thesurfer Polymarket Trader

How We Built Realtime Precomputed PnL for PolymarketRead the post

Explorer

Loading open positions...

Volume

Fees

Trades

Avg trade size

					Merge
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? NoCrypto 123.47 shares	73.8¢ / 75.0¢	$1.53 (1.7%)	$91.1 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 30, 2026 12:01 PM
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? YesCrypto 108.11 shares	37.0¢ / 4.2¢	-$35.5 (-88.6%)	$40 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 30, 2026 10:00 AM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherl… WonYesPolitics	64.8¢ / 100.0¢	$460 (50.5%)	$910 · 1	$1.37K · 1	$0	Nov 3, 2025 12:52 AM
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamenta… WonYesPolitics	64.8¢ / 100.0¢	$312 (49.1%)	$635 · 4	$947 · 1	$0	Nov 2, 2025 6:35 PM
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025? WonNoCrypto	69.3¢ / 100.0¢	$156 (44.4%)	$352 · 7	$0	$0	Jan 1, 2026 5:23 PM
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-09? WonYesSports	56.0¢ / 100.0¢	$122 (78.4%)	$156 · 1	$278 · 1	$0	Nov 10, 2025 1:57 AM
Will PSV win on 2025-11-09? WonYesSports	49.0¢ / 100.0¢	$115 (103.9%)	$111 · 1	$226 · 1	$0	Nov 9, 2025 8:46 PM
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%? WonYesPolitics	26.0¢ / 100.0¢	$75.3 (130.8%)	$57.6 · 1	$133 · 1	$0	Dec 3, 2025 12:56 AM
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025? WonNoPolitics	40.6¢ / 100.0¢	$61.4 (133.8%)	$45.9 · 1	$107 · 1	$0	Jan 1, 2026 9:22 AM
Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliam… WonNoPolitics	92.0¢ / 100.0¢	$51.5 (8.6%)	$600 · 1	$652 · 1	$0	Nov 2, 2025 7:46 AM
Up Only podcast released by November 30? WonNoCrypto	49.0¢ / 100.0¢	$25.5 (102.0%)	$25 · 1	$50.5 · 1	$0	Dec 1, 2025 7:20 AM
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decembe… WonYesTech	78.7¢ / 100.0¢	$25 (27.1%)	$92.5 · 2	$0	$0	Jan 1, 2026 5:23 PM
Nothing Ever Happens: November WonYesPolitics	74.0¢ / 100.0¢	$24.3 (30.3%)	$80 · 1	$104 · 1	$0	Dec 1, 2025 7:36 AM
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? WonYesPolitics	83.7¢ / 100.0¢	$17.5 (19.5%)	$90 · 2	$0	$0	Dec 11, 2025 1:36 AM
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 65-66°F on Nove… WonYesWeather	81.4¢ / 100.0¢	$16.7 (17.0%)	$98.6 · 9	$115 · 4	$0	Nov 9, 2025 9:21 AM
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election? WonNoPolitics	85.5¢ / 100.0¢	$15.6 (6.2%)	$250 · 2	$265 · 2	$0	Dec 15, 2025 2:47 AM
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of February? WonNoFinance	84.0¢ / 100.0¢	$15.5 (17.2%)	$90 · 1	$105 · 1	$0	Feb 28, 2026 8:36 AM
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025? WonNoCrypto	75.0¢ / 100.0¢	$14.7 (22.7%)	$65 · 1	$79.7 · 1	$0	Jan 1, 2026 7:18 AM
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 67-68°F on Nove… WonNoWeather	88.9¢ / 100.0¢	$14.1 (11.7%)	$121 · 2	$135 · 5	$0	Nov 9, 2025 9:22 AM
Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-12-14? WonYesSports	56.0¢ / 100.0¢	$13.8 (78.6%)	$17.5 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 14, 2025 6:47 PM
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-02? WonYesSports	81.6¢ / 100.0¢	$12.8 (21.3%)	$60 · 1	$72.8 · 1	$0	Dec 3, 2025 1:25 AM
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-11-30? WonYesSports	80.0¢ / 100.0¢	$12.4 (24.9%)	$50 · 1	$62.4 · 1	$0	Nov 30, 2025 6:45 PM
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? WonYesPolitics	91.3¢ / 100.0¢	$11.9 (3.7%)	$318 · 3	$187 · 1	$0	Jan 29, 2026 1:54 PM
Will NVIDIA dip to $168 in January? WonNoFinance	78.0¢ / 100.0¢	$11.3 (28.2%)	$40 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 31, 2026 2:00 PM
Will the California redistricting referendum pass by >29%? WonNoPolitics	62.9¢ / 100.0¢	$10.7 (53.7%)	$20 · 1	$30.7 · 1	$0	Dec 12, 2025 10:43 PM
Will Germany win on 2025-11-14? WonYesSports	91.0¢ / 100.0¢	$9.89 (9.9%)	$100 · 1	$0	$0	Nov 15, 2025 1:38 AM
Will the highest temperature in London be between 59-60°F on November 9? WonYesWeather	89.3¢ / 100.0¢	$9.33 (7.1%)	$132 · 2	$141 · 2	$0	Nov 10, 2025 3:52 AM

					Merge
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? NoCrypto 123.47 shares	73.8¢ / 75.0¢	$1.53 (1.7%)	$91.1 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 30, 2026 12:01 PM
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? YesCrypto 108.11 shares	37.0¢ / 4.2¢	-$35.5 (-88.6%)	$40 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 30, 2026 10:00 AM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherl… WonYesPolitics	64.8¢ / 100.0¢	$460 (50.5%)	$910 · 1	$1.37K · 1	$0	Nov 3, 2025 12:52 AM
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamenta… WonYesPolitics	64.8¢ / 100.0¢	$312 (49.1%)	$635 · 4	$947 · 1	$0	Nov 2, 2025 6:35 PM
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025? WonNoCrypto	69.3¢ / 100.0¢	$156 (44.4%)	$352 · 7	$0	$0	Jan 1, 2026 5:23 PM
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-09? WonYesSports	56.0¢ / 100.0¢	$122 (78.4%)	$156 · 1	$278 · 1	$0	Nov 10, 2025 1:57 AM
Will PSV win on 2025-11-09? WonYesSports	49.0¢ / 100.0¢	$115 (103.9%)	$111 · 1	$226 · 1	$0	Nov 9, 2025 8:46 PM
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%? WonYesPolitics	26.0¢ / 100.0¢	$75.3 (130.8%)	$57.6 · 1	$133 · 1	$0	Dec 3, 2025 12:56 AM
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025? WonNoPolitics	40.6¢ / 100.0¢	$61.4 (133.8%)	$45.9 · 1	$107 · 1	$0	Jan 1, 2026 9:22 AM
Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliam… WonNoPolitics	92.0¢ / 100.0¢	$51.5 (8.6%)	$600 · 1	$652 · 1	$0	Nov 2, 2025 7:46 AM
Up Only podcast released by November 30? WonNoCrypto	49.0¢ / 100.0¢	$25.5 (102.0%)	$25 · 1	$50.5 · 1	$0	Dec 1, 2025 7:20 AM
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decembe… WonYesTech	78.7¢ / 100.0¢	$25 (27.1%)	$92.5 · 2	$0	$0	Jan 1, 2026 5:23 PM
Nothing Ever Happens: November WonYesPolitics	74.0¢ / 100.0¢	$24.3 (30.3%)	$80 · 1	$104 · 1	$0	Dec 1, 2025 7:36 AM
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? WonYesPolitics	83.7¢ / 100.0¢	$17.5 (19.5%)	$90 · 2	$0	$0	Dec 11, 2025 1:36 AM
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 65-66°F on Nove… WonYesWeather	81.4¢ / 100.0¢	$16.7 (17.0%)	$98.6 · 9	$115 · 4	$0	Nov 9, 2025 9:21 AM
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election? WonNoPolitics	85.5¢ / 100.0¢	$15.6 (6.2%)	$250 · 2	$265 · 2	$0	Dec 15, 2025 2:47 AM
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of February? WonNoFinance	84.0¢ / 100.0¢	$15.5 (17.2%)	$90 · 1	$105 · 1	$0	Feb 28, 2026 8:36 AM
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025? WonNoCrypto	75.0¢ / 100.0¢	$14.7 (22.7%)	$65 · 1	$79.7 · 1	$0	Jan 1, 2026 7:18 AM
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 67-68°F on Nove… WonNoWeather	88.9¢ / 100.0¢	$14.1 (11.7%)	$121 · 2	$135 · 5	$0	Nov 9, 2025 9:22 AM
Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-12-14? WonYesSports	56.0¢ / 100.0¢	$13.8 (78.6%)	$17.5 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 14, 2025 6:47 PM
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-02? WonYesSports	81.6¢ / 100.0¢	$12.8 (21.3%)	$60 · 1	$72.8 · 1	$0	Dec 3, 2025 1:25 AM
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-11-30? WonYesSports	80.0¢ / 100.0¢	$12.4 (24.9%)	$50 · 1	$62.4 · 1	$0	Nov 30, 2025 6:45 PM
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? WonYesPolitics	91.3¢ / 100.0¢	$11.9 (3.7%)	$318 · 3	$187 · 1	$0	Jan 29, 2026 1:54 PM
Will NVIDIA dip to $168 in January? WonNoFinance	78.0¢ / 100.0¢	$11.3 (28.2%)	$40 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 31, 2026 2:00 PM
Will the California redistricting referendum pass by >29%? WonNoPolitics	62.9¢ / 100.0¢	$10.7 (53.7%)	$20 · 1	$30.7 · 1	$0	Dec 12, 2025 10:43 PM
Will Germany win on 2025-11-14? WonYesSports	91.0¢ / 100.0¢	$9.89 (9.9%)	$100 · 1	$0	$0	Nov 15, 2025 1:38 AM
Will the highest temperature in London be between 59-60°F on November 9? WonYesWeather	89.3¢ / 100.0¢	$9.33 (7.1%)	$132 · 2	$141 · 2	$0	Nov 10, 2025 3:52 AM

thesurfer Polymarket Trader

PnL Calendar

July 2026

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

1$7.25

Jul 1, 2026

Daily PnL

$7.25

Open$641

High$650

Low$641

Close$649

Open positions2

USD balance$0

2-$0.69

Jul 2, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.69

Open$649

High$651

Low$646

Close$648

Open positions2

USD balance$0

3$6.86

Jul 3, 2026

Daily PnL

$6.86

Open$648

High$655

Low$647

Close$655

Open positions2

USD balance$0

4$0.14

Jul 4, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.14

Open$655

High$656

Low$650

Close$655

Open positions2

USD balance$0

5$0.01

Jul 5, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.01

Open$655

High$656

Low$650

Close$655

Open positions2

USD balance$0

6$2.47

Jul 6, 2026

Daily PnL

$2.47

Open$655

High$658

Low$653

Close$658

Open positions2

USD balance$0

7$1.13

Jul 7, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.13

Open$658

High$660

Low$653

Close$659

Open positions2

USD balance$0

8-$5.37

Jul 8, 2026

Daily PnL

-$5.37

Open$659

High$659

Low$652

Close$653

Open positions2

USD balance$0

9$3.49

Jul 9, 2026

Daily PnL

$3.49

Open$653

High$657

Low$651

Close$657

Open positions2

USD balance$0

10$3.7

Jul 10, 2026

Daily PnL

$3.7

Open$657

High$660

Low$654

Close$660

Open positions2

USD balance$0

11-$0.75

Jul 11, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.75

Open$660

High$663

Low$659

Close$660

Open positions2

USD balance$0

12$2.64

Jul 12, 2026

Daily PnL

$2.64

Open$660

High$665

Low$660

Close$662

Open positions2

USD balance$0

13-$2.47

Jul 13, 2026

Daily PnL

-$2.47

Open$662

High$664

Low$656

Close$660

Open positions2

USD balance$0

14$2.51

Jul 14, 2026

Daily PnL

$2.51

Open$660

High$665

Low$657

Close$662

Open positions2

USD balance$0

15$11.1

Jul 15, 2026

Daily PnL

$11.1

Open$662

High$673

Low$662

Close$673

Open positions2

USD balance$0

16-$1.13

Jul 16, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.13

Open$673

High$673

Low$669

Close$672

Open positions2

USD balance$0

17-$1.48

Jul 17, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.48

Open$672

High$674

Low$670

Close$671

Open positions2

USD balance$0

18$2.46

Jul 18, 2026

Daily PnL

$2.46

Open$671

High$674

Low$671

Close$673

Open positions2

USD balance$0

19-$4.15

Jul 19, 2026

Daily PnL

-$4.15

Open$673

High$673

Low$668

Close$669

Open positions2

USD balance$0

20$1.2

Jul 20, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.2

Open$669

High$673

Low$666

Close$670

Open positions2

USD balance$0

21$4.99

Jul 21, 2026

Daily PnL

$4.99

Open$670

High$675

Low$670

Close$675

Open positions2

USD balance$0

22-$2.99

Jul 22, 2026

Daily PnL

-$2.99

Open$675

High$675

Low$672

Close$672

Open positions2

USD balance$0

23-$1.04

Jul 23, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.04

Open$672

High$675

Low$668

Close$671

Open positions2

USD balance$0

24-$2.47

Jul 24, 2026

Daily PnL

-$2.47

Open$671

High$673

Low$669

Close$669

Open positions2

USD balance$0

25-$0.22

Jul 25, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.22

Open$669

High$670

Low$669

Close$669

Open positions2

USD balance$0

26-$0.65

Jul 26, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.65

Open$669

High$669

Low$665

Close$668

Open positions2

USD balance$0

27-$0.12

Jul 27, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.12

Open$668

High$670

Low$665

Close$668

Open positions2

USD balance$0

28-$5.18

Jul 28, 2026

Daily PnL

-$5.18

Open$668

High$670

Low$661

Close$663

Open positions2

USD balance$0

29$2.25

Jul 29, 2026

Daily PnL

$2.25

Open$663

High$666

Low$661

Close$665

Open positions2

USD balance$0

30$3.92

Jul 30, 2026

Daily PnL

$3.92

Open$665

High$669

Low$664

Close$669

Open positions2

USD balance$0

Performance Summary

PnL Change

1D $4.727D -$2.2230D $20.1

Markets

Won

Lost

Win Rate

70.8%

Profit Factor

4.09x

Avg Win

$37.1

Avg Loss

-$22

Total Wins

$1.71K

Total Losses

-$417

Avg. Hold Time

15d 8h 4m 57s

Best Win

$460

Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherl…

Worst Loss

-$148

Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?

Period

Best Period

$690, Oct 29 – Nov 4

Worst Period

-$290, Jan 30 – Feb 5

Longest Streak

10d W / 7d L

Current Streak

2d W

Max Drawdown

-$430 (-40.3%)

Current DD

-$399 (-37.4%)

Max Runup

$1.07K (41791.6%)

Rebates

Rewards

Yield

$0.16(24)

thesurfer

Analytics

thesurfer

Analytics

thesurfer

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Volume

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

thesurfer

Trader DNA

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Trader DNA