Embellished-Act Polymarket Trader

How We Built Realtime Precomputed PnL for PolymarketRead the post

Explorer

Loading open positions...

Volume

Fees

Trades

Avg trade size

					Merge
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? YesFinance 472.44 shares	13.1¢ / 7.3¢	-$27.5 (-44.3%)	$60 · 2	$0	$0	Jul 31, 2026 5:25 AM
Nothing Ever Happens: July NothingPolitics 51.95 shares	77.0¢ / 99.8¢	$11.8 (29.6%)	$40 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 31, 2026 1:10 AM
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? YesPolitics 800.00 shares	51.2¢ / 50.0¢	-$10 (-2.4%)	$400 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 30, 2026 11:02 PM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Will Curve suffer an exploit by March 31st, 2022? WonNo	— / 0.0¢	$51.1	$0	$0	$0	Dec 15, 2024 2:28 PM
Klarna IPO in 2025? WonYesFinance	46.0¢ / 100.0¢	$35.2 (117.4%)	$30 · 1	$0	$0	Sep 27, 2025 10:54 AM
TikTok sale announced in 2025? WonYesTech	47.0¢ / 100.0¢	$33.8 (112.8%)	$30 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 5, 2026 8:17 PM
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? WonNoFinance	62.8¢ / 94.0¢	$32 (49.8%)	$63 · 1	$96.2 · 1	$0	Jun 30, 2026 6:42 PM
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026? WonYesTech	24.9¢ / 100.0¢	$31.1 (301.5%)	$10 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 9, 2026 7:15 PM
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? WonNoCulture	64.0¢ / 100.0¢	$28.1 (56.3%)	$50 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 5, 2026 8:17 PM
Will MetaMask airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? WonNo	— / 0.0¢	$22.5	$0	$0	$0	Dec 15, 2024 2:28 PM
Will Phantom airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? WonNo	— / 0.0¢	$22.4	$0	$0	$0	Dec 15, 2024 2:28 PM
Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026? WonYesTech	63.9¢ / 100.0¢	$20 (56.4%)	$35 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 9, 2026 7:14 PM
New pandemic in 2025? WonNo	81.1¢ / 100.0¢	$19.6 (9.8%)	$200 · 1	$220 · 1	$0	Jan 1, 2026 9:18 AM
Will Jensen Huang say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times dur… WonNoMentions	32.0¢ / 100.0¢	$8.5 (212.5%)	$4 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 30, 2026 8:09 PM
Will Trump say "god" 4+ times during his inauguration speech? WonYesMentions	57.0¢ / 100.0¢	$7.54 (75.4%)	$10 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 22, 2025 7:10 PM
Litecoin ETF approved in 2025? WonYesCrypto	51.0¢ / 100.0¢	$7.45 (37.3%)	$20 · 1	$27.4 · 1	$0	Oct 28, 2025 3:43 PM
Doodles token announcement in 2024? WonNoCrypto	60.0¢ / 100.0¢	$6.17 (61.7%)	$10 · 1	$16.2 · 1	$0	Jan 1, 2025 9:17 AM
TikTok banned in 2025? WonYesPolitics	35.0¢ / 100.0¢	$5.72 (14.3%)	$40 · 1	$45.7 · 3	$0	Jan 19, 2025 9:10 AM
Will Trump create a Bitcoin reserve in first week? WonNoPolitics	91.0¢ / 100.0¢	$4.5 (9.9%)	$45.5 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 9, 2025 9:43 PM
Will Jensen Huang say "Self-Driving" 3+ times during NVIDIA keynote? WonYesMentions	76.0¢ / 100.0¢	$4.42 (31.6%)	$14 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 30, 2026 8:09 PM
Will Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 600.0k by May 31? WonYesTech	61.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.25 (64.0%)	$5 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 6, 2026 8:09 AM
Will Trump say "doge" or "Dogecoin" during his inauguration speech? WonNoMentions	87.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.99 (14.9%)	$20 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 22, 2025 7:10 PM
Will Berachain launch in 2024? WonNoCrypto	93.6¢ / 100.0¢	$2.05 (6.8%)	$30 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 4, 2025 12:04 AM
GPT-5 announced in Q4 2024? WonNoTech	95.9¢ / 100.0¢	$2.03 (4.1%)	$50 · 1	$52 · 1	$0	Jan 1, 2025 9:59 AM
Berachain airdrop in 2024? WonNoCrypto	95.8¢ / 100.0¢	$1.93 (3.9%)	$50 · 2	$51.9 · 1	$0	Jan 1, 2025 8:28 AM
Iran Nuke in 2025? WonNoPolitics	89.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.69 (5.6%)	$30 · 1	$31.7 · 1	$0	Jan 1, 2026 8:40 AM
Will Trump tweet on inauguration day? WonYesPolitics	90.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.67 (11.1%)	$15 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 22, 2025 7:10 PM
Will Amazon purchase Bitcoin before July? WonNoCrypto	89.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.33 (8.9%)	$15 · 1	$16.3 · 1	$0	Jul 1, 2025 8:44 AM

					Merge
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? YesFinance 472.44 shares	13.1¢ / 7.3¢	-$27.5 (-44.3%)	$60 · 2	$0	$0	Jul 31, 2026 5:25 AM
Nothing Ever Happens: July NothingPolitics 51.95 shares	77.0¢ / 99.8¢	$11.8 (29.6%)	$40 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 31, 2026 1:10 AM
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? YesPolitics 800.00 shares	51.2¢ / 50.0¢	-$10 (-2.4%)	$400 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 30, 2026 11:02 PM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Will Curve suffer an exploit by March 31st, 2022? WonNo	— / 0.0¢	$51.1	$0	$0	$0	Dec 15, 2024 2:28 PM
Klarna IPO in 2025? WonYesFinance	46.0¢ / 100.0¢	$35.2 (117.4%)	$30 · 1	$0	$0	Sep 27, 2025 10:54 AM
TikTok sale announced in 2025? WonYesTech	47.0¢ / 100.0¢	$33.8 (112.8%)	$30 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 5, 2026 8:17 PM
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? WonNoFinance	62.8¢ / 94.0¢	$32 (49.8%)	$63 · 1	$96.2 · 1	$0	Jun 30, 2026 6:42 PM
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026? WonYesTech	24.9¢ / 100.0¢	$31.1 (301.5%)	$10 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 9, 2026 7:15 PM
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? WonNoCulture	64.0¢ / 100.0¢	$28.1 (56.3%)	$50 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 5, 2026 8:17 PM
Will MetaMask airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? WonNo	— / 0.0¢	$22.5	$0	$0	$0	Dec 15, 2024 2:28 PM
Will Phantom airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? WonNo	— / 0.0¢	$22.4	$0	$0	$0	Dec 15, 2024 2:28 PM
Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026? WonYesTech	63.9¢ / 100.0¢	$20 (56.4%)	$35 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 9, 2026 7:14 PM
New pandemic in 2025? WonNo	81.1¢ / 100.0¢	$19.6 (9.8%)	$200 · 1	$220 · 1	$0	Jan 1, 2026 9:18 AM
Will Jensen Huang say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times dur… WonNoMentions	32.0¢ / 100.0¢	$8.5 (212.5%)	$4 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 30, 2026 8:09 PM
Will Trump say "god" 4+ times during his inauguration speech? WonYesMentions	57.0¢ / 100.0¢	$7.54 (75.4%)	$10 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 22, 2025 7:10 PM
Litecoin ETF approved in 2025? WonYesCrypto	51.0¢ / 100.0¢	$7.45 (37.3%)	$20 · 1	$27.4 · 1	$0	Oct 28, 2025 3:43 PM
Doodles token announcement in 2024? WonNoCrypto	60.0¢ / 100.0¢	$6.17 (61.7%)	$10 · 1	$16.2 · 1	$0	Jan 1, 2025 9:17 AM
TikTok banned in 2025? WonYesPolitics	35.0¢ / 100.0¢	$5.72 (14.3%)	$40 · 1	$45.7 · 3	$0	Jan 19, 2025 9:10 AM
Will Trump create a Bitcoin reserve in first week? WonNoPolitics	91.0¢ / 100.0¢	$4.5 (9.9%)	$45.5 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 9, 2025 9:43 PM
Will Jensen Huang say "Self-Driving" 3+ times during NVIDIA keynote? WonYesMentions	76.0¢ / 100.0¢	$4.42 (31.6%)	$14 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 30, 2026 8:09 PM
Will Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 600.0k by May 31? WonYesTech	61.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.25 (64.0%)	$5 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 6, 2026 8:09 AM
Will Trump say "doge" or "Dogecoin" during his inauguration speech? WonNoMentions	87.0¢ / 100.0¢	$2.99 (14.9%)	$20 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 22, 2025 7:10 PM
Will Berachain launch in 2024? WonNoCrypto	93.6¢ / 100.0¢	$2.05 (6.8%)	$30 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 4, 2025 12:04 AM
GPT-5 announced in Q4 2024? WonNoTech	95.9¢ / 100.0¢	$2.03 (4.1%)	$50 · 1	$52 · 1	$0	Jan 1, 2025 9:59 AM
Berachain airdrop in 2024? WonNoCrypto	95.8¢ / 100.0¢	$1.93 (3.9%)	$50 · 2	$51.9 · 1	$0	Jan 1, 2025 8:28 AM
Iran Nuke in 2025? WonNoPolitics	89.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.69 (5.6%)	$30 · 1	$31.7 · 1	$0	Jan 1, 2026 8:40 AM
Will Trump tweet on inauguration day? WonYesPolitics	90.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.67 (11.1%)	$15 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 22, 2025 7:10 PM
Will Amazon purchase Bitcoin before July? WonNoCrypto	89.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.33 (8.9%)	$15 · 1	$16.3 · 1	$0	Jul 1, 2025 8:44 AM

Embellished-Act Polymarket Trader

PnL Calendar

July 2026

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

1$0.3

Jul 1, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.3

Open$185

High$186

Low$184

Close$186

Open positions2

USD balance$0

2$1.9

Jul 2, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.9

Open$186

High$188

Low$186

Close$187

Open positions2

USD balance$0

3-$4.34

Jul 3, 2026

Daily PnL

-$4.34

Open$187

High$187

Low$183

Close$183

Open positions2

USD balance$0

4-$4.78

Jul 4, 2026

Daily PnL

-$4.78

Open$183

High$183

Low$172

Close$178

Open positions1

USD balance$517

5-$4.47

Jul 5, 2026

Daily PnL

-$4.47

Open$178

High$178

Low$171

Close$174

Open positions1

USD balance$517

7$0.47

Jul 7, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.47

Open$174

High$174

Low$172

Close$174

Open positions1

USD balance$517

8$16

Jul 8, 2026

Daily PnL

$16

Open$174

High$205

Low$174

Close$190

Open positions1

USD balance$517

9-$16.5

Jul 9, 2026

Daily PnL

-$16.5

Open$190

High$191

Low$174

Close$174

Open positions1

USD balance$517

10$2.36

Jul 10, 2026

Daily PnL

$2.36

Open$174

High$178

Low$172

Close$176

Open positions1

USD balance$517

11-$15.6

Jul 11, 2026

Daily PnL

-$15.6

Open$176

High$177

Low$148

Close$161

Open positions4

USD balance$0

12-$1.67

Jul 12, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.67

Open$161

High$168

Low$149

Close$159

Open positions4

USD balance$0

13-$3.81

Jul 13, 2026

Daily PnL

-$3.81

Open$159

High$167

Low$146

Close$155

Open positions4

USD balance$0

14$0.75

Jul 14, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.75

Open$155

High$166

Low$151

Close$156

Open positions4

USD balance$0

15$21.9

Jul 15, 2026

Daily PnL

$21.9

Open$156

High$178

Low$156

Close$178

Open positions4

USD balance$0

16-$2.66

Jul 16, 2026

Daily PnL

-$2.66

Open$178

High$185

Low$174

Close$175

Open positions4

USD balance$0

17-$2.53

Jul 17, 2026

Daily PnL

-$2.53

Open$175

High$175

Low$163

Close$173

Open positions4

USD balance$0

18$14.6

Jul 18, 2026

Daily PnL

$14.6

Open$173

High$190

Low$163

Close$187

Open positions4

USD balance$0

19-$12.9

Jul 19, 2026

Daily PnL

-$12.9

Open$187

High$188

Low$165

Close$174

Open positions4

USD balance$0

20-$1.67

Jul 20, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.67

Open$174

High$188

Low$165

Close$173

Open positions4

USD balance$0

21-$19

Jul 21, 2026

Daily PnL

-$19

Open$173

High$173

Low$143

Close$154

Open positions4

USD balance$0

22$2.73

Jul 22, 2026

Daily PnL

$2.73

Open$154

High$165

Low$144

Close$157

Open positions4

USD balance$0

23$0.16

Jul 23, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.16

Open$157

High$165

Low$146

Close$157

Open positions4

USD balance$0

24-$0.4

Jul 24, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.4

Open$157

High$160

Low$141

Close$156

Open positions3

USD balance$59.5

25-$1.11

Jul 25, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.11

Open$156

High$165

Low$143

Close$155

Open positions3

USD balance$0

26$8.14

Jul 26, 2026

Daily PnL

$8.14

Open$155

High$169

Low$145

Close$163

Open positions3

USD balance$0

27-$13.2

Jul 27, 2026

Daily PnL

-$13.2

Open$163

High$164

Low$141

Close$150

Open positions3

USD balance$0

28$8.42

Jul 28, 2026

Daily PnL

$8.42

Open$150

High$161

Low$140

Close$159

Open positions3

USD balance$0

29$18

Jul 29, 2026

Daily PnL

$18

Open$159

High$177

Low$144

Close$177

Open positions3

USD balance$0

30-$20.6

Jul 30, 2026

Daily PnL

-$20.6

Open$177

High$177

Low$136

Close$156

Open positions3

USD balance$0

31-$12.5

Jul 31, 2026

Daily PnL

-$12.5

Open$156

High$156

Low$143

Close$143

Open positions3

USD balance$0

Performance Summary

PnL Change

1D -$307D $0.9430D -$44

Markets

Won

Lost

Win Rate

61.8%

Profit Factor

1.88x

Avg Win

$10.6

Avg Loss

-$9.16

Total Wins

$361

Total Losses

-$192

Avg. Hold Time

43d 22h 6m 2s

Best Win

$33.8

TikTok sale announced in 2025?

Worst Loss

-$32

Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Period

Best Period

$63.2, Jun 4 – Jun 10

Worst Period

-$53.1, Dec 9 – Dec 15

Longest Streak

9d W / 5d L

Current Streak

2d L

Max Drawdown

-$59.1 (-45.9%)

Current DD

-$48.2 (-25.2%)

Max Runup

$122 (175.2%)

Rebates

Rewards

$0.39(2)

Yield

Embellished-Act

Analytics

Analytics

Embellished-Act

Embellished-Act

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Volume

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Embellished-Act

Trader DNA

Trader DNA