cesiano Polymarket Trader

Struct Trades WS is 2.6s faster than Polymarket's RTDS feedRead the benchmark

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Volume

Fees

Trades

Avg trade size

					Merge
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? YesCulture 5.00 shares	20.0¢ / 12.0¢	$0.1 (5.0%)	$2 · 2	$1.5 · 1	$0	Jul 29, 2026 8:36 PM
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? YesCulture 19.80 shares	5.1¢ / 2.9¢	-$0.44 (-43.1%)	$1.01 · 3	$0	$0	Jul 29, 2026 3:13 PM
Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? YesSports 5.00 shares	25.0¢ / 23.0¢	-$0.1 (-8.0%)	$1.25 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 29, 2026 2:47 PM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
ParenseDeManos: Constanza Romero vs Carolina Müller WonCaritoSports	30.5¢ / 100.0¢	$7.09 (228.1%)	$3.11 · 5	$0	$0	Dec 21, 2025 10:39 PM
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix? WonYesSports	11.0¢ / 100.0¢	$6.88 (625.0%)	$1.1 · 1	$4.22 · 2	$0	Dec 1, 2025 12:20 AM
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 20… WonYesPolitics	28.6¢ / 100.0¢	$3.82 (63.8%)	$5.98 · 4	$9.79 · 5	$0	Dec 10, 2025 10:45 AM
Will Oscar Piastri win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix? WonYesSports	50.9¢ / 100.0¢	$3.65 (60.6%)	$6.01 · 3	$2.85 · 1	$0	Nov 29, 2025 8:00 PM
Will Rauw Alejandro perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? WonNoSports	20.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.15 (315.0%)	$1 · 1	$4.15 · 1	$0	Feb 9, 2026 6:15 AM
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025? WonYesSports	16.5¢ / 100.0¢	$2.88 (95.9%)	$3 · 3	$3.85 · 3	$0	Nov 9, 2025 8:24 PM
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix? WonYesSports	25.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.67 (300.0%)	$0.89 · 1	$0	$0	Nov 22, 2025 11:53 AM
Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship? WonYesSports	26.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.57 (197.7%)	$1.3 · 1	$1.37 · 1	$0	Dec 7, 2025 9:11 PM
Hellenic Championship: Stan Wawrinka vs Botic van de Zandschulp WonWawrinkaSports	32.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.12 (212.2%)	$1 · 1	$3.12 · 1	$0	Nov 3, 2025 8:33 PM
Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LX? WonYesSports	33.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.04 (103.1%)	$1.98 · 1	$4.02 · 2	$0	Feb 9, 2026 5:37 AM
Will the number of US flights delayed on April 12 be between 5,000 and 5… WonNoPolitics	93.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.03 (7.5%)	$27 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 13, 2026 8:20 PM
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex de M… WonMusettiSports	41.9¢ / 100.0¢	$1.97 (98.6%)	$2 · 2	$1.7 · 2	$0	Nov 12, 2025 12:58 AM
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 2026 Critics Choic… WonYesCulture	35.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.95 (111.4%)	$1.75 · 1	$3.7 · 2	$0	Jan 5, 2026 10:17 AM
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025? WonYesCulture	15.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.87 (187.0%)	$1 · 1	$2.86 · 2	$0	Jan 6, 2026 9:46 PM
Will Hollow Knight: Silksong win Best Game You Suck At in the 2025 Steam… WonYesCulture	60.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.8 (60.0%)	$3 · 1	$4.8 · 1	$0	Jan 3, 2026 10:13 PM
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? WonNoWeather	52.0¢ / 96.0¢	$1.8 (57.7%)	$3.12 · 1	$4.92 · 1	$0	Jul 29, 2026 10:22 AM
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2025-11-09? WonYesSports	38.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.63 (163.2%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Nov 10, 2025 2:43 AM
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 35°C or below on January… WonYesWeather	7.0¢ / 0.0¢	$1.58 (157.1%)	$1.01 · 1	$2.59 · 1	$0	Jan 12, 2026 7:28 PM
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on January 19? WonYesWeather	10.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.5 (150.0%)	$1 · 2	$2.5 · 1	$0	Jan 20, 2026 6:17 AM
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C or below on Februar… WonNoWeather	40.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.5 (150.0%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 6, 2026 6:57 PM
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 17? WonNoWeather	95.0¢ / 0.0¢	$1.48 (4.2%)	$35.2 · 2	$36.7 · 1	$0	May 21, 2026 7:27 AM
Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Sonego vs Daniil Medvedev WonMedvedevSports	41.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.44 (143.9%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Oct 30, 2025 10:05 PM
Will Lando Norris achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025… WonYesSports	20.0¢ / 0.0¢	$1.25 (125.0%)	$1 · 1	$2.25 · 1	$0	Nov 28, 2025 11:26 PM
Will Team Falcons win PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026? WonYesSports	10.0¢ / 0.0¢	$1.2 (120.0%)	$1 · 1	$2.2 · 2	$0	Feb 20, 2026 2:46 PM
Will Trump say "Thank you" 10+ times during the private dinner on Novemb… WonNoMentions	46.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.17 (117.4%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Nov 13, 2025 12:16 PM

					Merge
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? YesCulture 5.00 shares	20.0¢ / 12.0¢	$0.1 (5.0%)	$2 · 2	$1.5 · 1	$0	Jul 29, 2026 8:36 PM
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? YesCulture 19.80 shares	5.1¢ / 2.9¢	-$0.44 (-43.1%)	$1.01 · 3	$0	$0	Jul 29, 2026 3:13 PM
Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? YesSports 5.00 shares	25.0¢ / 23.0¢	-$0.1 (-8.0%)	$1.25 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 29, 2026 2:47 PM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
ParenseDeManos: Constanza Romero vs Carolina Müller WonCaritoSports	30.5¢ / 100.0¢	$7.09 (228.1%)	$3.11 · 5	$0	$0	Dec 21, 2025 10:39 PM
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix? WonYesSports	11.0¢ / 100.0¢	$6.88 (625.0%)	$1.1 · 1	$4.22 · 2	$0	Dec 1, 2025 12:20 AM
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 20… WonYesPolitics	28.6¢ / 100.0¢	$3.82 (63.8%)	$5.98 · 4	$9.79 · 5	$0	Dec 10, 2025 10:45 AM
Will Oscar Piastri win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix? WonYesSports	50.9¢ / 100.0¢	$3.65 (60.6%)	$6.01 · 3	$2.85 · 1	$0	Nov 29, 2025 8:00 PM
Will Rauw Alejandro perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? WonNoSports	20.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.15 (315.0%)	$1 · 1	$4.15 · 1	$0	Feb 9, 2026 6:15 AM
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025? WonYesSports	16.5¢ / 100.0¢	$2.88 (95.9%)	$3 · 3	$3.85 · 3	$0	Nov 9, 2025 8:24 PM
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix? WonYesSports	25.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.67 (300.0%)	$0.89 · 1	$0	$0	Nov 22, 2025 11:53 AM
Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship? WonYesSports	26.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.57 (197.7%)	$1.3 · 1	$1.37 · 1	$0	Dec 7, 2025 9:11 PM
Hellenic Championship: Stan Wawrinka vs Botic van de Zandschulp WonWawrinkaSports	32.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.12 (212.2%)	$1 · 1	$3.12 · 1	$0	Nov 3, 2025 8:33 PM
Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LX? WonYesSports	33.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.04 (103.1%)	$1.98 · 1	$4.02 · 2	$0	Feb 9, 2026 5:37 AM
Will the number of US flights delayed on April 12 be between 5,000 and 5… WonNoPolitics	93.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.03 (7.5%)	$27 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 13, 2026 8:20 PM
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex de M… WonMusettiSports	41.9¢ / 100.0¢	$1.97 (98.6%)	$2 · 2	$1.7 · 2	$0	Nov 12, 2025 12:58 AM
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 2026 Critics Choic… WonYesCulture	35.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.95 (111.4%)	$1.75 · 1	$3.7 · 2	$0	Jan 5, 2026 10:17 AM
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025? WonYesCulture	15.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.87 (187.0%)	$1 · 1	$2.86 · 2	$0	Jan 6, 2026 9:46 PM
Will Hollow Knight: Silksong win Best Game You Suck At in the 2025 Steam… WonYesCulture	60.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.8 (60.0%)	$3 · 1	$4.8 · 1	$0	Jan 3, 2026 10:13 PM
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? WonNoWeather	52.0¢ / 96.0¢	$1.8 (57.7%)	$3.12 · 1	$4.92 · 1	$0	Jul 29, 2026 10:22 AM
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2025-11-09? WonYesSports	38.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.63 (163.2%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Nov 10, 2025 2:43 AM
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 35°C or below on January… WonYesWeather	7.0¢ / 0.0¢	$1.58 (157.1%)	$1.01 · 1	$2.59 · 1	$0	Jan 12, 2026 7:28 PM
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on January 19? WonYesWeather	10.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.5 (150.0%)	$1 · 2	$2.5 · 1	$0	Jan 20, 2026 6:17 AM
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C or below on Februar… WonNoWeather	40.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.5 (150.0%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 6, 2026 6:57 PM
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 17? WonNoWeather	95.0¢ / 0.0¢	$1.48 (4.2%)	$35.2 · 2	$36.7 · 1	$0	May 21, 2026 7:27 AM
Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Sonego vs Daniil Medvedev WonMedvedevSports	41.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.44 (143.9%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Oct 30, 2025 10:05 PM
Will Lando Norris achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025… WonYesSports	20.0¢ / 0.0¢	$1.25 (125.0%)	$1 · 1	$2.25 · 1	$0	Nov 28, 2025 11:26 PM
Will Team Falcons win PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026? WonYesSports	10.0¢ / 0.0¢	$1.2 (120.0%)	$1 · 1	$2.2 · 2	$0	Feb 20, 2026 2:46 PM
Will Trump say "Thank you" 10+ times during the private dinner on Novemb… WonNoMentions	46.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.17 (117.4%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Nov 13, 2025 12:16 PM

cesiano Polymarket Trader

PnL Calendar

July 2026

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

1-$0.12

Jul 1, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.12

Open$6.17

High$6.56

Low$5.85

Close$6.05

Open positions5

USD balance$0

2$0.39

Jul 2, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.39

Open$6.05

High$6.71

Low$5.93

Close$6.44

Open positions5

USD balance$0

3-$0.96

Jul 3, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.96

Open$6.44

High$6.99

Low$5.39

Close$5.48

Open positions5

USD balance$0

4$0.22

Jul 4, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.22

Open$5.48

High$6.51

Low$5.15

Close$5.71

Open positions5

USD balance$0

5$0.72

Jul 5, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.72

Open$5.71

High$6.42

Low$5.53

Close$6.42

Open positions5

USD balance$34.4

6-$1.13

Jul 6, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.13

Open$6.42

High$6.73

Low$5.18

Close$5.29

Open positions5

USD balance$34.4

7$0.06

Jul 7, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.06

Open$5.29

High$5.82

Low$2.01

Close$5.36

Open positions4

USD balance$34.4

8$0.33

Jul 8, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.33

Open$5.36

High$6.06

Low$5.13

Close$5.68

Open positions5

USD balance$0.74

9-$0.55

Jul 9, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.55

Open$5.68

High$5.85

Low$4.93

Close$5.14

Open positions5

USD balance$0.74

10-$0.23

Jul 10, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.23

Open$5.14

High$5.31

Low$4.79

Close$4.91

Open positions5

USD balance$0.74

11-$0.13

Jul 11, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.13

Open$4.91

High$5.26

Low$4.69

Close$4.78

Open positions5

USD balance$0

12$0.82

Jul 12, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.82

Open$4.78

High$5.88

Low$4.44

Close$5.6

Open positions5

USD balance$0

13-$0.27

Jul 13, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.27

Open$5.6

High$5.85

Low$5.09

Close$5.33

Open positions5

USD balance$0

14$1.03

Jul 14, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.03

Open$5.33

High$6.37

Low$5.23

Close$6.37

Open positions5

USD balance$0

15$5.16

Jul 15, 2026

Daily PnL

$5.16

Open$6.37

High$12

Low$4.63

Close$11.5

Open positions5

USD balance$0

16-$0.6

Jul 16, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.6

Open$11.5

High$11.5

Low$10.6

Close$10.9

Open positions5

USD balance$0

17$0.02

Jul 17, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.02

Open$10.9

High$11.3

Low$10.6

Close$11

Open positions5

USD balance$0

18$0.69

Jul 18, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.69

Open$11

High$11.7

Low$10.6

Close$11.6

Open positions4

USD balance$34.7

19-$8.61

Jul 19, 2026

Daily PnL

-$8.61

Open$11.6

High$11.6

Low$2.95

Close$3.03

Open positions4

USD balance$34.7

20-$1.16

Jul 20, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.16

Open$3.03

High$3.03

Low$1.64

Close$1.87

Open positions3

USD balance$34.7

21$0.54

Jul 21, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.54

Open$1.87

High$2.49

Low$1.87

Close$2.41

Open positions3

USD balance$0

22-$0.28

Jul 22, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.28

Open$2.41

High$3.04

Low$1.97

Close$2.13

Open positions3

USD balance$0

23$0.01

Jul 23, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.01

Open$2.13

High$2.24

Low$1.93

Close$2.14

Open positions3

USD balance$0

24$0.22

Jul 24, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.22

Open$2.14

High$2.36

Low$1.96

Close$2.36

Open positions3

USD balance$0

25-$0.23

Jul 25, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.23

Open$2.36

High$2.52

Low$1.96

Close$2.13

Open positions4

USD balance$1.63

26-$0.01

Jul 26, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.01

Open$2.13

High$2.23

Low$1.93

Close$2.12

Open positions3

USD balance$0

27-$0.19

Jul 27, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.19

Open$2.12

High$2.32

Low$1.78

Close$1.93

Open positions3

USD balance$0

28$0.17

Jul 28, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.17

Open$1.93

High$2.34

Low$1.93

Close$2.1

Open positions3

USD balance$0

29-$0.02

Jul 29, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.02

Open$2.1

High$2.22

Low$1.64

Close$2.08

Open positions3

USD balance$0

Performance Summary

PnL Change

1D -$0.117D -$0.0530D -$4.09

Markets

262

Won

189

Lost

Combos

Win Rate

82.9%

Profit Factor

2.25x

Avg Win

$0.44

Avg Loss

-$0.95

Total Wins

$83.4

Total Losses

-$37.2

Avg. Hold Time

14d 21h 36m 12s

Best Win

$7.09

ParenseDeManos: Constanza Romero vs Carolina Müller

Worst Loss

-$3.5

Will McLaren have the highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 Las Vegas…

Period

Best Period

$12.1, Nov 26 – Dec 2

Worst Period

-$9.28, Jul 18 – Jul 24

Longest Streak

8d W / 6d L

Current Streak

1d L

Max Drawdown

-$12.3 (-372.4%)

Current DD

-$9.56 (-82.1%)

Max Runup

$21.6 (217.1%)

Rebates

Rewards

Yield

cesiano

Analytics

Analytics

cesiano

cesiano

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Volume

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

cesiano

Trader DNA

Trader DNA