| PnL | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? No 14.00 net shares | 87.9¢ / 90.0¢ | $0.15 (2.4%) | May 21, 2026 1:20 PM | |
 Japan Yes 6.00 net shares | 17.6¢ / 13.0¢ | -$0.27 (-26.0%) | May 21, 2026 1:19 PM | |
 Italy No 38.00 net shares | 85.5¢ / 82.0¢ | -$0.67 (-4.1%) | May 21, 2026 1:17 PM | |
Italy Yes 20.00 net shares | 16.5¢ / 17.4¢ | $0.09 (5.3%) | May 21, 2026 1:17 PM | |
 China coup attempt before 2027? Yes 60.00 net shares | 5.4¢ / 2.4¢ | -$0.6 (-55.6%) | Apr 27, 2026 3:40 PM | |
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? Yes 16.00 net shares | 16.1¢ / 11.0¢ | -$0.41 (-31.7%) | Apr 27, 2026 3:39 PM | |
 Somaliland No 27.00 net shares | 57.5¢ / 66.0¢ | $1.86 (14.7%) | Apr 25, 2026 1:14 PM | |
 United States No -63.00 net shares | — / 92.0¢ | $57.1 | Apr 13, 2026 11:51 AM | |
United States Yes -29.00 net shares | — / 8.0¢ | $2.71 | Apr 13, 2026 11:51 AM | |
 4 (100 bps) No 18.00 net shares | 93.7¢ / 99.3¢ | $0.5 (5.9%) | Mar 26, 2026 8:47 AM | |
 Ed Miliband Yes 58.00 net shares | 10.5¢ / 2.4¢ | -$2.35 (-77.1%) | Mar 26, 2026 8:46 AM | |
 20B–30B No | — / 92.1¢ | $0 | — | |
20B–30B Yes | — / 7.8¢ | $0 | — |
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