merlini Polymarket Trader

Struct Trades WS is 2.6s faster than Polymarket's RTDS feedRead the benchmark

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Volume

Fees

Trades

Avg trade size

					Merge
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? NoPolitics 8.93 shares	56.0¢ / 98.6¢	$3.81 (76.1%)	$5 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 29, 2026 2:13 AM
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? YesPolitics 25.00 shares	28.0¢ / 17.0¢	-$2.75 (-39.3%)	$7 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 28, 2026 7:33 PM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5 PM ET WonUpCrypto	67.0¢ / 100.0¢	$73.7 (48.5%)	$152 · 1	$226 · 1	$0	Jun 16, 2025 12:09 AM
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2 AM ET WonUpCrypto	73.3¢ / 100.0¢	$54.4 (36.2%)	$150 · 3	$204 · 1	$0	Jun 16, 2025 9:03 AM
Iran strike on Israel by Friday? WonNoPolitics	9.7¢ / 0.0¢	$53.5 (435.6%)	$12.3 · 2	$65.8 · 1	$0	Jun 13, 2025 10:59 PM
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3 PM ET WonDownCrypto	79.1¢ / 100.0¢	$40.7 (26.3%)	$155 · 2	$196 · 1	$0	Jun 15, 2025 10:06 PM
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1 PM ET WonDownCrypto	52.1¢ / 100.0¢	$33.6 (84.1%)	$40 · 3	$73.6 · 1	$0	Jun 16, 2025 8:06 PM
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1 PM ET WonUpCrypto	74.4¢ / 100.0¢	$33.5 (33.0%)	$101 · 2	$135 · 1	$0	Jun 15, 2025 8:01 PM
Will Trump say "Hitler / Nazi" during his 250th Army Anniversary remarks… WonYesMentions	27.4¢ / 100.0¢	$26.5 (264.7%)	$10 · 2	$0	$0	Jun 15, 2025 6:30 AM
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8 AM ET WonUpCrypto	83.0¢ / 100.0¢	$21.4 (19.3%)	$111 · 1	$132 · 1	$0	Jun 15, 2025 3:07 PM
Iran strike on Israel by Friday? WonYesPolitics	59.2¢ / 100.0¢	$21.2 (68.9%)	$30.8 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 13, 2025 10:59 PM
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2 PM ET WonDownCrypto	86.0¢ / 100.0¢	$20.4 (15.1%)	$135 · 1	$155 · 1	$0	Jun 15, 2025 9:05 PM
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9 AM ET WonUpCrypto	84.6¢ / 100.0¢	$19.1 (18.1%)	$105 · 1	$124 · 1	$0	Jun 15, 2025 4:02 PM
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11 AM ET WonDownCrypto	80.0¢ / 100.0¢	$18.8 (24.9%)	$75.6 · 1	$94.4 · 1	$0	Jun 15, 2025 6:06 PM
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5 AM ET WonDownCrypto	63.0¢ / 100.0¢	$17.9 (57.1%)	$31.3 · 1	$49.2 · 1	$0	Jun 15, 2025 12:02 PM
Israel military action against Iran before July? WonYesPolitics	23.0¢ / 100.0¢	$16.7 (334.8%)	$5 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 13, 2025 5:39 AM
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6 AM ET WonUpCrypto	74.4¢ / 100.0¢	$14 (9.5%)	$147 · 2	$161 · 2	$0	Jun 15, 2025 1:03 PM
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $105K on June 14 at 5 PM… WonYesCrypto	63.4¢ / 100.0¢	$13.6 (50.5%)	$27 · 2	$40.6 · 2	$0	Jun 15, 2025 12:15 AM
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2 PM ET WonUpCrypto	80.0¢ / 100.0¢	$12 (24.9%)	$48.1 · 1	$60.1 · 1	$0	Jun 16, 2025 9:04 PM
Major cyberattack on Iran in June? WonNoPolitics	20.8¢ / 0.0¢	$11.3 (23.6%)	$47.9 · 5	$59.2 · 3	$0	Jun 25, 2025 12:53 AM
Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025? WonYesPolitics	29.6¢ / 100.0¢	$11 (220.4%)	$5 · 3	$16 · 1	$0	Oct 21, 2025 4:29 PM
Will Elon tweet less than 250 times August 15–August 22? WonYesMentions	12.0¢ / 100.0¢	$9.65 (482.6%)	$2 · 1	$11.6 · 1	$0	Aug 22, 2025 7:08 PM
Israel strikes Yemen by August 15? WonNoPolitics	35.0¢ / 100.0¢	$8.4 (172.2%)	$4.88 · 1	$13.3 · 1	$0	Aug 16, 2025 6:05 AM
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $106K on June 20? WonYesCrypto	56.0¢ / 100.0¢	$7.91 (78.6%)	$10.1 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 20, 2025 10:11 PM
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in July? WonYesPolitics	51.1¢ / 100.0¢	$7.28 (95.8%)	$7.6 · 2	$0	$0	Jul 31, 2025 6:00 AM
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12 PM ET WonUpCrypto	93.0¢ / 100.0¢	$7 (7.4%)	$94.4 · 1	$101 · 1	$0	Jun 15, 2025 7:06 PM
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4 AM ET WonDownCrypto	78.0¢ / 100.0¢	$6.65 (26.9%)	$24.7 · 1	$31.3 · 1	$0	Jun 15, 2025 11:03 AM

					Merge
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? NoPolitics 8.93 shares	56.0¢ / 98.6¢	$3.81 (76.1%)	$5 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 29, 2026 2:13 AM
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? YesPolitics 25.00 shares	28.0¢ / 17.0¢	-$2.75 (-39.3%)	$7 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 28, 2026 7:33 PM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5 PM ET WonUpCrypto	67.0¢ / 100.0¢	$73.7 (48.5%)	$152 · 1	$226 · 1	$0	Jun 16, 2025 12:09 AM
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2 AM ET WonUpCrypto	73.3¢ / 100.0¢	$54.4 (36.2%)	$150 · 3	$204 · 1	$0	Jun 16, 2025 9:03 AM
Iran strike on Israel by Friday? WonNoPolitics	9.7¢ / 0.0¢	$53.5 (435.6%)	$12.3 · 2	$65.8 · 1	$0	Jun 13, 2025 10:59 PM
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3 PM ET WonDownCrypto	79.1¢ / 100.0¢	$40.7 (26.3%)	$155 · 2	$196 · 1	$0	Jun 15, 2025 10:06 PM
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1 PM ET WonDownCrypto	52.1¢ / 100.0¢	$33.6 (84.1%)	$40 · 3	$73.6 · 1	$0	Jun 16, 2025 8:06 PM
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1 PM ET WonUpCrypto	74.4¢ / 100.0¢	$33.5 (33.0%)	$101 · 2	$135 · 1	$0	Jun 15, 2025 8:01 PM
Will Trump say "Hitler / Nazi" during his 250th Army Anniversary remarks… WonYesMentions	27.4¢ / 100.0¢	$26.5 (264.7%)	$10 · 2	$0	$0	Jun 15, 2025 6:30 AM
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8 AM ET WonUpCrypto	83.0¢ / 100.0¢	$21.4 (19.3%)	$111 · 1	$132 · 1	$0	Jun 15, 2025 3:07 PM
Iran strike on Israel by Friday? WonYesPolitics	59.2¢ / 100.0¢	$21.2 (68.9%)	$30.8 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 13, 2025 10:59 PM
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2 PM ET WonDownCrypto	86.0¢ / 100.0¢	$20.4 (15.1%)	$135 · 1	$155 · 1	$0	Jun 15, 2025 9:05 PM
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9 AM ET WonUpCrypto	84.6¢ / 100.0¢	$19.1 (18.1%)	$105 · 1	$124 · 1	$0	Jun 15, 2025 4:02 PM
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11 AM ET WonDownCrypto	80.0¢ / 100.0¢	$18.8 (24.9%)	$75.6 · 1	$94.4 · 1	$0	Jun 15, 2025 6:06 PM
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5 AM ET WonDownCrypto	63.0¢ / 100.0¢	$17.9 (57.1%)	$31.3 · 1	$49.2 · 1	$0	Jun 15, 2025 12:02 PM
Israel military action against Iran before July? WonYesPolitics	23.0¢ / 100.0¢	$16.7 (334.8%)	$5 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 13, 2025 5:39 AM
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6 AM ET WonUpCrypto	74.4¢ / 100.0¢	$14 (9.5%)	$147 · 2	$161 · 2	$0	Jun 15, 2025 1:03 PM
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $105K on June 14 at 5 PM… WonYesCrypto	63.4¢ / 100.0¢	$13.6 (50.5%)	$27 · 2	$40.6 · 2	$0	Jun 15, 2025 12:15 AM
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2 PM ET WonUpCrypto	80.0¢ / 100.0¢	$12 (24.9%)	$48.1 · 1	$60.1 · 1	$0	Jun 16, 2025 9:04 PM
Major cyberattack on Iran in June? WonNoPolitics	20.8¢ / 0.0¢	$11.3 (23.6%)	$47.9 · 5	$59.2 · 3	$0	Jun 25, 2025 12:53 AM
Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025? WonYesPolitics	29.6¢ / 100.0¢	$11 (220.4%)	$5 · 3	$16 · 1	$0	Oct 21, 2025 4:29 PM
Will Elon tweet less than 250 times August 15–August 22? WonYesMentions	12.0¢ / 100.0¢	$9.65 (482.6%)	$2 · 1	$11.6 · 1	$0	Aug 22, 2025 7:08 PM
Israel strikes Yemen by August 15? WonNoPolitics	35.0¢ / 100.0¢	$8.4 (172.2%)	$4.88 · 1	$13.3 · 1	$0	Aug 16, 2025 6:05 AM
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $106K on June 20? WonYesCrypto	56.0¢ / 100.0¢	$7.91 (78.6%)	$10.1 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 20, 2025 10:11 PM
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in July? WonYesPolitics	51.1¢ / 100.0¢	$7.28 (95.8%)	$7.6 · 2	$0	$0	Jul 31, 2025 6:00 AM
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12 PM ET WonUpCrypto	93.0¢ / 100.0¢	$7 (7.4%)	$94.4 · 1	$101 · 1	$0	Jun 15, 2025 7:06 PM
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4 AM ET WonDownCrypto	78.0¢ / 100.0¢	$6.65 (26.9%)	$24.7 · 1	$31.3 · 1	$0	Jun 15, 2025 11:03 AM

merlini Polymarket Trader

PnL Calendar

July 2026

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

1$0.43

Jul 1, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.43

Open$52.2

High$52.8

Low$52

Close$52.6

Open positions2

USD balance$0

2$0.11

Jul 2, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.11

Open$52.6

High$52.9

Low$52.3

Close$52.7

Open positions2

USD balance$0

3$0.03

Jul 3, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.03

Open$52.7

High$53

Low$52.5

Close$52.7

Open positions2

USD balance$0

4$0.35

Jul 4, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.35

Open$52.7

High$53.4

Low$52.5

Close$53.1

Open positions2

USD balance$0

5-$0.29

Jul 5, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.29

Open$53.1

High$53.6

Low$52.7

Close$52.8

Open positions2

USD balance$0

6$1.34

Jul 6, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.34

Open$52.8

High$54.1

Low$52.8

Close$54.1

Open positions2

USD balance$0

7$0.61

Jul 7, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.61

Open$54.1

High$55

Low$53.9

Close$54.7

Open positions2

USD balance$0

8$0.09

Jul 8, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.09

Open$54.7

High$55.1

Low$54.7

Close$54.8

Open positions2

USD balance$0

9-$0.34

Jul 9, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.34

Open$54.8

High$55.1

Low$54.4

Close$54.5

Open positions2

USD balance$0

10$0.21

Jul 10, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.21

Open$54.5

High$54.8

Low$54.1

Close$54.7

Open positions2

USD balance$0

11-$0.12

Jul 11, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.12

Open$54.7

High$55.1

Low$53.9

Close$54.6

Open positions2

USD balance$0

12$0.16

Jul 12, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.16

Open$54.6

High$55.1

Low$54.6

Close$54.7

Open positions2

USD balance$0

13$0.18

Jul 13, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.18

Open$54.7

High$55.2

Low$54.5

Close$54.9

Open positions2

USD balance$0

14$0.12

Jul 14, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.12

Open$54.9

High$55

Low$54.7

Close$55

Open positions2

USD balance$0

15-$0.47

Jul 15, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.47

Open$55

High$55

Low$54.6

Close$54.6

Open positions2

USD balance$0

16-$0.46

Jul 16, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.46

Open$54.6

High$54.6

Low$54.1

Close$54.1

Open positions2

USD balance$0

17$0.04

Jul 17, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.04

Open$54.1

High$54.2

Low$53.8

Close$54.1

Open positions2

USD balance$0

18-$0.56

Jul 18, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.56

Open$54.1

High$54.2

Low$53.6

Close$53.6

Open positions2

USD balance$0

19-$0.04

Jul 19, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.04

Open$53.6

High$54.1

Low$53.2

Close$53.5

Open positions2

USD balance$0

20-$0.48

Jul 20, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.48

Open$53.5

High$53.6

Low$52.8

Close$53.1

Open positions2

USD balance$0

21$0.28

Jul 21, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.28

Open$53.1

High$53.3

Low$52.8

Close$53.3

Open positions2

USD balance$0

22$0.78

Jul 22, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.78

Open$53.3

High$54.1

Low$53

Close$54.1

Open positions2

USD balance$0

23$0.47

Jul 23, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.47

Open$54.1

High$54.8

Low$54.1

Close$54.6

Open positions2

USD balance$0

24$0.06

Jul 24, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.06

Open$54.6

High$54.9

Low$54.3

Close$54.6

Open positions2

USD balance$0

25-$1.26

Jul 25, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.26

Open$54.6

High$54.9

Low$53.4

Close$53.4

Open positions2

USD balance$0

27$0.02

Jul 27, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.02

Open$53.4

High$53.4

Low$52.9

Close$53.4

Open positions2

USD balance$0

28-$0.25

Jul 28, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.25

Open$53.4

High$53.4

Low$52.8

Close$53.1

Open positions2

USD balance$0

29-$0.09

Jul 29, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.09

Open$53.1

High$53.2

Low$53.1

Close$53.1

Open positions2

USD balance$0

Performance Summary

PnL Change

1D -$0.297D -$0.2830D $0.9

Markets

169

Won

Lost

Win Rate

47.2%

Profit Factor

1.34x

Avg Win

$9.24

Avg Loss

-$6.18

Total Wins

$619

Total Losses

-$464

Avg. Hold Time

4m 24s

Best Win

$5.02

Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

Worst Loss

-$7.11

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Period

Best Period

$256, Jun 9 – Jun 15

Worst Period

-$119, Jun 15 – Jun 21

Longest Streak

5d W / 9d L

Current Streak

2d L

Max Drawdown

-$188 (-78.8%)

Current DD

-$186 (-77.8%)

Max Runup

$264 (1026.0%)

Rebates

Rewards

Yield

merlini

Analytics

merlini

Analytics

merlini

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Volume

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

merlini

Trader DNA

Trader DNA

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types