notreallylayla Polymarket Trader

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Volume

Fees

Trades

Avg trade size

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET WonUpCrypto	78.6¢ / 100.0¢	$2.73 (27.3%)	$9.93 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 6, 2026 3:32 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET WonUpCrypto	65.9¢ / 100.0¢	$2.59 (51.9%)	$4.94 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 6, 2026 8:54 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET WonUpCrypto	11.2¢ / 0.0¢	$1.24 (105.2%)	$1.16 · 1	$2.42 · 1	$0	Feb 6, 2026 9:47 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET WonDownCrypto	94.1¢ / 100.0¢	$0.45 (4.2%)	$10.7 · 1	$11.2 · 1	$0	Feb 6, 2026 9:02 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET WonDownCrypto	86.3¢ / 100.0¢	$0.39 (15.9%)	$2.47 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 7, 2026 9:27 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET WonUpCrypto	98.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.26 (2.0%)	$12.8 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 6, 2026 3:48 PM
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address? WonYesMentions	91.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.15 (9.8%)	$1.5 · 1	$1.64 · 1	$0	Feb 25, 2026 6:37 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET WonUpCrypto	99.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.13 (1.0%)	$13 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 6, 2026 7:17 PM
Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 3+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address? WonYesMentions	91.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.1 (9.8%)	$1 · 1	$1.09 · 1	$0	Feb 25, 2026 6:09 AM
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026? WonNoPolitics	99.2¢ / 100.0¢	$0.08 (0.8%)	$10 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 6, 2026 3:26 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET WonDownCrypto	97.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.07 (3.1%)	$2.4 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 6, 2026 9:47 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET WonDownCrypto	98.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.03 (1.1%)	$3.11 · 1	$3.14 · 1	$0	Feb 25, 2026 5:20 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET LostDownCrypto	52.4¢ / 0.0¢	-$5 (-100.0%)	$4.92 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 6, 2026 9:30 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET LostUpCrypto	59.9¢ / 0.0¢	-$5 (-100.0%)	$4.93 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 6, 2026 9:18 PM
Ethereum Up or Down - February 6, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET LostDownCrypto	31.4¢ / 0.0¢	-$5 (-100.0%)	$4.94 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 6, 2026 9:02 PM
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February? LostYesCrypto	54.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$9 (-99.8%)	$9.02 · 1	$0.02 · 1	$0	Mar 1, 2026 8:12 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET LostUpCrypto	65.9¢ / 0.0¢	-$13.1 (-100.0%)	$12.9 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 6, 2026 4:03 PM

notreallylayla Polymarket Trader

PnL Calendar

February 2026

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

1-$1.79

Feb 1, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.79

Open$0

High$0.43

Low-$2.82

Close-$1.79

Open positions2

USD balance$0

2$1.87

Feb 2, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.87

Open-$1.79

High$0.75

Low-$3.77

Close$0.08

Open positions2

USD balance$0

3-$2.34

Feb 3, 2026

Daily PnL

-$2.34

Open$0.08

High$0.41

Low-$3.93

Close-$2.26

Open positions2

USD balance$0

4-$1.67

Feb 4, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.67

Open-$2.26

High-$1.42

Low-$4.6

Close-$3.93

Open positions2

USD balance$0

5-$3.34

Feb 5, 2026

Daily PnL

-$3.34

Open-$3.93

High-$3.93

Low-$7.44

Close-$7.27

Open positions2

USD balance$0

6-$19.9

Feb 6, 2026

Daily PnL

-$19.9

Open-$7.27

High-$3.25

Low-$28.5

Close-$27.2

Open positions1

USD balance$2.48

7$0.39

Feb 7, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.39

Open-$27.2

High-$26.6

Low-$27.9

Close-$26.8

Open positions1

USD balance$2.87

9-$0.33

Feb 9, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.33

Open-$26.8

High-$26.1

Low-$27.3

Close-$27.1

Open positions1

USD balance$2.87

10-$0.5

Feb 10, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.5

Open-$27.1

High-$27

Low-$28

Close-$27.6

Open positions1

USD balance$2.87

11-$0.5

Feb 11, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.5

Open-$27.6

High-$27.6

Low-$28.3

Close-$28.1

Open positions1

USD balance$2.87

12-$0.17

Feb 12, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.17

Open-$28.1

High-$28

Low-$28.5

Close-$28.3

Open positions1

USD balance$0

13$0.07

Feb 13, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.07

Open-$28.3

High-$28.1

Low-$28.5

Close-$28.2

Open positions1

USD balance$0

14-$0.15

Feb 14, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.15

Open-$28.2

High-$28.1

Low-$28.5

Close-$28.4

Open positions1

USD balance$0

15$0.05

Feb 15, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.05

Open-$28.4

High-$28.2

Low-$28.5

Close-$28.3

Open positions1

USD balance$0

16-$0.05

Feb 16, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.05

Open-$28.3

High-$28.1

Low-$28.6

Close-$28.4

Open positions1

USD balance$0

17-$0.3

Feb 17, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.3

Open-$28.4

High-$28.3

Low-$28.7

Close-$28.7

Open positions1

USD balance$0

19-$0.16

Feb 19, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.16

Open-$28.7

High-$28.6

Low-$29

Close-$28.8

Open positions1

USD balance$0

20-$0.04

Feb 20, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.04

Open-$28.8

High-$28.7

Low-$29

Close-$28.9

Open positions1

USD balance$0

21-$0.05

Feb 21, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.05

Open-$28.9

High-$28.9

Low-$29

Close-$28.9

Open positions1

USD balance$0

22-$0.08

Feb 22, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.08

Open-$28.9

High-$28.9

Low-$29.1

Close-$29

Open positions1

USD balance$0

23-$0.07

Feb 23, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.07

Open-$29

High-$29

Low-$29.1

Close-$29.1

Open positions1

USD balance$0

24-$0.02

Feb 24, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.02

Open-$29.1

High-$29.1

Low-$29.1

Close-$29.1

Open positions1

USD balance$0

25$0.24

Feb 25, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.24

Open-$29.1

High-$28.9

Low-$29.2

Close-$28.9

Open positions0

USD balance$3.15

Performance Summary

PnL Change

1D —7D —30D -$27.1

Markets

Won

Lost

Win Rate

90.9%

Profit Factor

0.91x

Avg Win

$0.82

Avg Loss

-$9

Total Wins

$8.19

Total Losses

-$9

Avg. Hold Time

2d 2h 42m 9s

Best Win

$2.73

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

Worst Loss

-$13.1

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

Period

Best Period

$0.08, Feb 21 – Feb 27

Worst Period

-$26.9, Feb 2 – Feb 8

Longest Streak

1d W / 8d L

Current Streak

1d W

Max Drawdown

-$29.2 (-36192.6%)

Current DD

-$28.9 (-35892.5%)

Max Runup

$1.87 (104.5%)

Rebates

Rewards

Yield

notreallylayla

Analytics

Analytics

notreallylayla

notreallylayla

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Shares traded

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Volume

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Shares traded

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Shares traded

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

notreallylayla

Trader DNA

Trader DNA