DeCauchy Polymarket Trader

Struct Trades WS is 2.6s faster than Polymarket's RTDS feedRead the benchmark

Explorer

Loading open positions...

Volume

Fees

Trades

Avg trade size

					Merge
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? YesCrypto 356.39 shares	74.0¢ / 52.3¢	-$77.5 (-29.4%)	$264 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 29, 2026 2:15 PM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 1? WonNoCrypto	37.3¢ / 100.0¢	$81.9 (61.6%)	$133 · 1	$215 · 1	$0	Feb 1, 2026 8:00 PM
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February? WonYesCrypto	62.0¢ / 100.0¢	$24.5 (61.1%)	$40 · 1	$64.4 · 1	$0	Feb 5, 2026 10:24 PM
Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31? WonNoCrypto	38.6¢ / 0.0¢	$22.5 (45.1%)	$50 · 1	$72.5 · 1	$0	Dec 17, 2025 10:04 AM
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February? WonYesCrypto	32.0¢ / 100.0¢	$21.9 (109.4%)	$20 · 1	$41.9 · 1	$0	Feb 6, 2026 4:11 AM
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February? WonYesCrypto	92.9¢ / 100.0¢	$15.2 (7.5%)	$202 · 1	$217 · 1	$0	Feb 5, 2026 1:34 PM
Will the highest temperature in London be between 46-47°F on December 4? WonYesWeather	40.7¢ / 100.0¢	$14.4 (144.0%)	$10 · 1	$24.4 · 1	$0	Dec 5, 2025 3:33 AM
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more? WonNoPolitics	91.0¢ / 100.0¢	$11.3 (5.7%)	$198 · 1	$209 · 1	$0	Feb 4, 2026 12:16 AM
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 31? WonYesCrypto	94.9¢ / 100.0¢	$6.6 (5.1%)	$129 · 1	$136 · 1	$0	Jan 31, 2026 7:03 PM
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 4? WonYesCrypto	77.1¢ / 100.0¢	$6.51 (23.2%)	$28 · 2	$34.5 · 1	$0	Dec 4, 2025 7:22 PM
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 1? WonYesWeather	45.3¢ / 100.0¢	$6.03 (120.6%)	$5 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 2, 2026 8:30 AM
Commanders vs. Dolphins WonDolphinsSports	48.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.82 (58.5%)	$1.41 · 1	$2.23 · 1	$0	Nov 16, 2025 8:09 PM
Will Amazon acquire Warner Bros. Discovery? WonNoFinance	99.9¢ / 100.0¢	$0.22 (0.1%)	$218 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 5, 2025 4:42 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 16? WonUpCrypto	31.0¢ / 0.0¢	$0.13 (12.7%)	$1 · 1	$1.13 · 1	$0	Nov 16, 2025 7:25 PM
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on December 3? WonDownFinance	99.9¢ / 100.0¢	$0 (0.0%)	$274 · 1	$274 · 1	$0	Dec 4, 2025 12:30 AM
Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? LostNoCulture	3.9¢ / 0.0¢	-$1 (-100.0%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 11, 2025 4:21 PM
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 4, 2026? LostYesPolitics	2.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$1 (-100.0%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 7, 2026 12:22 AM
US government shutdown Saturday? LostNoPolitics	0.4¢ / 0.0¢	-$1 (-100.0%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 4, 2026 12:36 AM
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 3, 2026? LostYesPolitics	1.1¢ / 0.0¢	-$1 (-100.0%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 6, 2026 12:52 AM
Will Elon Musk be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist? LostYesPolitics	2.5¢ / 0.0¢	-$1 (-100.0%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 19, 2025 5:21 PM
Will Sam Altman be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist? LostYesPolitics	4.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$1 (-100.0%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 19, 2025 5:22 PM
Will María Corina Machado be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortli… LostYesPolitics	2.7¢ / 0.0¢	-$1 (-100.0%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 19, 2025 5:23 PM
Will Jensen Huang be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist? LostYesPolitics	3.7¢ / 0.0¢	-$1 (-100.0%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 19, 2025 5:19 PM
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30? LostNoTech	0.1¢ / 0.0¢	-$1 (-100.0%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 2, 2026 12:59 AM
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on February 1? LostYesWeather	0.8¢ / 0.0¢	-$1 (-100.0%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 1, 2026 2:33 PM
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? LostYesCulture	1.4¢ / 0.0¢	-$1.45 (-29.1%)	$5 · 2	$3.55 · 1	$0	Mar 1, 2026 7:39 AM

					Merge
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? YesCrypto 356.39 shares	74.0¢ / 52.3¢	-$77.5 (-29.4%)	$264 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 29, 2026 2:15 PM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 1? WonNoCrypto	37.3¢ / 100.0¢	$81.9 (61.6%)	$133 · 1	$215 · 1	$0	Feb 1, 2026 8:00 PM
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February? WonYesCrypto	62.0¢ / 100.0¢	$24.5 (61.1%)	$40 · 1	$64.4 · 1	$0	Feb 5, 2026 10:24 PM
Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31? WonNoCrypto	38.6¢ / 0.0¢	$22.5 (45.1%)	$50 · 1	$72.5 · 1	$0	Dec 17, 2025 10:04 AM
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February? WonYesCrypto	32.0¢ / 100.0¢	$21.9 (109.4%)	$20 · 1	$41.9 · 1	$0	Feb 6, 2026 4:11 AM
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February? WonYesCrypto	92.9¢ / 100.0¢	$15.2 (7.5%)	$202 · 1	$217 · 1	$0	Feb 5, 2026 1:34 PM
Will the highest temperature in London be between 46-47°F on December 4? WonYesWeather	40.7¢ / 100.0¢	$14.4 (144.0%)	$10 · 1	$24.4 · 1	$0	Dec 5, 2025 3:33 AM
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more? WonNoPolitics	91.0¢ / 100.0¢	$11.3 (5.7%)	$198 · 1	$209 · 1	$0	Feb 4, 2026 12:16 AM
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 31? WonYesCrypto	94.9¢ / 100.0¢	$6.6 (5.1%)	$129 · 1	$136 · 1	$0	Jan 31, 2026 7:03 PM
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 4? WonYesCrypto	77.1¢ / 100.0¢	$6.51 (23.2%)	$28 · 2	$34.5 · 1	$0	Dec 4, 2025 7:22 PM
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 1? WonYesWeather	45.3¢ / 100.0¢	$6.03 (120.6%)	$5 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 2, 2026 8:30 AM
Commanders vs. Dolphins WonDolphinsSports	48.0¢ / 100.0¢	$0.82 (58.5%)	$1.41 · 1	$2.23 · 1	$0	Nov 16, 2025 8:09 PM
Will Amazon acquire Warner Bros. Discovery? WonNoFinance	99.9¢ / 100.0¢	$0.22 (0.1%)	$218 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 5, 2025 4:42 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 16? WonUpCrypto	31.0¢ / 0.0¢	$0.13 (12.7%)	$1 · 1	$1.13 · 1	$0	Nov 16, 2025 7:25 PM
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on December 3? WonDownFinance	99.9¢ / 100.0¢	$0 (0.0%)	$274 · 1	$274 · 1	$0	Dec 4, 2025 12:30 AM
Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? LostNoCulture	3.9¢ / 0.0¢	-$1 (-100.0%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 11, 2025 4:21 PM
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 4, 2026? LostYesPolitics	2.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$1 (-100.0%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 7, 2026 12:22 AM
US government shutdown Saturday? LostNoPolitics	0.4¢ / 0.0¢	-$1 (-100.0%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 4, 2026 12:36 AM
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 3, 2026? LostYesPolitics	1.1¢ / 0.0¢	-$1 (-100.0%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 6, 2026 12:52 AM
Will Elon Musk be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist? LostYesPolitics	2.5¢ / 0.0¢	-$1 (-100.0%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 19, 2025 5:21 PM
Will Sam Altman be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist? LostYesPolitics	4.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$1 (-100.0%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 19, 2025 5:22 PM
Will María Corina Machado be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortli… LostYesPolitics	2.7¢ / 0.0¢	-$1 (-100.0%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 19, 2025 5:23 PM
Will Jensen Huang be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist? LostYesPolitics	3.7¢ / 0.0¢	-$1 (-100.0%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 19, 2025 5:19 PM
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30? LostNoTech	0.1¢ / 0.0¢	-$1 (-100.0%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 2, 2026 12:59 AM
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on February 1? LostYesWeather	0.8¢ / 0.0¢	-$1 (-100.0%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 1, 2026 2:33 PM
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? LostYesCulture	1.4¢ / 0.0¢	-$1.45 (-29.1%)	$5 · 2	$3.55 · 1	$0	Mar 1, 2026 7:39 AM

DeCauchy Polymarket Trader

PnL Calendar

July 2026

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

1-$35.6

Jul 1, 2026

Daily PnL

-$35.6

Open$23.7

High$23.7

Low-$11.9

Close-$11.9

Open positions1

USD balance$0

2-$4.8

Jul 2, 2026

Daily PnL

-$4.8

Open-$11.9

High$2.34

Low-$35.1

Close-$16.7

Open positions1

USD balance$0

3-$5.89

Jul 3, 2026

Daily PnL

-$5.89

Open-$16.7

High-$2

Low-$26.2

Close-$22.6

Open positions1

USD balance$0

4-$7.13

Jul 4, 2026

Daily PnL

-$7.13

Open-$22.6

High-$15.5

Low-$38.7

Close-$29.7

Open positions1

USD balance$0

5$3.56

Jul 5, 2026

Daily PnL

$3.56

Open-$29.7

High-$19

Low-$35.1

Close-$26.2

Open positions1

USD balance$0

6-$10.7

Jul 6, 2026

Daily PnL

-$10.7

Open-$26.2

High-$15.5

Low-$39.9

Close-$36.9

Open positions1

USD balance$0

7$0

Jul 7, 2026

Daily PnL

Open-$36.9

High-$33.3

Low-$46

Close-$36.9

Open positions1

USD balance$0

8$17.8

Jul 8, 2026

Daily PnL

$17.8

Open-$36.9

High-$15.5

Low-$44.2

Close-$19

Open positions1

USD balance$0

9-$23.3

Jul 9, 2026

Daily PnL

-$23.3

Open-$19

High-$19

Low-$42.4

Close-$42.4

Open positions1

USD balance$0

10-$12.3

Jul 10, 2026

Daily PnL

-$12.3

Open-$42.4

High-$33.3

Low-$56.9

Close-$54.7

Open positions1

USD balance$0

11-$3.56

Jul 11, 2026

Daily PnL

-$3.56

Open-$54.7

High-$54.7

Low-$70

Close-$58.3

Open positions1

USD balance$0

12-$13.2

Jul 12, 2026

Daily PnL

-$13.2

Open-$58.3

High-$58.3

Low-$78.6

Close-$71.4

Open positions1

USD balance$0

13$13.2

Jul 13, 2026

Daily PnL

$13.2

Open-$71.4

High-$51.1

Low-$80.6

Close-$58.3

Open positions1

USD balance$0

14-$28.5

Jul 14, 2026

Daily PnL

-$28.5

Open-$58.3

High-$58.3

Low-$97.5

Close-$86.8

Open positions1

USD balance$0

15-$29.3

Jul 15, 2026

Daily PnL

-$29.3

Open-$86.8

High-$86.8

Low-$117

Close-$116

Open positions1

USD balance$0

16$15

Jul 16, 2026

Daily PnL

$15

Open-$116

High-$101

Low-$118

Close-$101

Open positions1

USD balance$0

17$10.7

Jul 17, 2026

Daily PnL

$10.7

Open-$101

High-$86.8

Low-$110

Close-$90.3

Open positions1

USD balance$0

18-$7.13

Jul 18, 2026

Daily PnL

-$7.13

Open-$90.3

High-$86.8

Low-$109

Close-$97.5

Open positions1

USD balance$0

19-$7.13

Jul 19, 2026

Daily PnL

-$7.13

Open-$97.5

High-$97.5

Low-$114

Close-$105

Open positions1

USD balance$0

20-$10.7

Jul 20, 2026

Daily PnL

-$10.7

Open-$105

High-$93.9

Low-$125

Close-$115

Open positions1

USD balance$0

21$0

Jul 21, 2026

Daily PnL

Open-$115

High-$112

Low-$129

Close-$115

Open positions1

USD balance$0

22-$7.13

Jul 22, 2026

Daily PnL

-$7.13

Open-$115

High-$115

Low-$129

Close-$122

Open positions1

USD balance$0

23$4.49

Jul 23, 2026

Daily PnL

$4.49

Open-$122

High-$108

Low-$132

Close-$118

Open positions1

USD balance$0

24$9.76

Jul 24, 2026

Daily PnL

$9.76

Open-$118

High-$108

Low-$118

Close-$108

Open positions1

USD balance$0

25$10.7

Jul 25, 2026

Daily PnL

$10.7

Open-$108

High-$93.9

Low-$115

Close-$97.5

Open positions1

USD balance$0

26-$17.8

Jul 26, 2026

Daily PnL

-$17.8

Open-$97.5

High-$97.5

Low-$121

Close-$115

Open positions1

USD balance$0

27$29.5

Jul 27, 2026

Daily PnL

$29.5

Open-$115

High-$76.1

Low-$118

Close-$85.8

Open positions1

USD balance$0

28-$8.08

Jul 28, 2026

Daily PnL

-$8.08

Open-$85.8

High-$68.9

Low-$105

Close-$93.9

Open positions1

USD balance$0

29$4.49

Jul 29, 2026

Daily PnL

$4.49

Open-$93.9

High-$76.1

Low-$98.4

Close-$89.4

Open positions1

USD balance$0

Performance Summary

PnL Change

1D $14.57D $39.130D -$113

Markets

Won

Lost

Win Rate

61.9%

Profit Factor

2.47x

Avg Win

$15.8

Avg Loss

-$10.4

Total Wins

$205

Total Losses

-$83.2

Avg. Hold Time

1d 22h 11m 47s

Best Win

$81.9

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 1?

Worst Loss

-$28

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 31?

Period

Best Period

$105, Dec 24 – Feb 5

Worst Period

-$73.7, Jul 9 – Jul 15

Longest Streak

6d W / 6d L

Current Streak

1d W

Max Drawdown

-$146 (-616.1%)

Current DD

-$113 (-476.9%)

Max Runup

$154 (118.2%)

Rebates

Rewards

Yield

$0.52(24)

DeCauchy

Analytics

DeCauchy

Analytics

DeCauchy

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Volume

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

DeCauchy

Trader DNA

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Trader DNA