| Merge | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison? YesCulture 5.00 shares | 33.8¢ / 0.1¢ | $12.1 (79.8%) | $15.2 · 4 | $27.3 · 3 | $0 | Jul 28, 2026 5:52 PM | |
 Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison? NoCulture 4.00 shares | 78.0¢ / 99.8¢ | $0.87 (27.9%) | $3.12 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 22, 2026 8:22 PM | |
 Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025… YesCultureRedeemable 9.00 shares | 82.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $2.81 (15.5%) | $18.1 · 2 | $11.9 · 2 | $0 | May 8, 2026 5:19 PM | |
Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025? YesCultureRedeemable 48.00 shares | 81.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $8.98 (23.0%) | $39 · 3 | $0 | $0 | May 8, 2026 5:02 PM | |
 Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy boos… NoCultureRedeemable 4.00 shares | 80.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.8 (25.0%) | $3.2 · 1 | $0 | $0 | May 1, 2026 7:28 AM | |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31? NoPoliticsRedeemable 29.70 shares | 87.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $3.2 (3.4%) | $94.6 · 5 | $68.1 · 4 | $0 | Apr 1, 2026 12:49 PM | |
 Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026? NoCryptoRedeemable 1.00 shares | 69.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.31 (1.6%) | $19.3 · 1 | $18.6 · 1 | $0 | Apr 1, 2026 8:25 AM | |
 Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in January… NoWeatherRedeemable 4.00 shares | 81.1¢ / 100.0¢ | -$0.21 (-0.3%) | $60 · 3 | $55.8 · 6 | $0 | Feb 11, 2026 7:35 PM | |
 Will January 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record? YesWeatherRedeemable 5.00 shares | 88.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.91 (0.9%) | $97.8 · 8 | $93.7 · 8 | $0 | Feb 11, 2026 7:15 PM | |
 Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026? YesWeatherRedeemable 2.00 shares | 76.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.48 (3.0%) | $16 · 3 | $14.4 · 2 | $0 | Feb 9, 2026 7:50 PM | |
 Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28? YesPoliticsRedeemable 4.00 shares | 61.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $3 (22.4%) | $13.4 · 2 | $12.4 · 1 | $0 | Feb 6, 2026 12:57 AM | |
 Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28? YesPoliticsRedeemable 34.00 shares | 35.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $21.9 (180.8%) | $12.1 · 3 | $0 | $0 | Feb 4, 2026 7:53 PM | |
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31? YesPoliticsRedeemable 14.00 shares | 64.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $5.04 (56.3%) | $8.96 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Feb 4, 2026 7:53 PM | |
 Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark? NoTechRedeemable 4.00 shares | 87.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.52 (2.4%) | $21.8 · 1 | $18.3 · 1 | $0 | Feb 1, 2026 7:55 AM | |
 Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 16 be greater than 2… YesPoliticsRedeemable 2.00 shares | 36.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.28 (177.8%) | $0.72 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jan 20, 2026 8:53 PM | |
 Will André Ventura win the first round by at least 4%? NoPoliticsRedeemable 1.00 shares | 85.3¢ / 100.0¢ | -$0.64 (-1.0%) | $63.1 · 4 | $61.5 · 5 | $0 | Jan 19, 2026 3:55 PM | |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 19, 2026? YesPoliticsRedeemable 6.00 shares | 45.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $3.3 (122.2%) | $2.7 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jan 19, 2026 12:08 PM | |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? YesPoliticsRedeemable 75.00 shares | 90.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $7 (5.7%) | $122 · 3 | $54.1 · 1 | $0 | Nov 5, 2025 5:45 AM |
1–18
