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| Merge | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? NoPoliticsRedeemable 0.40 shares | 98.4¢ / 100.0¢ | -$0.18 (-0.0%) | $476 · 7 | $475 · 9 | $0 | May 14, 2026 1:24 AM | |
 Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? YesPolitics 0.54 shares | 1.1¢ / 1.1¢ | $0 (0.0%) | $1.66 · 3 | $1.65 · 1 | $0 | Apr 4, 2026 4:16 PM |
| Market | Entry / Current | PnL | Buys | Sells | Merge | Last Active | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 85.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $2.35 (2.8%) | $83.9 · 1 | $86.2 · 1 | $0 | May 16, 2026 6:55 AM | |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? WonYesPolitics | 3.0¢ / 0.0¢ | $1.74 (30.0%) | $5.79 · 3 | $7.53 · 1 | $0 | Apr 1, 2026 6:49 AM | |
 Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup? WonNoSports | 94.6¢ / 98.7¢ | $0.93 (1.1%) | $88 · 1 | $88.9 · 1 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 5:50 PM | |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? WonNoPolitics | 88.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.63 (7.1%) | $8.88 · 1 | $9.51 · 1 | $0 | Oct 10, 2025 11:04 AM | |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? WonYesPolitics | 94.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.56 (0.6%) | $87.5 · 1 | $88.1 · 2 | $0 | May 14, 2026 12:13 AM | |
95.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.49 (0.3%) | $187 · 2 | $188 · 2 | $0 | May 1, 2026 6:54 AM | ||
74.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.39 (0.4%) | $97.6 · 1 | $98 · 1 | $0 | Jul 6, 2026 1:45 PM | ||
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? WonYesPolitics | 16.6¢ / 10.8¢ | $0.39 (1.2%) | $32.5 · 2 | $32.9 · 1 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 10:58 PM | |
98.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.35 (0.6%) | $61.2 · 2 | $61.6 · 2 | $0 | Jan 1, 2026 9:25 AM | ||
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? WonNoSports | 94.7¢ / 98.4¢ | $0.31 (0.3%) | $96.6 · 1 | $96.9 · 1 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 5:50 PM | |
 Will Elon tweet 420–434 times August 1–August 8? WonNoMentions | 99.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.3 (0.5%) | $59.7 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Aug 10, 2025 6:40 AM | |
2.5¢ / 0.0¢ | $0.28 (5.9%) | $4.74 · 4 | $5.02 · 3 | $0 | May 24, 2026 1:00 PM | ||
 Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 97.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.25 (0.3%) | $91.7 · 1 | $91.9 · 1 | $0 | May 13, 2026 4:44 PM | |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? WonYesPolitics | 4.5¢ / 0.0¢ | $0.19 (2.2%) | $8.51 · 2 | $8.69 · 1 | $0 | Jun 1, 2026 8:28 AM | |
 Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? WonNoSports | 97.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.18 (0.2%) | $88 · 1 | $88.2 · 1 | $0 | Jun 29, 2026 10:14 PM | |
3.6¢ / 0.0¢ | $0.17 (5.6%) | $3.1 · 1 | $3.27 · 1 | $0 | May 1, 2026 6:56 AM | ||
72.7¢ / 80.0¢ | $0.13 (0.1%) | $97.4 · 1 | $97.6 · 2 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 10:44 PM | ||
Will Elon tweet 470 or more times August 8–August 15? WonYesMentions | 97.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.13 (2.6%) | $4.87 · 1 | $4.99 · 1 | $0 | Aug 15, 2025 12:25 AM | |
 Xi Jinping out before October? WonNoPolitics | 96.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.13 (0.2%) | $50.3 · 2 | $50.4 · 1 | $0 | Oct 1, 2025 6:26 AM | |
98.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.11 (0.1%) | $105 · 3 | $105 · 3 | $0 | Apr 16, 2026 8:27 AM | ||
Will Trump visit China by April 30? WonYesPolitics | 3.5¢ / 0.0¢ | $0.1 (7.2%) | $1.44 · 1 | $1.54 · 2 | $0 | May 1, 2026 7:08 AM | |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? WonNoSports | 84.2¢ / 0.0¢ | $0.1 (0.1%) | $87.6 · 1 | $87.7 · 1 | $0 | Jul 20, 2026 1:19 AM | |
95.9¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.1 (0.1%) | $194 · 2 | $194 · 2 | $0 | May 18, 2026 6:00 AM | ||
98.2¢ / 99.4¢ | $0.1 (0.1%) | $96.2 · 1 | $96.3 · 2 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 7:12 PM | ||
 Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair? WonNoPolitics | 98.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.09 (0.1%) | $88.7 · 1 | $88.8 · 1 | $0 | May 14, 2026 1:29 AM |
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PnL Calendar
Jul 1, 2026
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Performance Summary
PnL Change
Markets
99
Won
37
Lost
37
Win Rate
50.0%
Profit Factor
0.90x
Avg Win
$0.27
Avg Loss
-$0.3
Total Wins
$10
Total Losses
-$11.2
Avg. Hold Time
Period
Best Period
Worst Period
Longest Streak
Current Streak
Max Drawdown
Current DD
Max Runup
Rebates
Rewards
Yield
