¢	$1.5 (0.1%)	$1.39K · 2	$1.39K · 9	$0	Jan 12, 2026 7:17 AM
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025? WonNoCrypto	99.1¢ / 100.0¢	$1.48 (0.2%)	$625 · 15	$627 · 16	$0	Jan 1, 2026 8:01 AM
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January… WonYesFinance	99.5¢ / 100.0¢	$1.44 (0.1%)	$1.04K · 11	$1.05K · 22	$0	Jan 31, 2026 10:16 AM
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January? WonNoCrypto	97.5¢ / 100.0¢	$1.39 (0.1%)	$1.12K · 34	$1.12K · 15	$0	Feb 1, 2026 7:52 AM
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31? WonNoCrypto	98.2¢ / 100.0¢	$1.17 (0.1%)	$1.1K · 27	$1.1K · 28	$0	Jan 1, 2026 8:31 AM
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch? WonNoCrypto	98.4¢ / 100.0¢	$1.1 (0.1%)	$1.14K · 30	$1.14K · 25	$0	Dec 31, 2025 9:05 AM
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31? WonNoCrypto	29.0¢ / 0.0¢	$1 (3.4%)	$29 · 2	$30 · 1	$0	Mar 23, 2026 4:50 PM
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January? WonNoCrypto	92.5¢ / 100.0¢	$0.95 (0.1%)	$945 · 67	$946 · 21	$0	Feb 1, 2026 7:48 AM
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February? WonNoCrypto	95.8¢ / 100.0¢	$0.9 (0.1%)	$862 · 24	$863 · 6	$0	Mar 1, 2026 8:13 AM
Zama FDV above $4B one day after launch? WonNoCrypto	99.1¢ / 100.0¢	$0.83 (0.1%)	$1.02K · 7	$1.02K · 11	$0	Feb 3, 2026 11:13 PM
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch? WonNoCrypto	99.5¢ / 100.0¢	$0.73 (0.1%)	$761 · 19	$762 · 18	$0	Dec 31, 2025 9:05 AM
Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026? WonNoCrypto	92.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.7 (1.1%)	$64.4 · 1	$65.1 · 1	$0	Apr 1, 2026 8:24 AM
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 January 26-1? WonNoCrypto	99.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.6 (0.1%)	$594 · 4	$595 · 5	$0	Feb 2, 2026 11:44 AM
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? WonNoCrypto	96.6¢ / 100.0¢	$0.49 (0.2%)	$217 · 5	$218 · 5	$0	May 1, 2026 1:03 PM
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January? WonNoCrypto	91.4¢ / 0.0¢	$0.47 (0.1%)	$477 · 107	$477 · 23	$0	Jan 31, 2026 7:52 PM
Over $1B committed to the Gensyn public sale? WonNoCrypto	98.9¢ / 100.0¢	$0.45 (0.1%)	$356 · 9	$357 · 7	$0	Dec 20, 2025 6:34 PM
Aztec FDV above $2B one day after launch? WonNoCrypto	95.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.45 (1.1%)	$42.8 · 1	$43.2 · 2	$0	Feb 13, 2026 11:26 PM

					Merge
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? NoCrypto 14.88 shares	64.2¢ / 44.0¢	-$16 (-13.1%)	$122 · 13	$99.4 · 4	$0	Jul 30, 2026 3:22 AM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Over $20M committed to the Infinex public sale? WonNoCrypto	97.6¢ / 100.0¢	$18.6 (2.5%)	$751 · 4	$0	$0	Jan 12, 2026 2:35 AM
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? WonYesPolitics	98.1¢ / 100.0¢	$15.8 (0.3%)	$5.69K · 41	$5.71K · 25	$0	Jan 28, 2026 10:53 PM
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in January? WonNoCrypto	96.4¢ / 0.0¢	$5.15 (0.1%)	$5.97K · 83	$5.97K · 41	$0	Jan 31, 2026 8:11 PM
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? WonNoCrypto	92.8¢ / 94.0¢	$4.8 (1.1%)	$445 · 6	$450 · 5	$0	Feb 15, 2026 4:08 PM
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)? WonYesFinance	90.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.6 (1.1%)	$324 · 11	$328 · 45	$0	Mar 18, 2026 9:18 PM
Will Perena launch a token by March 31, 2026? WonNoCrypto	89.8¢ / 100.0¢	$3 (1.3%)	$225 · 3	$228 · 2	$0	Apr 1, 2026 8:37 AM
Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026? WonNoCrypto	78.5¢ / 96.0¢	$2 (2.5%)	$78.5 · 2	$80.5 · 3	$0	Jul 29, 2026 11:09 AM
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeti… WonYesPolitics	60.3¢ / 100.0¢	$1.68 (1.5%)	$113 · 3	$115 · 4	$0	Mar 18, 2026 9:07 PM
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 January 5-11? WonNoCrypto	99.3¢ / 100.0¢	$1.5 (0.1%)	$1.39K · 2	$1.39K · 9	$0	Jan 12, 2026 7:17 AM
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025? WonNoCrypto	99.1¢ / 100.0¢	$1.48 (0.2%)	$625 · 15	$627 · 16	$0	Jan 1, 2026 8:01 AM
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January… WonYesFinance	99.5¢ / 100.0¢	$1.44 (0.1%)	$1.04K · 11	$1.05K · 22	$0	Jan 31, 2026 10:16 AM
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January? WonNoCrypto	97.5¢ / 100.0¢	$1.39 (0.1%)	$1.12K · 34	$1.12K · 15	$0	Feb 1, 2026 7:52 AM
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31? WonNoCrypto	98.2¢ / 100.0¢	$1.17 (0.1%)	$1.1K · 27	$1.1K · 28	$0	Jan 1, 2026 8:31 AM
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch? WonNoCrypto	98.4¢ / 100.0¢	$1.1 (0.1%)	$1.14K · 30	$1.14K · 25	$0	Dec 31, 2025 9:05 AM
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31? WonNoCrypto	29.0¢ / 0.0¢	$1 (3.4%)	$29 · 2	$30 · 1	$0	Mar 23, 2026 4:50 PM
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January? WonNoCrypto	92.5¢ / 100.0¢	$0.95 (0.1%)	$945 · 67	$946 · 21	$0	Feb 1, 2026 7:48 AM
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February? WonNoCrypto	95.8¢ / 100.0¢	$0.9 (0.1%)	$862 · 24	$863 · 6	$0	Mar 1, 2026 8:13 AM
Zama FDV above $4B one day after launch? WonNoCrypto	99.1¢ / 100.0¢	$0.83 (0.1%)	$1.02K · 7	$1.02K · 11	$0	Feb 3, 2026 11:13 PM
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch? WonNoCrypto	99.5¢ / 100.0¢	$0.73 (0.1%)	$761 · 19	$762 · 18	$0	Dec 31, 2025 9:05 AM
Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026? WonNoCrypto	92.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.7 (1.1%)	$64.4 · 1	$65.1 · 1	$0	Apr 1, 2026 8:24 AM
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 January 26-1? WonNoCrypto	99.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.6 (0.1%)	$594 · 4	$595 · 5	$0	Feb 2, 2026 11:44 AM
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? WonNoCrypto	96.6¢ / 100.0¢	$0.49 (0.2%)	$217 · 5	$218 · 5	$0	May 1, 2026 1:03 PM
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January? WonNoCrypto	91.4¢ / 0.0¢	$0.47 (0.1%)	$477 · 107	$477 · 23	$0	Jan 31, 2026 7:52 PM
Over $1B committed to the Gensyn public sale? WonNoCrypto	98.9¢ / 100.0¢	$0.45 (0.1%)	$356 · 9	$357 · 7	$0	Dec 20, 2025 6:34 PM
Aztec FDV above $2B one day after launch? WonNoCrypto	95.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.45 (1.1%)	$42.8 · 1	$43.2 · 2	$0	Feb 13, 2026 11:26 PM

Alfredss Polymarket Trader

PnL Calendar

July 2026

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

1$18.3

Jul 1, 2026

Daily PnL

$18.3

Open-$92.9

High-$74.6

Low-$97

Close-$74.6

Open positions2

USD balance$0

2-$4.46

Jul 2, 2026

Daily PnL

-$4.46

Open-$74.6

High-$74.6

Low-$80.3

Close-$79.1

Open positions1

USD balance$66.2

3-$0.14

Jul 3, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.14

Open-$79.1

High-$78.8

Low-$79.8

Close-$79.2

Open positions1

USD balance$66.2

4$0.61

Jul 4, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.61

Open-$79.2

High-$78.5

Low-$79.3

Close-$78.6

Open positions1

USD balance$66.2

5-$0.15

Jul 5, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.15

Open-$78.6

High-$78.6

Low-$79.3

Close-$78.8

Open positions1

USD balance$66.2

6$0.45

Jul 6, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.45

Open-$78.8

High-$78.3

Low-$79.2

Close-$78.3

Open positions1

USD balance$66.2

7-$0

Jul 7, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0

Open-$78.3

High-$78

Low-$78.7

Close-$78.3

Open positions1

USD balance$66.2

8-$0.74

Jul 8, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.74

Open-$78.3

High-$78.3

Low-$79.4

Close-$79.1

Open positions1

USD balance$66.2

9$0.6

Jul 9, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.6

Open-$79.1

High-$78.3

Low-$79.1

Close-$78.5

Open positions1

USD balance$66.2

10$0.89

Jul 10, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.89

Open-$78.5

High-$77.6

Low-$78.5

Close-$77.6

Open positions1

USD balance$66.2

11$0.15

Jul 11, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.15

Open-$77.6

High-$77.1

Low-$78

Close-$77.4

Open positions1

USD balance$0

12$0.3

Jul 12, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.3

Open-$77.4

High-$76.8

Low-$77.7

Close-$77.1

Open positions1

USD balance$0

13-$0.3

Jul 13, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.3

Open-$77.1

High-$76.8

Low-$78

Close-$77.4

Open positions1

USD balance$0

14$0.93

Jul 14, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.93

Open-$77.4

High-$76.1

Low-$77.7

Close-$76.5

Open positions1

USD balance$0

15$1.15

Jul 15, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.15

Open-$76.5

High-$75.2

Low-$76.5

Close-$75.3

Open positions1

USD balance$0

16-$0.3

Jul 16, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.3

Open-$75.3

High-$75.2

Low-$76

Close-$75.6

Open positions1

USD balance$0

17-$0.45

Jul 17, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.45

Open-$75.6

High-$75.6

Low-$76.5

Close-$76.1

Open positions1

USD balance$0

18$0.04

Jul 18, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.04

Open-$76.1

High-$75.8

Low-$76.6

Close-$76

Open positions1

USD balance$0

19$0.56

Jul 19, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.56

Open-$76

High-$75.4

Low-$76

Close-$75.5

Open positions1

USD balance$0

20$0.04

Jul 20, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.04

Open-$75.5

High-$74.9

Low-$76.2

Close-$75.4

Open positions1

USD balance$0

21$0.44

Jul 21, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.44

Open-$75.4

High-$74.7

Low-$75.4

Close-$75

Open positions1

USD balance$0

22$0.27

Jul 22, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.27

Open-$75

High-$74.7

Low-$75.3

Close-$74.7

Open positions1

USD balance$0

23-$0.6

Jul 23, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.6

Open-$74.7

High-$74.4

Low-$75.6

Close-$75.3

Open positions1

USD balance$0

24$0.15

Jul 24, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.15

Open-$75.3

High-$75.2

Low-$75.7

Close-$75.2

Open positions1

USD balance$0

25-$0.6

Jul 25, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.6

Open-$75.2

High-$75.2

Low-$75.9

Close-$75.8

Open positions1

USD balance$0

26$0.74

Jul 26, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.74

Open-$75.8

High-$75

Low-$76.1

Close-$75

Open positions1

USD balance$0

27-$1.64

Jul 27, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.64

Open-$75

High-$75

Low-$76.7

Close-$76.7

Open positions1

USD balance$0

28$0.74

Jul 28, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.74

Open-$76.7

High-$75.7

Low-$77.2

Close-$75.9

Open positions1

USD balance$0

29-$0.89

Jul 29, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.89

Open-$75.9

High-$75.9

Low-$76.8

Close-$76.8

Open positions1

USD balance$0

30$0.15

Jul 30, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.15

Open-$76.8

High-$76.5

Low-$76.8

Close-$76.7

Open positions1

USD balance$0

Performance Summary

PnL Change

1D -$0.197D -$1.9330D -$2.06

Markets

Won

Lost

Win Rate

98.0%

Profit Factor

0.61x

Avg Win

$1.5

Avg Loss

-$122

Total Wins

$74.9

Total Losses

-$122

Avg. Hold Time

167d 15h 42m 50s

Best Win

$18.6

Over $20M committed to the Infinex public sale?

Worst Loss

-$122

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?

Period

Best Period

$189, Feb 5 – Feb 11

Worst Period

-$351, Jan 30 – Feb 5

Longest Streak

5d W / 8d L

Current Streak

1d W

Max Drawdown

-$368 (-913.2%)

Current DD

-$117 (-290.3%)

Max Runup

$367 (112.0%)

Rebates

Rewards

Yield

$0.12(24)

Alfredss

Analytics

Analytics

Alfredss

Alfredss

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Volume

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Alfredss

Trader DNA

Trader DNA