Grumpy-Wario Polymarket Trader

Struct Trades WS is 2.6s faster than Polymarket's RTDS feedRead the benchmark

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Volume

Fees

Trades

Avg trade size

					Merge
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? NoPolitics 50,670.00 shares	50.0¢ / 98.5¢	$24.6K (21.5%)	$115K	$0	$89.2K	Jul 29, 2026 6:05 PM
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? YesPolitics 50,670.00 shares	50.0¢ / 1.5¢	-$24.6K (-21.5%)	$115K	$0	$89.2K	Jul 29, 2026 6:05 PM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Wimbledon WTA: Linda Noskova vs Elise Mertens WonLinda NoskovaSports	61.0¢ / 100.0¢	$351 (63.9%)	$549 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 8, 2026 5:03 PM
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? WonYesPolitics	57.7¢ / 100.0¢	$183 (73.3%)	$250 · 1	$0	$0	Nov 6, 2024 5:36 PM
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? WonYesSports	7.8¢ / 0.0¢	$158 (312.2%)	$50.7 · 9	$209 · 2	$0	Feb 9, 2026 7:21 AM
Counter-Strike: Acend vs CarritoSpain (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group D WonAcendSports	70.0¢ / 100.0¢	$135 (35.8%)	$378 · 3	$513 · 1	$0	Mar 30, 2026 12:57 AM
Australian Open Men's: Yannick Hanfmann vs Benjamin Hassan WonHassanSports	18.0¢ / 50.0¢	$109 (172.2%)	$63 · 2	$172 · 1	$0	Jan 12, 2026 1:23 PM
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Jannik Sinner WonFelix Auger-AliassimeSports	11.3¢ / 0.0¢	$75.1 (15.0%)	$487 · 2	$575 · 1	$0	Apr 10, 2026 4:15 PM
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Cuomo" 2+ times during his victory/concession s… WonNoMentions	44.5¢ / 100.0¢	$56.2 (124.9%)	$45 · 1	$0	$0	Nov 5, 2025 9:05 AM
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Aurora Young Blood (BO3) - ESL Challenger Le… WonLeo TeamSports	51.0¢ / 100.0¢	$40.4 (96.1%)	$42 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 23, 2026 10:26 PM
Seahawks vs. Cardinals WonSeahawksSports	51.0¢ / 100.0¢	$36 (96.1%)	$37.4 · 1	$0	$0	Sep 26, 2025 9:30 AM
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31? WonNoPolitics	55.0¢ / 100.0¢	$34 (30.9%)	$110 · 1	$144 · 1	$0	Feb 1, 2026 8:11 AM
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026? WonNoPolitics	63.8¢ / 100.0¢	$32.5 (31.8%)	$102 · 1	$135 · 1	$0	Feb 1, 2026 7:43 AM
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson? WonYesSports	61.0¢ / 100.0¢	$31.9 (63.8%)	$50 · 1	$81.9 · 1	$0	Nov 16, 2024 8:56 AM
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Jelena Ostapenko vs Mirra Andreeva WonJelena OstapenkoSports	28.1¢ / 0.0¢	$22.4 (1.6%)	$1.4K · 51	$1.42K · 19	$0	Apr 15, 2026 10:56 PM
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs DashSkins (BO3) - CCT South America Seri… WonDashSkinsSports	78.0¢ / 100.0¢	$22 (28.2%)	$78 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 26, 2026 8:02 AM
Will Atalanta win the Serie A? WonYesSports	11.2¢ / 0.0¢	$21.3 (75.9%)	$28 · 4	$49.3 · 1	$0	May 12, 2025 1:40 AM
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? WonYesSports	10.0¢ / 0.0¢	$20 (20.0%)	$100 · 1	$120 · 11	$0	Apr 15, 2026 1:42 AM
Madrid Open: Cristian Garin vs Alexander Blockx WonAlexander BlockxSports	60.0¢ / 100.0¢	$19.6 (66.7%)	$29.4 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 23, 2026 2:17 PM
Will Trump nominate RFK Jr. for HHS Secretary? WonNoPolitics	59.1¢ / 0.0¢	$18.6 (37.1%)	$50 · 1	$68.6 · 1	$0	Nov 15, 2024 5:32 AM
Steelers vs. Patriots WonSteelersSports	54.0¢ / 100.0¢	$17 (85.2%)	$20 · 1	$0	$0	Sep 22, 2025 6:25 AM
Will Ferrari win the 2024 F1 Constructors Championship? WonYesSports	30.8¢ / 0.0¢	$16.3 (21.7%)	$75 · 2	$91.3 · 2	$0	Dec 8, 2024 9:05 PM
Roland Garros WTA: Jil Teichmann vs Magdalena Frech WonMagdalena FrechSports	57.0¢ / 0.0¢	$14.4 (14.0%)	$103 · 3	$117 · 1	$0	May 27, 2026 7:58 PM
Roland Garros WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Solana Sierra WonSolana SierraSports	87.2¢ / 100.0¢	$13.9 (3.2%)	$435 · 2	$450 · 6	$0	May 27, 2026 8:33 PM
Will Como 1907 vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw? WonYesSports	64.6¢ / 100.0¢	$13 (5.5%)	$236 · 6	$249 · 4	$0	Jan 10, 2026 7:16 PM
Rams vs. Panthers WonRamsSports	82.1¢ / 100.0¢	$12 (21.8%)	$55 · 4	$0	$0	Jan 11, 2026 7:17 AM
Madrid Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Lorenzo Musetti WonLorenzo MusettiSports	62.7¢ / 100.0¢	$11.9 (59.5%)	$19.8 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 24, 2026 3:05 PM

					Merge
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? NoPolitics 50,670.00 shares	50.0¢ / 98.5¢	$24.6K (21.5%)	$115K	$0	$89.2K	Jul 29, 2026 6:05 PM
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? YesPolitics 50,670.00 shares	50.0¢ / 1.5¢	-$24.6K (-21.5%)	$115K	$0	$89.2K	Jul 29, 2026 6:05 PM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Wimbledon WTA: Linda Noskova vs Elise Mertens WonLinda NoskovaSports	61.0¢ / 100.0¢	$351 (63.9%)	$549 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 8, 2026 5:03 PM
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? WonYesPolitics	57.7¢ / 100.0¢	$183 (73.3%)	$250 · 1	$0	$0	Nov 6, 2024 5:36 PM
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? WonYesSports	7.8¢ / 0.0¢	$158 (312.2%)	$50.7 · 9	$209 · 2	$0	Feb 9, 2026 7:21 AM
Counter-Strike: Acend vs CarritoSpain (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group D WonAcendSports	70.0¢ / 100.0¢	$135 (35.8%)	$378 · 3	$513 · 1	$0	Mar 30, 2026 12:57 AM
Australian Open Men's: Yannick Hanfmann vs Benjamin Hassan WonHassanSports	18.0¢ / 50.0¢	$109 (172.2%)	$63 · 2	$172 · 1	$0	Jan 12, 2026 1:23 PM
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Jannik Sinner WonFelix Auger-AliassimeSports	11.3¢ / 0.0¢	$75.1 (15.0%)	$487 · 2	$575 · 1	$0	Apr 10, 2026 4:15 PM
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Cuomo" 2+ times during his victory/concession s… WonNoMentions	44.5¢ / 100.0¢	$56.2 (124.9%)	$45 · 1	$0	$0	Nov 5, 2025 9:05 AM
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Aurora Young Blood (BO3) - ESL Challenger Le… WonLeo TeamSports	51.0¢ / 100.0¢	$40.4 (96.1%)	$42 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 23, 2026 10:26 PM
Seahawks vs. Cardinals WonSeahawksSports	51.0¢ / 100.0¢	$36 (96.1%)	$37.4 · 1	$0	$0	Sep 26, 2025 9:30 AM
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31? WonNoPolitics	55.0¢ / 100.0¢	$34 (30.9%)	$110 · 1	$144 · 1	$0	Feb 1, 2026 8:11 AM
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026? WonNoPolitics	63.8¢ / 100.0¢	$32.5 (31.8%)	$102 · 1	$135 · 1	$0	Feb 1, 2026 7:43 AM
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson? WonYesSports	61.0¢ / 100.0¢	$31.9 (63.8%)	$50 · 1	$81.9 · 1	$0	Nov 16, 2024 8:56 AM
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Jelena Ostapenko vs Mirra Andreeva WonJelena OstapenkoSports	28.1¢ / 0.0¢	$22.4 (1.6%)	$1.4K · 51	$1.42K · 19	$0	Apr 15, 2026 10:56 PM
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs DashSkins (BO3) - CCT South America Seri… WonDashSkinsSports	78.0¢ / 100.0¢	$22 (28.2%)	$78 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 26, 2026 8:02 AM
Will Atalanta win the Serie A? WonYesSports	11.2¢ / 0.0¢	$21.3 (75.9%)	$28 · 4	$49.3 · 1	$0	May 12, 2025 1:40 AM
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? WonYesSports	10.0¢ / 0.0¢	$20 (20.0%)	$100 · 1	$120 · 11	$0	Apr 15, 2026 1:42 AM
Madrid Open: Cristian Garin vs Alexander Blockx WonAlexander BlockxSports	60.0¢ / 100.0¢	$19.6 (66.7%)	$29.4 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 23, 2026 2:17 PM
Will Trump nominate RFK Jr. for HHS Secretary? WonNoPolitics	59.1¢ / 0.0¢	$18.6 (37.1%)	$50 · 1	$68.6 · 1	$0	Nov 15, 2024 5:32 AM
Steelers vs. Patriots WonSteelersSports	54.0¢ / 100.0¢	$17 (85.2%)	$20 · 1	$0	$0	Sep 22, 2025 6:25 AM
Will Ferrari win the 2024 F1 Constructors Championship? WonYesSports	30.8¢ / 0.0¢	$16.3 (21.7%)	$75 · 2	$91.3 · 2	$0	Dec 8, 2024 9:05 PM
Roland Garros WTA: Jil Teichmann vs Magdalena Frech WonMagdalena FrechSports	57.0¢ / 0.0¢	$14.4 (14.0%)	$103 · 3	$117 · 1	$0	May 27, 2026 7:58 PM
Roland Garros WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Solana Sierra WonSolana SierraSports	87.2¢ / 100.0¢	$13.9 (3.2%)	$435 · 2	$450 · 6	$0	May 27, 2026 8:33 PM
Will Como 1907 vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw? WonYesSports	64.6¢ / 100.0¢	$13 (5.5%)	$236 · 6	$249 · 4	$0	Jan 10, 2026 7:16 PM
Rams vs. Panthers WonRamsSports	82.1¢ / 100.0¢	$12 (21.8%)	$55 · 4	$0	$0	Jan 11, 2026 7:17 AM
Madrid Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Lorenzo Musetti WonLorenzo MusettiSports	62.7¢ / 100.0¢	$11.9 (59.5%)	$19.8 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 24, 2026 3:05 PM

Grumpy-Wario Polymarket Trader

PnL Calendar

July 2026

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

1-$59.5

Jul 1, 2026

Daily PnL

-$59.5

Open-$1.65K

High-$1.31K

Low-$2.02K

Close-$1.71K

Open positions4

USD balance$0

2-$132

Jul 2, 2026

Daily PnL

-$132

Open-$1.71K

High-$1.42K

Low-$1.91K

Close-$1.84K

Open positions4

USD balance$24.5

3$493

Jul 3, 2026

Daily PnL

$493

Open-$1.84K

High-$1.35K

Low-$2.24K

Close-$1.35K

Open positions4

USD balance$27.8

4-$612

Jul 4, 2026

Daily PnL

-$612

Open-$1.35K

High-$1.35K

Low-$2.22K

Close-$1.96K

Open positions4

USD balance$10.1K

5$529

Jul 5, 2026

Daily PnL

$529

Open-$1.96K

High-$1.34K

Low-$2.01K

Close-$1.43K

Open positions3

USD balance$50.8

6$220

Jul 6, 2026

Daily PnL

$220

Open-$1.43K

High-$1.21K

Low-$1.65K

Close-$1.21K

Open positions3

USD balance$50.8

7-$211

Jul 7, 2026

Daily PnL

-$211

Open-$1.21K

High-$909

Low-$1.43K

Close-$1.42K

Open positions2

USD balance$37.5

8$795

Jul 8, 2026

Daily PnL

$795

Open-$1.42K

High-$557

Low-$1.42K

Close-$625

Open positions2

USD balance$1.4K

9-$449

Jul 9, 2026

Daily PnL

-$449

Open-$625

High-$556

Low-$1.07K

Close-$1.07K

Open positions2

USD balance$7.11

10$0

Jul 10, 2026

Daily PnL

Open-$1.07K

High-$556

Low-$1.07K

Close-$1.07K

Open positions2

USD balance$7.11

11$491

Jul 11, 2026

Daily PnL

$491

Open-$1.07K

High-$511

Low-$1.07K

Close-$583

Open positions2

USD balance$0

12-$18.5

Jul 12, 2026

Daily PnL

-$18.5

Open-$583

High-$511

Low-$630

Close-$601

Open positions2

USD balance$0

13$0

Jul 13, 2026

Daily PnL

Open-$601

High-$601

Low-$1.12K

Close-$601

Open positions2

USD balance$0

14-$15.9

Jul 14, 2026

Daily PnL

-$15.9

Open-$601

High-$601

Low-$628

Close-$617

Open positions2

USD balance$10K

15-$0

Jul 15, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0

Open-$617

High-$576

Low-$617

Close-$617

Open positions2

USD balance$10K

16$61.2

Jul 16, 2026

Daily PnL

$61.2

Open-$617

High-$556

Low-$630

Close-$556

Open positions2

USD balance$32.7

17-$73.8

Jul 17, 2026

Daily PnL

-$73.8

Open-$556

High-$556

Low-$630

Close-$630

Open positions2

USD balance$0

18-$71.8

Jul 18, 2026

Daily PnL

-$71.8

Open-$630

High-$601

Low-$702

Close-$702

Open positions2

USD balance$0

19$191

Jul 19, 2026

Daily PnL

$191

Open-$702

High-$511

Low-$702

Close-$511

Open positions2

USD balance$0

20-$113

Jul 20, 2026

Daily PnL

-$113

Open-$511

High-$511

Low-$673

Close-$623

Open positions2

USD balance$10K

21$22.2

Jul 21, 2026

Daily PnL

$22.2

Open-$623

High-$566

Low-$630

Close-$601

Open positions2

USD balance$47.4

22-$28.5

Jul 22, 2026

Daily PnL

-$28.5

Open-$601

High-$556

Low-$675

Close-$630

Open positions2

USD balance$47.4

23$28.5

Jul 23, 2026

Daily PnL

$28.5

Open-$630

High-$601

Low-$675

Close-$601

Open positions2

USD balance$47.4

26-$27.6

Jul 26, 2026

Daily PnL

-$27.6

Open-$601

High-$601

Low-$702

Close-$629

Open positions2

USD balance$0

27-$2.29

Jul 27, 2026

Daily PnL

-$2.29

Open-$629

High-$554

Low-$631

Close-$631

Open positions2

USD balance$0

28$29.9

Jul 28, 2026

Daily PnL

$29.9

Open-$631

High-$601

Low-$679

Close-$601

Open positions2

USD balance$0

Performance Summary

PnL Change

1D $29.87D $030D $1.05K

Markets

Won

Lost

Combos

Win Rate

54.7%

Profit Factor

0.91x

Avg Win

$81.4

Avg Loss

-$108

Total Wins

$3.83K

Total Losses

-$4.22K

Avg. Hold Time

25d 16h 34m 29s

Best Win

$1.69K

Barcelona Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Tomas Machac

Worst Loss

-$1.63K

Madrid Open: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev

Period

Best Period

$1.52K, Apr 13 – Apr 19

Worst Period

-$1.69K, Apr 23 – Apr 29

Longest Streak

4d W / 6d L

Current Streak

1d W

Max Drawdown

-$3.85K (-233.5%)

Current DD

-$2.25K (-136.5%)

Max Runup

$1.88K (811.3%)

Rebates

$282(12)

Rewards

$23.5(4)

Yield

$147(93)

Grumpy-Wario

Analytics

Grumpy-Wario

Analytics

Grumpy-Wario

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Volume

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Grumpy-Wario

Trader DNA

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Trader DNA