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| Merge | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? YesPolitics 0.35 shares | 4.9¢ / 3.0¢ | -$0.25 (-4.8%) | $5.3 · 3 | $5.04 · 3 | $0 | Jul 11, 2026 11:28 AM | |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? NoPoliticsRedeemable 3.00 shares | 98.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.05 (0.2%) | $25.6 · 1 | $22.6 · 1 | $0 | Jun 1, 2026 6:13 AM |
| Market | Entry / Current | PnL | Buys | Sells | Merge | Last Active | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? WonNoPolitics | 60.6¢ / 0.0¢ | $2.05 (2.7%) | $76.4 · 3 | $78.5 · 5 | $0 | Jun 15, 2026 4:50 AM | |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 41.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.78 (4.9%) | $16 · 1 | $16.8 · 2 | $0 | Jun 18, 2026 12:34 AM | |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 31? WonNoPolitics | 70.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.56 (1.6%) | $35.3 · 2 | $35.8 · 3 | $0 | Jun 1, 2026 12:45 PM | |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 76.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.43 (1.3%) | $32.7 · 1 | $33.1 · 1 | $0 | Jun 18, 2026 12:39 AM | |
91.9¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.28 (0.2%) | $155 · 6 | $156 · 8 | $0 | May 6, 2026 12:43 AM | ||
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? WonNoSports | 82.2¢ / 0.0¢ | $0.16 (0.5%) | $32.9 · 1 | $33 · 2 | $0 | Jul 20, 2026 1:19 AM | |
17.4¢ / 0.0¢ | $0.16 (2.3%) | $6.79 · 1 | $6.94 · 1 | $0 | Jul 1, 2026 8:14 AM | ||
89.3¢ / 91.0¢ | $0.15 (0.8%) | $17.9 · 2 | $18 · 2 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 7:17 PM | ||
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? WonNoPolitics | 93.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.14 (1.2%) | $12.1 · 1 | $12.3 · 2 | $0 | Jun 1, 2026 10:55 AM | |
97.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.13 (0.1%) | $106 · 4 | $106 · 6 | $0 | Jul 1, 2026 6:45 AM | ||
16.2¢ / 0.0¢ | $0.12 (1.9%) | $6.32 · 1 | $6.43 · 1 | $0 | Jun 14, 2026 6:39 AM | ||
8.3¢ / 12.7¢ | $0.07 (0.8%) | $9 · 3 | $9.07 · 4 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 1:21 AM | ||
95.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.07 (0.2%) | $33.4 · 1 | $33.5 · 2 | $0 | Jun 4, 2026 6:43 AM | ||
97.0¢ / 97.5¢ | $0.07 (0.2%) | $33 · 1 | $33 · 2 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 9:25 PM | ||
97.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.06 (0.2%) | $30.2 · 2 | $30.3 · 1 | $0 | Jun 1, 2026 6:07 AM | ||
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 93.5¢ / 95.1¢ | $0.06 (0.4%) | $13.1 · 1 | $13.1 · 1 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 10:19 PM | |
96.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.04 (0.1%) | $36.6 · 1 | $36.7 · 1 | $0 | May 17, 2026 3:21 AM | ||
98.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.04 (0.1%) | $36.3 · 1 | $36.3 · 1 | $0 | Apr 16, 2026 8:27 AM | ||
 Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30? WonNoPolitics | 96.9¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.03 (0.1%) | $32.9 · 1 | $33 · 1 | $0 | Jul 1, 2026 6:50 AM | |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? WonNoPolitics | 96.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.03 (0.1%) | $30.9 · 1 | $30.9 · 1 | $0 | Jun 1, 2026 7:13 AM | |
 Netanyahu out by May 31? WonNoPolitics | 98.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.03 (0.1%) | $30.5 · 1 | $30.5 · 1 | $0 | Jun 1, 2026 6:36 AM | |
96.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.03 (0.2%) | $14.5 · 1 | $14.5 · 1 | $0 | Jul 1, 2026 6:15 AM | ||
95.6¢ / 96.0¢ | $0.03 (0.1%) | $26.8 · 2 | $26.8 · 3 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 1:06 AM | ||
 Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? WonYesPolitics | 1.6¢ / 0.0¢ | $0.01 (0.5%) | $2.59 · 2 | $2.6 · 4 | $0 | May 14, 2026 1:25 AM | |
98.2¢ / 98.6¢ | $0 (0.0%) | $99.2 · 4 | $99.2 · 5 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 1:12 AM |
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Jul 1, 2026
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Jul 26, 2026
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Jul 27, 2026
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Jul 28, 2026
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Jul 29, 2026
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Performance Summary
PnL Change
Markets
79
Won
23
Lost
28
Win Rate
45.1%
Profit Factor
0.14x
Avg Win
$0.23
Avg Loss
-$1.36
Total Wins
$5.22
Total Losses
-$38.1
Avg. Hold Time
Period
Best Period
Worst Period
Longest Streak
Current Streak
Max Drawdown
Current DD
Max Runup
Rebates
Rewards
Yield
