CarlosMN Polymarket Trader

Struct Trades WS is 2.6s faster than Polymarket's RTDS feedRead the benchmark

Explorer

Loading open positions...

Volume

Fees

Trades

Avg trade size

					Merge
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? YesWeather 112.36 shares	9.3¢ / 3.2¢	-$6.9 (-66.0%)	$10 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 29, 2026 3:14 PM
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? YesPolitics 153.85 shares	13.5¢ / 2.7¢	-$16.5 (-79.9%)	$20 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 29, 2026 12:57 AM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $120,000 on October 10? WonNoCrypto	8.0¢ / 100.0¢	$230 (1150.0%)	$20 · 1	$0	$0	Oct 10, 2025 9:52 PM
Ethereum above $4400 on August 29? WonNoCrypto	18.0¢ / 100.0¢	$91.1 (455.6%)	$20 · 1	$0	$0	Aug 30, 2025 6:27 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 23? WonUpCrypto	45.0¢ / 100.0¢	$41 (122.2%)	$33.5 · 1	$0	$0	Sep 30, 2025 12:29 PM
Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30? WonYesPolitics	53.9¢ / 0.0¢	$5.1 (17.9%)	$28.4 · 1	$33.5 · 1	$0	Oct 5, 2025 1:24 AM
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on Febr… WonNoWeather	78.4¢ / 100.0¢	$2.75 (27.5%)	$10 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 22, 2026 11:12 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET WonUpCrypto	52.1¢ / 0.0¢	$2.13 (40.0%)	$5 · 1	$7.45 · 1	$0	May 7, 2026 10:05 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET WonDownCrypto	90.6¢ / 100.0¢	$2.07 (10.3%)	$20 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 19, 2026 7:55 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET WonUpCrypto	67.8¢ / 100.0¢	$0.47 (47.4%)	$0.99 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 19, 2026 8:05 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET WonUpCrypto	94.1¢ / 100.0¢	$0.26 (5.2%)	$5 · 1	$5.26 · 1	$0	Mar 8, 2026 5:05 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET WonDownCrypto	97.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.03 (3.1%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 19, 2026 7:45 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET LostUpCrypto	13.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$0.93 (-100.0%)	$0.93 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 19, 2026 7:55 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET LostDownCrypto	69.8¢ / 0.0¢	-$1 (-100.0%)	$0.99 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 8, 2026 5:05 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET LostDownCrypto	24.2¢ / 0.0¢	-$1 (-100.0%)	$0.99 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 19, 2026 8:05 PM
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,900 on October 15? LostNoCrypto	0.6¢ / 0.0¢	-$1 (-100.0%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 8, 2026 5:05 PM
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 15? LostYesCrypto	0.9¢ / 0.0¢	-$1 (-100.0%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Oct 16, 2025 4:44 PM
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30? LostYesPolitics	2.8¢ / 0.0¢	-$5 (-100.0%)	$5 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 8, 2026 5:05 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET LostDownCrypto	25.2¢ / 0.0¢	-$5 (-100.0%)	$4.96 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 18, 2026 10:03 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET LostDownCrypto	34.4¢ / 0.0¢	-$5 (-100.0%)	$4.94 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 8, 2026 5:05 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET LostDownCrypto	47.7¢ / 0.0¢	-$5 (-100.0%)	$4.92 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 8, 2026 5:05 PM
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on October 14? LostYesCrypto	0.5¢ / 0.0¢	-$5 (-100.0%)	$5 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 8, 2026 5:05 PM
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting? LostYesPolitics	0.6¢ / 0.0¢	-$5 (-100.0%)	$5 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 8, 2026 5:05 PM
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,400 on October 17? LostYesCrypto	1.3¢ / 0.0¢	-$5 (-100.0%)	$5 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 8, 2026 5:05 PM
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 10? LostYesPolitics	0.7¢ / 0.0¢	-$5 (-100.0%)	$5 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 8, 2026 5:05 PM
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting? LostYesPolitics	0.5¢ / 0.0¢	-$5 (-100.0%)	$5 · 1	$0	$0	Sep 23, 2025 2:45 PM
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? LostYesPolitics	2.7¢ / 0.0¢	-$5.19 (-100.0%)	$5 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 1, 2026 8:17 AM

					Merge
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? YesWeather 112.36 shares	9.3¢ / 3.2¢	-$6.9 (-66.0%)	$10 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 29, 2026 3:14 PM
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? YesPolitics 153.85 shares	13.5¢ / 2.7¢	-$16.5 (-79.9%)	$20 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 29, 2026 12:57 AM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $120,000 on October 10? WonNoCrypto	8.0¢ / 100.0¢	$230 (1150.0%)	$20 · 1	$0	$0	Oct 10, 2025 9:52 PM
Ethereum above $4400 on August 29? WonNoCrypto	18.0¢ / 100.0¢	$91.1 (455.6%)	$20 · 1	$0	$0	Aug 30, 2025 6:27 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 23? WonUpCrypto	45.0¢ / 100.0¢	$41 (122.2%)	$33.5 · 1	$0	$0	Sep 30, 2025 12:29 PM
Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30? WonYesPolitics	53.9¢ / 0.0¢	$5.1 (17.9%)	$28.4 · 1	$33.5 · 1	$0	Oct 5, 2025 1:24 AM
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on Febr… WonNoWeather	78.4¢ / 100.0¢	$2.75 (27.5%)	$10 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 22, 2026 11:12 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET WonUpCrypto	52.1¢ / 0.0¢	$2.13 (40.0%)	$5 · 1	$7.45 · 1	$0	May 7, 2026 10:05 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET WonDownCrypto	90.6¢ / 100.0¢	$2.07 (10.3%)	$20 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 19, 2026 7:55 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET WonUpCrypto	67.8¢ / 100.0¢	$0.47 (47.4%)	$0.99 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 19, 2026 8:05 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET WonUpCrypto	94.1¢ / 100.0¢	$0.26 (5.2%)	$5 · 1	$5.26 · 1	$0	Mar 8, 2026 5:05 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET WonDownCrypto	97.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.03 (3.1%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 19, 2026 7:45 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET LostUpCrypto	13.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$0.93 (-100.0%)	$0.93 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 19, 2026 7:55 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET LostDownCrypto	69.8¢ / 0.0¢	-$1 (-100.0%)	$0.99 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 8, 2026 5:05 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET LostDownCrypto	24.2¢ / 0.0¢	-$1 (-100.0%)	$0.99 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 19, 2026 8:05 PM
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,900 on October 15? LostNoCrypto	0.6¢ / 0.0¢	-$1 (-100.0%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 8, 2026 5:05 PM
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 15? LostYesCrypto	0.9¢ / 0.0¢	-$1 (-100.0%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Oct 16, 2025 4:44 PM
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30? LostYesPolitics	2.8¢ / 0.0¢	-$5 (-100.0%)	$5 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 8, 2026 5:05 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET LostDownCrypto	25.2¢ / 0.0¢	-$5 (-100.0%)	$4.96 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 18, 2026 10:03 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET LostDownCrypto	34.4¢ / 0.0¢	-$5 (-100.0%)	$4.94 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 8, 2026 5:05 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET LostDownCrypto	47.7¢ / 0.0¢	-$5 (-100.0%)	$4.92 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 8, 2026 5:05 PM
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on October 14? LostYesCrypto	0.5¢ / 0.0¢	-$5 (-100.0%)	$5 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 8, 2026 5:05 PM
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting? LostYesPolitics	0.6¢ / 0.0¢	-$5 (-100.0%)	$5 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 8, 2026 5:05 PM
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,400 on October 17? LostYesCrypto	1.3¢ / 0.0¢	-$5 (-100.0%)	$5 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 8, 2026 5:05 PM
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 10? LostYesPolitics	0.7¢ / 0.0¢	-$5 (-100.0%)	$5 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 8, 2026 5:05 PM
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting? LostYesPolitics	0.5¢ / 0.0¢	-$5 (-100.0%)	$5 · 1	$0	$0	Sep 23, 2025 2:45 PM
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? LostYesPolitics	2.7¢ / 0.0¢	-$5.19 (-100.0%)	$5 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 1, 2026 8:17 AM

CarlosMN Polymarket Trader

PnL Calendar

July 2026

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

1-$1.55

Jul 1, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.55

Open-$673

High-$673

Low-$675

Close-$675

Open positions2

USD balance$0

2-$1.01

Jul 2, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.01

Open-$675

High-$675

Low-$677

Close-$676

Open positions2

USD balance$0

3-$0.59

Jul 3, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.59

Open-$676

High-$676

Low-$677

Close-$677

Open positions2

USD balance$0

4$1.11

Jul 4, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.11

Open-$677

High-$675

Low-$677

Close-$675

Open positions2

USD balance$0

5-$0.8

Jul 5, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.8

Open-$675

High-$675

Low-$676

Close-$676

Open positions2

USD balance$0

6-$0.15

Jul 6, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.15

Open-$676

High-$676

Low-$677

Close-$676

Open positions2

USD balance$0

7$0.64

Jul 7, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.64

Open-$676

High-$676

Low-$677

Close-$676

Open positions2

USD balance$0

8-$0.18

Jul 8, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.18

Open-$676

High-$676

Low-$677

Close-$676

Open positions2

USD balance$0

9-$0.14

Jul 9, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.14

Open-$676

High-$676

Low-$677

Close-$676

Open positions2

USD balance$0

10-$1.06

Jul 10, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.06

Open-$676

High-$676

Low-$677

Close-$677

Open positions2

USD balance$0

11$0.28

Jul 11, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.28

Open-$677

High-$676

Low-$678

Close-$677

Open positions2

USD balance$0

12-$0.36

Jul 12, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.36

Open-$677

High-$676

Low-$677

Close-$677

Open positions2

USD balance$0

13$0.88

Jul 13, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.88

Open-$677

High-$676

Low-$677

Close-$676

Open positions2

USD balance$0

14-$0.63

Jul 14, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.63

Open-$676

High-$676

Low-$678

Close-$677

Open positions2

USD balance$0

15$0.83

Jul 15, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.83

Open-$677

High-$676

Low-$677

Close-$676

Open positions2

USD balance$0

16$1.41

Jul 16, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.41

Open-$676

High-$675

Low-$677

Close-$675

Open positions2

USD balance$0

17-$2

Jul 17, 2026

Daily PnL

-$2

Open-$675

High-$675

Low-$677

Close-$677

Open positions2

USD balance$0

18-$1.54

Jul 18, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.54

Open-$677

High-$677

Low-$678

Close-$678

Open positions2

USD balance$0

19$0.8

Jul 19, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.8

Open-$678

High-$677

Low-$679

Close-$677

Open positions2

USD balance$0

20$0.21

Jul 20, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.21

Open-$677

High-$677

Low-$678

Close-$677

Open positions2

USD balance$0

21-$0.06

Jul 21, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.06

Open-$677

High-$677

Low-$678

Close-$677

Open positions2

USD balance$0

22$1

Jul 22, 2026

Daily PnL

Open-$677

High-$676

Low-$678

Close-$676

Open positions2

USD balance$0

23-$0.4

Jul 23, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.4

Open-$676

High-$676

Low-$677

Close-$677

Open positions2

USD balance$0

24$0.19

Jul 24, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.19

Open-$677

High-$676

Low-$677

Close-$677

Open positions2

USD balance$0

25-$0.4

Jul 25, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.4

Open-$677

High-$676

Low-$677

Close-$677

Open positions2

USD balance$0

26-$0.32

Jul 26, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.32

Open-$677

High-$677

Low-$677

Close-$677

Open positions2

USD balance$0

27-$0.08

Jul 27, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.08

Open-$677

High-$677

Low-$678

Close-$677

Open positions2

USD balance$0

28$0.27

Jul 28, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.27

Open-$677

High-$677

Low-$678

Close-$677

Open positions2

USD balance$0

29$0

Jul 29, 2026

Daily PnL

Open-$677

High-$677

Low-$677

Close-$677

Open positions2

USD balance$0

Performance Summary

PnL Change

1D $0.297D -$0.4730D -$3.63

Markets

Won

Lost

Win Rate

17.8%

Profit Factor

0.42x

Avg Win

$46.7

Avg Loss

-$23.8

Total Wins

$373

Total Losses

-$879

Avg. Hold Time

69d 23h 35m 17s

Best Win

$2.75

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on Febr…

Worst Loss

-$101

FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score

Period

Best Period

$229, Oct 5 – Oct 11

Worst Period

-$158, Oct 20 – Oct 26

Longest Streak

4d W / 16d L

Current Streak

2d W

Max Drawdown

-$691 (-5345.4%)

Current DD

-$690 (-5335.9%)

Max Runup

$248 (103.3%)

Rebates

Rewards

Yield

CarlosMN

Analytics

CarlosMN

Analytics

CarlosMN

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Volume

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

CarlosMN

Trader DNA

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Trader DNA