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TsarBrown Polymarket Trader

TsarBrown

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Active Since

Feb 27, 2026

Last Active

Jul 29, 2026

Positions Value

$28.3

Volume

$314

Fees Paid

Buys

Sells

Redeems

Merges

Splits

Converts

					Merge
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? YesCrypto 84.76 shares	62.5¢ / 33.4¢	-$24.7 (-46.6%)	$53 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 29, 2026 3:22 PM

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Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026? WonYesPolitics	47.0¢ / 100.0¢	$12.7 (112.6%)	$11.3 · 1	$24 · 1	$0	Feb 28, 2026 9:38 AM
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? WonNoCulture	77.1¢ / 100.0¢	$4.16 (29.7%)	$14 · 1	$0	$0	May 17, 2026 6:42 AM
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? WonNoPolitics	81.0¢ / 85.1¢	$3.54 (5.1%)	$70 · 1	$73.5 · 1	$0	Mar 12, 2026 8:33 AM
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? WonYesPolitics	15.0¢ / 15.1¢	$0.07 (0.7%)	$10 · 1	$10.1 · 1	$0	Mar 9, 2026 9:19 PM
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? LostYesPolitics	30.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$10 (-100.0%)	$10 · 1	$0	$0	May 17, 2026 6:43 AM
Military action against Iran ends on March 31, 2026? LostYesPolitics	5.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$20 (-100.0%)	$20 · 1	$0	$0	May 17, 2026 6:43 AM

Analytics

Volume

$296

0.0%

Fees

—

Trades

0.0%

Avg trade size

$29.6

0.0%

Volume

Fees

Trades

Avg trade size

PnL Calendar

July 2026

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

1-$7.14

Jul 1, 2026

Daily PnL

-$7.14

Open-$6.97

High-$6.97

Low-$17.5

Close-$14.1

Open positions1

USD balance$0

2-$3.39

Jul 2, 2026

Daily PnL

-$3.39

Open-$14.1

High-$14.1

Low-$19.8

Close-$17.5

Open positions1

USD balance$0

3-$0.85

Jul 3, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.85

Open-$17.5

High-$14.1

Low-$19.8

Close-$18.4

Open positions1

USD balance$0

4-$0.85

Jul 4, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.85

Open-$18.4

High-$16.7

Low-$20.7

Close-$19.2

Open positions1

USD balance$0

5-$0

Jul 5, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0

Open-$19.2

High-$19.2

Low-$21.5

Close-$19.2

Open positions1

USD balance$0

6-$4.87

Jul 6, 2026

Daily PnL

-$4.87

Open-$19.2

High-$15.8

Low-$24.1

Close-$24.1

Open positions1

USD balance$0

7-$0.84

Jul 7, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.84

Open-$24.1

High-$20

Low-$24.9

Close-$24.9

Open positions1

USD balance$0

8$3.17

Jul 8, 2026

Daily PnL

$3.17

Open-$24.9

High-$20.9

Low-$24.9

Close-$21.7

Open positions1

USD balance$0

9-$1.48

Jul 9, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.48

Open-$21.7

High-$20.9

Low-$24.2

Close-$23.2

Open positions1

USD balance$0

10-$1.06

Jul 10, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.06

Open-$23.2

High-$20.9

Low-$25.8

Close-$24.3

Open positions1

USD balance$0

11-$1.7

Jul 11, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.7

Open-$24.3

High-$24.2

Low-$28.8

Close-$26

Open positions1

USD balance$0

12-$1.7

Jul 12, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.7

Open-$26

High-$26

Low-$29.1

Close-$27.7

Open positions1

USD balance$0

13$0.24

Jul 13, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.24

Open-$27.7

High-$23.4

Low-$28.3

Close-$27.4

Open positions1

USD balance$0

14-$6.68

Jul 14, 2026

Daily PnL

-$6.68

Open-$27.4

High-$26

Low-$34.1

Close-$34.1

Open positions1

USD balance$0

15-$2.04

Jul 15, 2026

Daily PnL

-$2.04

Open-$34.1

High-$32.8

Low-$37.4

Close-$36.2

Open positions1

USD balance$0

16$2.54

Jul 16, 2026

Daily PnL

$2.54

Open-$36.2

High-$33.6

Low-$36.6

Close-$33.6

Open positions1

USD balance$0

17$0

Jul 17, 2026

Daily PnL

Open-$33.6

High-$33.6

Low-$35.9

Close-$33.6

Open positions1

USD balance$0

18-$2.16

Jul 18, 2026

Daily PnL

-$2.16

Open-$33.6

High-$32.8

Low-$36.9

Close-$35.8

Open positions1

USD balance$0

19$2.16

Jul 19, 2026

Daily PnL

$2.16

Open-$35.8

High-$33.6

Low-$37.3

Close-$33.6

Open positions1

USD balance$0

20-$0.85

Jul 20, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.85

Open-$33.6

High-$33.6

Low-$37.4

Close-$34.5

Open positions1

USD balance$0

21-$0.85

Jul 21, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.85

Open-$34.5

High-$34.5

Low-$37.4

Close-$35.3

Open positions1

USD balance$0

22-$1.7

Jul 22, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.7

Open-$35.3

High-$35.3

Low-$39.1

Close-$37

Open positions1

USD balance$0

23-$0.42

Jul 23, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.42

Open-$37

High-$36.2

Low-$39.9

Close-$37.4

Open positions1

USD balance$0

24$3.81

Jul 24, 2026

Daily PnL

$3.81

Open-$37.4

High-$32.8

Low-$38.2

Close-$33.6

Open positions1

USD balance$0

25$0.85

Jul 25, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.85

Open-$33.6

High-$32.8

Low-$34.9

Close-$32.8

Open positions1

USD balance$0

26-$1.7

Jul 26, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.7

Open-$32.8

High-$31.1

Low-$35.1

Close-$34.5

Open positions1

USD balance$0

28$2.54

Jul 28, 2026

Daily PnL

$2.54

Open-$34.5

High-$30.2

Low-$34.5

Close-$31.9

Open positions1

USD balance$0

29-$2.2

Jul 29, 2026

Daily PnL

-$2.2

Open-$31.9

High-$31.1

Low-$34.1

Close-$34.1

Open positions1

USD balance$0

Performance Summary

PnL Change

1D -$3.057D $4.9630D -$27.1

Markets

Won

Lost

Win Rate

66.7%

Profit Factor

0.68x

Avg Win

$5.12

Avg Loss

-$15

Total Wins

$20.5

Total Losses

-$30

Avg. Hold Time

33d 4h 24m 1s

Best Win

$12.7

US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?

Worst Loss

-$20

Military action against Iran ends on March 31, 2026?

Period

Best Period

$30.8, Mar 17 – Mar 23

Worst Period

-$26.2, Mar 23 – Mar 29

Longest Streak

6d W / 7d L

Current Streak

1d L

Max Drawdown

-$63.5 (-324.5%)

Current DD

-$53.7 (-274.2%)

Max Runup

$37 (84.1%)

Rebates

Rewards

Yield

$0.1(24)

TsarBrown

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Volume

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

TsarBrown

Trader DNA

Trader DNA