TDMA Polymarket Trader

How We Built Realtime Precomputed PnL for PolymarketRead the post

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Volume

Fees

Trades

Avg trade size

					Merge
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meet… NoPoliticsRedeemable 39.00 shares	99.7¢ / 100.0¢	$0.11 (0.3%)	$38.9 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 29, 2026 8:01 PM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025? WonNoMentions	97.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.16 (3.1%)	$37.6 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 10, 2026 3:41 PM
Will Elon tweet 150–174 times June 6–13? WonNoMentions	98.4¢ / 100.0¢	$0.6 (1.6%)	$36.6 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 26, 2025 12:26 PM
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March? WonNoCrypto	99.2¢ / 100.0¢	$0.32 (0.8%)	$39.1 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 15, 2026 1:45 PM
Will Ethereum reach $8000 in October? WonNoCrypto	99.7¢ / 100.0¢	$0.11 (0.3%)	$37.5 · 1	$0	$0	Nov 5, 2025 9:52 AM
Will Elon tweet less than 100 times May 23–30? WonNoMentions	99.7¢ / 100.0¢	$0.11 (0.3%)	$36.4 · 1	$0	$0	May 28, 2025 4:46 PM
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May? WonNoCrypto	99.8¢ / 100.0¢	$0.07 (0.2%)	$39.3 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 25, 2026 2:23 PM
Will Ethereum reach $3000 in May? WonNoCrypto	99.8¢ / 100.0¢	$0.07 (0.2%)	$36.5 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 4, 2025 1:42 PM
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April? WonNoCrypto	99.8¢ / 100.0¢	$0.07 (0.2%)	$39.3 · 1	$0	$0	May 18, 2026 2:54 PM
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March? WonNoCrypto	99.8¢ / 100.0¢	$0.04 (0.1%)	$38.9 · 1	$39 · 1	$0	Apr 1, 2026 7:37 AM
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 in January? WonNoCrypto	99.9¢ / 100.0¢	$0.04 (0.1%)	$38.8 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 13, 2026 8:46 AM
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? WonNoPolitics	99.2¢ / 99.5¢	$0.04 (0.1%)	$37.7 · 1	$37.7 · 1	$0	Jul 30, 2026 11:30 AM
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025? WonNoMentions	99.9¢ / 100.0¢	$0.04 (0.1%)	$37.6 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 4, 2025 8:29 AM
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $126,000 and $128,000 on October 15… WonNoCrypto	99.9¢ / 100.0¢	$0.04 (0.1%)	$37.4 · 1	$0	$0	Oct 19, 2025 3:44 PM
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,800 on October 13? WonNoCrypto	99.9¢ / 100.0¢	$0.04 (0.1%)	$37.4 · 1	$0	$0	Oct 14, 2025 4:27 PM
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025? WonNoMentions	99.9¢ / 100.0¢	$0.04 (0.1%)	$37.4 · 1	$0	$0	Oct 13, 2025 1:47 PM
Will Alexander Albon be the 2025 Drivers Champion? WonNoSports	99.9¢ / 100.0¢	$0.04 (0.1%)	$37.3 · 1	$0	$0	Oct 3, 2025 12:50 PM
Will Elon tweet 120–134 times July 18–25? WonNoMentions	99.9¢ / 100.0¢	$0.04 (0.1%)	$37.3 · 1	$0	$0	Aug 4, 2025 1:23 PM
Will Elon tweet 375–399 times August 15–August 22? WonNoMentions	99.9¢ / 100.0¢	$0.04 (0.1%)	$37.3 · 1	$0	$0	Sep 3, 2025 2:57 PM
Will Elon tweet 255–269 times June 27–July 4? WonNoMentions	99.9¢ / 100.0¢	$0.04 (0.1%)	$37.3 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 22, 2025 1:58 PM
Will Elon tweet 280–294 times June 20–27? WonNoMentions	99.9¢ / 100.0¢	$0.04 (0.1%)	$37.2 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 4, 2025 12:32 AM
Will Elon tweet 185–199 times May 30–June 6? WonNoMentions	99.9¢ / 100.0¢	$0.04 (0.1%)	$36.6 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 12, 2025 5:06 PM
Will Elon tweet 275–299 times May 23–30? WonNoMentions	99.9¢ / 100.0¢	$0.04 (0.1%)	$36.5 · 1	$0	$0	May 31, 2025 6:53 AM
Will Elon tweet 350 or more times May 9–16? WonNoCulture	99.9¢ / 100.0¢	$0.04 (0.1%)	$36.3 · 1	$0	$0	May 21, 2025 2:29 PM
Will Elon tweet less than 100 times May 2–9? WonNoMentions	99.9¢ / 100.0¢	$0.04 (0.1%)	$36.2 · 1	$0	$0	May 4, 2025 11:57 PM
Will Elon tweet less than 300 times March 21-28? WonNoMentions	99.9¢ / 100.0¢	$0.03 (0.1%)	$30.2 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 26, 2025 12:28 PM

					Merge
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meet… NoPoliticsRedeemable 39.00 shares	99.7¢ / 100.0¢	$0.11 (0.3%)	$38.9 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 29, 2026 8:01 PM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025? WonNoMentions	97.0¢ / 100.0¢	$1.16 (3.1%)	$37.6 · 1	$0	$0	Jan 10, 2026 3:41 PM
Will Elon tweet 150–174 times June 6–13? WonNoMentions	98.4¢ / 100.0¢	$0.6 (1.6%)	$36.6 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 26, 2025 12:26 PM
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March? WonNoCrypto	99.2¢ / 100.0¢	$0.32 (0.8%)	$39.1 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 15, 2026 1:45 PM
Will Ethereum reach $8000 in October? WonNoCrypto	99.7¢ / 100.0¢	$0.11 (0.3%)	$37.5 · 1	$0	$0	Nov 5, 2025 9:52 AM
Will Elon tweet less than 100 times May 23–30? WonNoMentions	99.7¢ / 100.0¢	$0.11 (0.3%)	$36.4 · 1	$0	$0	May 28, 2025 4:46 PM
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May? WonNoCrypto	99.8¢ / 100.0¢	$0.07 (0.2%)	$39.3 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 25, 2026 2:23 PM
Will Ethereum reach $3000 in May? WonNoCrypto	99.8¢ / 100.0¢	$0.07 (0.2%)	$36.5 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 4, 2025 1:42 PM
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April? WonNoCrypto	99.8¢ / 100.0¢	$0.07 (0.2%)	$39.3 · 1	$0	$0	May 18, 2026 2:54 PM
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March? WonNoCrypto	99.8¢ / 100.0¢	$0.04 (0.1%)	$38.9 · 1	$39 · 1	$0	Apr 1, 2026 7:37 AM
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 in January? WonNoCrypto	99.9¢ / 100.0¢	$0.04 (0.1%)	$38.8 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 13, 2026 8:46 AM
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? WonNoPolitics	99.2¢ / 99.5¢	$0.04 (0.1%)	$37.7 · 1	$37.7 · 1	$0	Jul 30, 2026 11:30 AM
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025? WonNoMentions	99.9¢ / 100.0¢	$0.04 (0.1%)	$37.6 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 4, 2025 8:29 AM
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $126,000 and $128,000 on October 15… WonNoCrypto	99.9¢ / 100.0¢	$0.04 (0.1%)	$37.4 · 1	$0	$0	Oct 19, 2025 3:44 PM
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,800 on October 13? WonNoCrypto	99.9¢ / 100.0¢	$0.04 (0.1%)	$37.4 · 1	$0	$0	Oct 14, 2025 4:27 PM
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025? WonNoMentions	99.9¢ / 100.0¢	$0.04 (0.1%)	$37.4 · 1	$0	$0	Oct 13, 2025 1:47 PM
Will Alexander Albon be the 2025 Drivers Champion? WonNoSports	99.9¢ / 100.0¢	$0.04 (0.1%)	$37.3 · 1	$0	$0	Oct 3, 2025 12:50 PM
Will Elon tweet 120–134 times July 18–25? WonNoMentions	99.9¢ / 100.0¢	$0.04 (0.1%)	$37.3 · 1	$0	$0	Aug 4, 2025 1:23 PM
Will Elon tweet 375–399 times August 15–August 22? WonNoMentions	99.9¢ / 100.0¢	$0.04 (0.1%)	$37.3 · 1	$0	$0	Sep 3, 2025 2:57 PM
Will Elon tweet 255–269 times June 27–July 4? WonNoMentions	99.9¢ / 100.0¢	$0.04 (0.1%)	$37.3 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 22, 2025 1:58 PM
Will Elon tweet 280–294 times June 20–27? WonNoMentions	99.9¢ / 100.0¢	$0.04 (0.1%)	$37.2 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 4, 2025 12:32 AM
Will Elon tweet 185–199 times May 30–June 6? WonNoMentions	99.9¢ / 100.0¢	$0.04 (0.1%)	$36.6 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 12, 2025 5:06 PM
Will Elon tweet 275–299 times May 23–30? WonNoMentions	99.9¢ / 100.0¢	$0.04 (0.1%)	$36.5 · 1	$0	$0	May 31, 2025 6:53 AM
Will Elon tweet 350 or more times May 9–16? WonNoCulture	99.9¢ / 100.0¢	$0.04 (0.1%)	$36.3 · 1	$0	$0	May 21, 2025 2:29 PM
Will Elon tweet less than 100 times May 2–9? WonNoMentions	99.9¢ / 100.0¢	$0.04 (0.1%)	$36.2 · 1	$0	$0	May 4, 2025 11:57 PM
Will Elon tweet less than 300 times March 21-28? WonNoMentions	99.9¢ / 100.0¢	$0.03 (0.1%)	$30.2 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 26, 2025 12:28 PM

TDMA Polymarket Trader

PnL Calendar

July 2026

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

1$0.04

Jul 1, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.04

Open$2.39

High$2.43

Low$2.34

Close$2.43

Open positions1

USD balance$0

2$0.08

Jul 2, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.08

Open$2.43

High$2.5

Low$2.38

Close$2.5

Open positions1

USD balance$0

3-$0.04

Jul 3, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.04

Open$2.5

High$2.5

Low$2.46

Close$2.46

Open positions1

USD balance$0

4$0

Jul 4, 2026

Daily PnL

Open$2.46

High$2.5

Low$2.46

Close$2.46

Open positions1

USD balance$0

5$0.04

Jul 5, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.04

Open$2.46

High$2.5

Low$2.46

Close$2.5

Open positions1

USD balance$0

6-$0.08

Jul 6, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.08

Open$2.5

High$2.5

Low$2.43

Close$2.43

Open positions1

USD balance$0

7-$0.05

Jul 7, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.05

Open$2.43

High$2.43

Low$2.38

Close$2.38

Open positions1

USD balance$0

8$0.05

Jul 8, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.05

Open$2.38

High$2.43

Low$2.17

Close$2.43

Open positions1

USD balance$0

9-$0.01

Jul 9, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.01

Open$2.43

High$2.46

Low$1.99

Close$2.42

Open positions1

USD balance$0

10-$0.04

Jul 10, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.04

Open$2.42

High$2.46

Low$2.38

Close$2.38

Open positions1

USD balance$0

11-$0.04

Jul 11, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.04

Open$2.38

High$2.43

Low$2.34

Close$2.34

Open positions1

USD balance$0

12$0.01

Jul 12, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.01

Open$2.34

High$2.39

Low$2.3

Close$2.35

Open positions1

USD balance$0

13-$0.04

Jul 13, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.04

Open$2.35

High$2.35

Low$2.17

Close$2.31

Open positions1

USD balance$0

14$0.08

Jul 14, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.08

Open$2.31

High$2.46

Low$2.13

Close$2.39

Open positions1

USD balance$0

15$0.04

Jul 15, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.04

Open$2.39

High$2.46

Low$2.03

Close$2.43

Open positions1

USD balance$0

16$0.04

Jul 16, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.04

Open$2.43

High$2.46

Low$2.05

Close$2.46

Open positions1

USD balance$0

17-$0.08

Jul 17, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.08

Open$2.46

High$2.46

Low$2.34

Close$2.39

Open positions1

USD balance$0

18$0.04

Jul 18, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.04

Open$2.39

High$2.43

Low$2.34

Close$2.43

Open positions1

USD balance$0

19-$0.08

Jul 19, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.08

Open$2.43

High$2.43

Low$2.34

Close$2.35

Open positions1

USD balance$0

20$0.04

Jul 20, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.04

Open$2.35

High$2.43

Low$2.34

Close$2.39

Open positions1

USD balance$0

21-$0.04

Jul 21, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.04

Open$2.39

High$2.43

Low$2.3

Close$2.35

Open positions1

USD balance$0

22-$0.12

Jul 22, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.12

Open$2.35

High$2.35

Low$2.14

Close$2.23

Open positions1

USD balance$0

23$0.04

Jul 23, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.04

Open$2.23

High$2.31

Low$1.83

Close$2.27

Open positions1

USD balance$0

24$0

Jul 24, 2026

Daily PnL

Open$2.27

High$2.35

Low$2.22

Close$2.27

Open positions1

USD balance$0

26$0.04

Jul 26, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.04

Open$2.27

High$2.35

Low$2.22

Close$2.31

Open positions1

USD balance$0

28$0.12

Jul 28, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.12

Open$2.31

High$2.46

Low$2.03

Close$2.43

Open positions1

USD balance$0

29$0.12

Jul 29, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.12

Open$2.43

High$2.54

Low$1.99

Close$2.54

Open positions1

USD balance$0

Performance Summary

PnL Change

1D $0.087D $0.2330D $0.16

Markets

Won

Lost

Win Rate

75.7%

Profit Factor

2.79x

Avg Win

$0.07

Avg Loss

-$0.08

Total Wins

$3.62

Total Losses

-$1.3

Avg. Hold Time

24d 12h 21m 1s

Best Win

$1.16

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?

Worst Loss

—

Period

Best Period

$1.16, Nov 7 – Dec 4

Worst Period

-$0.23, Jul 16 – Jul 22

Longest Streak

14d W / 4d L

Current Streak

5d W

Max Drawdown

-$0.27 (-10.9%)

Current DD

$0 (0.0%)

Max Runup

$3.77 (307.7%)

Rebates

Rewards

Yield

$0.13(33)

TDMA

Analytics

Analytics

TDMA

TDMA

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Volume

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

TDMA

Trader DNA

Trader DNA