0xb409...416bb5 Polymarket Trader

Struct Trades WS is 2.6s faster than Polymarket's RTDS feedRead the benchmark

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Fees

Trades

Avg trade size

					Merge
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? NoPolitics 58.18 shares	50.0¢ / 87.9¢	$22 (75.8%)	$29.1	$0	$0	Jul 29, 2026 2:58 PM
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? YesPolitics 58.18 shares	50.0¢ / 11.7¢	-$22.3 (-76.6%)	$29.1	$0	$0	Jul 29, 2026 12:16 PM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? WonNoSports	59.0¢ / 100.0¢	$6.91 (67.8%)	$10.2 · 1	$17.1 · 2	$0	Aug 3, 2025 8:23 PM
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? WonYesPolitics	90.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.71 (7.8%)	$9.18 · 1	$9.88 · 1	$0	Jan 28, 2026 10:53 PM
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025? WonNoCrypto	88.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.45 (2.8%)	$15.7 · 1	$16.2 · 2	$0	Jan 1, 2026 7:17 AM
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31? WonNoTech	95.1¢ / 100.0¢	$0.34 (5.2%)	$6.59 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 1, 2026 9:55 AM
Israel announces end of military operations against Iran by Friday? WonNoPolitics	95.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.26 (4.7%)	$5.52 · 1	$5.78 · 1	$0	Jun 21, 2025 6:09 AM
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease? WonYesEconomics	97.5¢ / 100.0¢	$0.25 (2.5%)	$10 · 1	$10.2 · 1	$0	Apr 17, 2025 4:17 PM
Will the total number of TSA passengers for December 24 be between 1,750… WonNoPolitics	96.8¢ / 100.0¢	$0.23 (3.3%)	$6.84 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 29, 2025 5:03 PM
Will the Indianapolis Colts make the playoffs? WonNoSports	97.4¢ / 100.0¢	$0.21 (2.7%)	$8.03 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 28, 2025 3:18 AM
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide… WonYesCulture	96.5¢ / 100.0¢	$0.21 (3.6%)	$5.87 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 12, 2026 6:30 PM
Rabby airdrop in Q1 2025? WonNoCrypto	98.9¢ / 100.0¢	$0.21 (1.1%)	$20 · 1	$20.2 · 1	$0	Apr 1, 2025 7:22 AM
US bank failure by January 31? WonNoFinance	93.5¢ / 0.0¢	$0.19 (2.0%)	$9.34 · 1	$9.53 · 1	$0	Jan 31, 2026 1:34 AM
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? WonNoPolitics	96.2¢ / 100.0¢	$0.18 (2.9%)	$6.28 · 1	$6.45 · 1	$0	Jan 1, 2026 8:33 AM
Will the highest temperature in London be 56°F or below on March 30? WonNoWeather	98.9¢ / 100.0¢	$0.15 (0.8%)	$20.2 · 1	$20.4 · 3	$0	Mar 30, 2025 2:23 PM
Will Israel declare war on Iran by Friday? WonNoPolitics	96.9¢ / 100.0¢	$0.15 (2.7%)	$5.52 · 1	$5.66 · 1	$0	Jun 21, 2025 6:09 AM
Will the ECB announce no change? WonNoEconomics	98.5¢ / 100.0¢	$0.15 (1.4%)	$10.4 · 1	$10.5 · 1	$0	Apr 17, 2025 4:15 PM
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 milli… WonYesSports	96.3¢ / 100.0¢	$0.13 (2.5%)	$5.19 · 1	$5.31 · 1	$0	Feb 16, 2026 8:37 AM
Elon Musk's security clearance revoked before August? WonNoPolitics	96.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.12 (2.1%)	$5.72 · 1	$5.83 · 1	$0	Aug 1, 2025 6:25 AM
Will the ECB announce no change at the September meeting? WonYesEconomics	97.8¢ / 100.0¢	$0.12 (2.2%)	$5.27 · 1	$0	$0	Sep 12, 2025 4:02 AM
Will Apple release iPhone 17 by September 9? WonNoTech	99.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.1 (1.0%)	$9.93 · 1	$0	$0	Sep 12, 2025 12:47 PM
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 24? WonNoPolitics	98.7¢ / 100.0¢	$0.1 (1.3%)	$7.53 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 27, 2025 2:56 AM
Will Trump release a new Russia x Ukraine peace plan by December 31? WonNoPolitics	98.5¢ / 100.0¢	$0.08 (1.5%)	$5.39 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 1, 2026 4:20 PM
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7? WonNoCulture	99.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.08 (0.9%)	$8.47 · 1	$8.54 · 1	$0	Nov 8, 2025 8:27 AM
Will Alex de Minaur win the 2025 US Open? WonNoSports	98.7¢ / 100.0¢	$0.07 (1.3%)	$5.28 · 1	$0	$0	Sep 5, 2025 3:33 AM
Will Oliver Thomas win the 2025 New Orleans mayoral election? WonNoPolitics	99.3¢ / 100.0¢	$0.06 (0.7%)	$8.41 · 1	$0	$0	Oct 13, 2025 10:17 PM
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January… WonYesFinance	96.9¢ / 100.0¢	$0.06 (0.7%)	$7.92 · 1	$7.97 · 1	$0	Jan 31, 2026 10:16 AM

					Merge
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? NoPolitics 58.18 shares	50.0¢ / 87.9¢	$22 (75.8%)	$29.1	$0	$0	Jul 29, 2026 2:58 PM
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? YesPolitics 58.18 shares	50.0¢ / 11.7¢	-$22.3 (-76.6%)	$29.1	$0	$0	Jul 29, 2026 12:16 PM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? WonNoSports	59.0¢ / 100.0¢	$6.91 (67.8%)	$10.2 · 1	$17.1 · 2	$0	Aug 3, 2025 8:23 PM
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? WonYesPolitics	90.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.71 (7.8%)	$9.18 · 1	$9.88 · 1	$0	Jan 28, 2026 10:53 PM
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025? WonNoCrypto	88.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.45 (2.8%)	$15.7 · 1	$16.2 · 2	$0	Jan 1, 2026 7:17 AM
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31? WonNoTech	95.1¢ / 100.0¢	$0.34 (5.2%)	$6.59 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 1, 2026 9:55 AM
Israel announces end of military operations against Iran by Friday? WonNoPolitics	95.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.26 (4.7%)	$5.52 · 1	$5.78 · 1	$0	Jun 21, 2025 6:09 AM
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease? WonYesEconomics	97.5¢ / 100.0¢	$0.25 (2.5%)	$10 · 1	$10.2 · 1	$0	Apr 17, 2025 4:17 PM
Will the total number of TSA passengers for December 24 be between 1,750… WonNoPolitics	96.8¢ / 100.0¢	$0.23 (3.3%)	$6.84 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 29, 2025 5:03 PM
Will the Indianapolis Colts make the playoffs? WonNoSports	97.4¢ / 100.0¢	$0.21 (2.7%)	$8.03 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 28, 2025 3:18 AM
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide… WonYesCulture	96.5¢ / 100.0¢	$0.21 (3.6%)	$5.87 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 12, 2026 6:30 PM
Rabby airdrop in Q1 2025? WonNoCrypto	98.9¢ / 100.0¢	$0.21 (1.1%)	$20 · 1	$20.2 · 1	$0	Apr 1, 2025 7:22 AM
US bank failure by January 31? WonNoFinance	93.5¢ / 0.0¢	$0.19 (2.0%)	$9.34 · 1	$9.53 · 1	$0	Jan 31, 2026 1:34 AM
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? WonNoPolitics	96.2¢ / 100.0¢	$0.18 (2.9%)	$6.28 · 1	$6.45 · 1	$0	Jan 1, 2026 8:33 AM
Will the highest temperature in London be 56°F or below on March 30? WonNoWeather	98.9¢ / 100.0¢	$0.15 (0.8%)	$20.2 · 1	$20.4 · 3	$0	Mar 30, 2025 2:23 PM
Will Israel declare war on Iran by Friday? WonNoPolitics	96.9¢ / 100.0¢	$0.15 (2.7%)	$5.52 · 1	$5.66 · 1	$0	Jun 21, 2025 6:09 AM
Will the ECB announce no change? WonNoEconomics	98.5¢ / 100.0¢	$0.15 (1.4%)	$10.4 · 1	$10.5 · 1	$0	Apr 17, 2025 4:15 PM
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 milli… WonYesSports	96.3¢ / 100.0¢	$0.13 (2.5%)	$5.19 · 1	$5.31 · 1	$0	Feb 16, 2026 8:37 AM
Elon Musk's security clearance revoked before August? WonNoPolitics	96.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.12 (2.1%)	$5.72 · 1	$5.83 · 1	$0	Aug 1, 2025 6:25 AM
Will the ECB announce no change at the September meeting? WonYesEconomics	97.8¢ / 100.0¢	$0.12 (2.2%)	$5.27 · 1	$0	$0	Sep 12, 2025 4:02 AM
Will Apple release iPhone 17 by September 9? WonNoTech	99.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.1 (1.0%)	$9.93 · 1	$0	$0	Sep 12, 2025 12:47 PM
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 24? WonNoPolitics	98.7¢ / 100.0¢	$0.1 (1.3%)	$7.53 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 27, 2025 2:56 AM
Will Trump release a new Russia x Ukraine peace plan by December 31? WonNoPolitics	98.5¢ / 100.0¢	$0.08 (1.5%)	$5.39 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 1, 2026 4:20 PM
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7? WonNoCulture	99.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.08 (0.9%)	$8.47 · 1	$8.54 · 1	$0	Nov 8, 2025 8:27 AM
Will Alex de Minaur win the 2025 US Open? WonNoSports	98.7¢ / 100.0¢	$0.07 (1.3%)	$5.28 · 1	$0	$0	Sep 5, 2025 3:33 AM
Will Oliver Thomas win the 2025 New Orleans mayoral election? WonNoPolitics	99.3¢ / 100.0¢	$0.06 (0.7%)	$8.41 · 1	$0	$0	Oct 13, 2025 10:17 PM
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January… WonYesFinance	96.9¢ / 100.0¢	$0.06 (0.7%)	$7.92 · 1	$7.97 · 1	$0	Jan 31, 2026 10:16 AM

0xb409...416bb5 Polymarket Trader

PnL Calendar

July 2026

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

1-$0.06

Jul 1, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.06

Open$6.49

High$6.49

Low$5.87

Close$6.43

Open positions2

USD balance$0

2-$0.56

Jul 2, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.56

Open$6.43

High$6.49

Low$5.87

Close$5.87

Open positions2

USD balance$0

3$0.62

Jul 3, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.62

Open$5.87

High$6.49

Low$5.87

Close$6.49

Open positions2

USD balance$0

4-$0.37

Jul 4, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.37

Open$6.49

High$6.49

Low$5.87

Close$6.12

Open positions2

USD balance$0

5$0.31

Jul 5, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.31

Open$6.12

High$6.49

Low$5.87

Close$6.43

Open positions2

USD balance$0

6-$0.02

Jul 6, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.02

Open$6.43

High$6.49

Low$5.67

Close$6.41

Open positions2

USD balance$0

7$0.02

Jul 7, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.02

Open$6.41

High$6.49

Low$5.85

Close$6.43

Open positions2

USD balance$0

8-$0.24

Jul 8, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.24

Open$6.43

High$6.49

Low$5.89

Close$6.19

Open positions2

USD balance$0

9$0.24

Jul 9, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.24

Open$6.19

High$6.49

Low$5.89

Close$6.43

Open positions2

USD balance$0

10-$0.24

Jul 10, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.24

Open$6.43

High$6.55

Low$4.9

Close$6.19

Open positions2

USD balance$0

11-$0.05

Jul 11, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.05

Open$6.19

High$6.49

Low$5.9

Close$6.14

Open positions2

USD balance$0

12$0.04

Jul 12, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.04

Open$6.14

High$6.49

Low$5.8

Close$6.18

Open positions2

USD balance$0

13$0.01

Jul 13, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.01

Open$6.18

High$6.67

Low$5.38

Close$6.19

Open positions2

USD balance$0

14-$0

Jul 14, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0

Open$6.19

High$6.49

Low$5.87

Close$6.19

Open positions2

USD balance$0

15$0.3

Jul 15, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.3

Open$6.19

High$6.55

Low$5.84

Close$6.49

Open positions2

USD balance$0

16-$0.06

Jul 16, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.06

Open$6.49

High$6.55

Low$5.83

Close$6.43

Open positions2

USD balance$0

17-$0.24

Jul 17, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.24

Open$6.43

High$6.49

Low$5.89

Close$6.19

Open positions2

USD balance$0

18$0.24

Jul 18, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.24

Open$6.19

High$6.49

Low$5.68

Close$6.43

Open positions2

USD balance$0

19-$0.3

Jul 19, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.3

Open$6.43

High$6.49

Low$5.89

Close$6.13

Open positions2

USD balance$0

20$0.3

Jul 20, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.3

Open$6.13

High$6.49

Low$5.89

Close$6.43

Open positions2

USD balance$0

21-$0.26

Jul 21, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.26

Open$6.43

High$6.49

Low$5.84

Close$6.17

Open positions2

USD balance$0

22$0.26

Jul 22, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.26

Open$6.17

High$6.49

Low$5.85

Close$6.43

Open positions2

USD balance$0

23-$0.31

Jul 23, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.31

Open$6.43

High$6.43

Low$5.86

Close$6.12

Open positions2

USD balance$0

24$0.31

Jul 24, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.31

Open$6.12

High$6.49

Low$5.86

Close$6.43

Open positions2

USD balance$0

25$0.06

Jul 25, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.06

Open$6.43

High$6.49

Low$5.86

Close$6.49

Open positions2

USD balance$0

26-$0.06

Jul 26, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.06

Open$6.49

High$6.49

Low$6.18

Close$6.43

Open positions2

USD balance$0

27-$0.3

Jul 27, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.3

Open$6.43

High$6.61

Low$5.82

Close$6.13

Open positions2

USD balance$0

28$0.06

Jul 28, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.06

Open$6.13

High$6.49

Low$5.89

Close$6.19

Open positions2

USD balance$0

29-$0

Jul 29, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0

Open$6.19

High$6.49

Low$5.68

Close$6.19

Open positions2

USD balance$0

Performance Summary

PnL Change

1D -$07D -$0.2430D -$0.3

Markets

Won

Lost

Win Rate

85.7%

Profit Factor

2.10x

Avg Win

$0.39

Avg Loss

-$1.11

Total Wins

$11.7

Total Losses

-$5.55

Avg. Hold Time

70d 6h 53m 37s

Best Win

Will Petr Fiala be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after t…

Worst Loss

—

Period

Best Period

$7.57, Aug 2 – Aug 8

Worst Period

-$3.09, Jul 20 – Jul 26

Longest Streak

7d W / 6d L

Current Streak

1d L

Max Drawdown

-$7.82 (-85.5%)

Current DD

-$2.96 (-32.3%)

Max Runup

$10.3 (893.8%)

Rebates

Rewards

Yield

$0.44(82)

0xb409...416bb5

Analytics

0xb409...416bb5

Analytics

0xb409...416bb5

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Volume

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

0xb409...416bb5

Trader DNA

Trader DNA

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types