| PnL | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 May 14 Yes 572.48 net shares | 42.3¢ / 29.0¢ | -$38 (-31.4%) | May 1, 2026 8:41 AM | |
 Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No 120.48 net shares | 81.5¢ / 82.9¢ | $0.88 (1.8%) | May 1, 2026 4:39 AM | |
 Alibaba Yes 238.71 net shares | 41.9¢ / 43.0¢ | $1.37 (2.7%) | May 1, 2026 4:38 AM | |
 December 31 No 198.00 net shares | 50.5¢ / 50.0¢ | -$0.51 (-1.0%) | May 1, 2026 4:37 AM | |
 Vladimir Putin No 174.11 net shares | 74.0¢ / 0.0¢ | -$0 (-100.0%) | Apr 29, 2026 5:29 PM | |
 Will Sam Altman testify against Musk? Yes 23.96 net shares | 83.5¢ / 87.4¢ | $0.47 (4.7%) | Apr 28, 2026 3:45 PM | |
 May 31 No 22.47 net shares | 89.0¢ / 89.0¢ | $0 (0.0%) | Apr 28, 2026 3:44 PM | |
 Benjamin Netanyahu No 33.90 net shares | 59.0¢ / 59.0¢ | $0 (0.0%) | Apr 28, 2026 3:40 PM | |
 June 30 No -116.35 net shares | 64.5¢ / 83.0¢ | $4.69 (28.7%) | Apr 28, 2026 2:47 PM | |
 No meeting by June 30 Yes 116.90 net shares | 83.6¢ / 83.9¢ | $0 (0.4%) | Apr 21, 2026 10:56 AM | |
Alibaba Yes 0.01 net shares | 73.8¢ / 0.0¢ | -$0.01 (-100.0%) | Apr 21, 2026 10:56 AM | |
 4.0–5.0% Yes 275.25 net shares | 72.8¢ / 77.7¢ | $0 (6.7%) | Apr 21, 2026 10:56 AM | |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? No 0.01 net shares | 74.0¢ / 68.0¢ | -$0 (-8.1%) | Apr 21, 2026 10:56 AM | |
 Nicolás Maduro No 0.01 net shares | 44.7¢ / 34.0¢ | -$0 (-24.0%) | Apr 21, 2026 10:55 AM | |
 Dong Jun No 0.00 net shares | 84.3¢ / 84.5¢ | $0 (0.2%) | Apr 17, 2026 2:58 PM | |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No 0.00 net shares | 78.7¢ / 86.0¢ | $0 (9.3%) | Apr 17, 2026 2:57 PM | |
May 15 Yes 0.00 net shares | 77.0¢ / 73.0¢ | -$0 (-5.2%) | Apr 17, 2026 2:57 PM | |
 Xi Jinping No -146.97 net shares | 68.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0 (47.1%) | Apr 14, 2026 4:28 AM | |
 June 30 No 0.00 net shares | 67.0¢ / 85.4¢ | $0 (27.6%) | Apr 5, 2026 9:39 AM | |
 May 31 Yes 0.01 net shares | 75.3¢ / 80.0¢ | $0 (6.3%) | Apr 5, 2026 9:39 AM | |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No 0.00 net shares | 85.7¢ / 89.0¢ | $0 (3.9%) | Apr 5, 2026 9:39 AM | |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No 333.84 net shares | 89.9¢ / 94.1¢ | $0 (4.7%) | Mar 31, 2026 2:53 PM | |
 December 31, 2026 No 246.91 net shares | 81.0¢ / 89.0¢ | $0 (9.9%) | Mar 31, 2026 2:51 PM | |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? No 0.01 net shares | 94.7¢ / 97.3¢ | $0 (2.7%) | Mar 30, 2026 1:29 PM | |
 Canada No 0.00 net shares | 92.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $0 (8.1%) | Mar 30, 2026 1:28 PM |
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