How We Built Realtime Precomputed PnL for PolymarketRead the post

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Volume

Fees

Trades

Avg trade size

Carlopol Polymarket Trader

Carlopol

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Active Since

Nov 4, 2025

Last Active

Jul 30, 2026

Positions Value

$91.3

Volume

$963

Fees Paid

Buys

Sells

Redeems

Merges

Splits

Converts

					Merge
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? NoPolitics 89.95 shares	51.5¢ / 48.8¢	-$3.35 (-2.4%)	$139 · 3	$91.8 · 1	$0	Jul 30, 2026 8:50 PM
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elect… YesPolitics 337.39 shares	19.4¢ / 14.0¢	-$18.4 (-28.0%)	$65.6 · 2	$0	$0	Jul 30, 2026 2:55 PM
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record? YesCulture 185.00 shares	0.5¢ / 0.1¢	-$0.82 (-81.5%)	$1 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 27, 2026 3:39 AM

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Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? WonNoPolitics	76.0¢ / 100.0¢	$31.6 (31.6%)	$100 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 4, 2026 9:04 AM
Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2025 Hero World Challenge? WonYesSports	7.5¢ / 100.0¢	$27.7 (1233.3%)	$2.25 · 2	$0	$0	Jan 5, 2026 8:34 AM
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? WonYesPolitics	54.0¢ / 100.0¢	$13.8 (85.2%)	$16.2 · 1	$0	$0	Mar 19, 2026 9:43 AM
Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%? WonYesPolitics	64.0¢ / 100.0¢	$11.3 (56.3%)	$20 · 1	$0	$0	Dec 3, 2025 3:42 PM
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30? WonNoPolitics	55.0¢ / 100.0¢	$4.09 (81.8%)	$5 · 1	$0	$0	Jul 1, 2026 6:06 AM
Will there be exactly 0 major space weather events this week? WonYesWeather	37.0¢ / 100.0¢	$3.15 (170.3%)	$1.85 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 4, 2026 9:04 AM

Analytics

Volume

+95.3%

Fees

—

Trades

+181.8%

Avg trade size

-30.7%

Volume

Fees

Trades

Avg trade size

PnL Calendar

July 2026

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

1-$2.93

Jul 1, 2026

Daily PnL

-$2.93

Open-$9.72

High-$4.38

Low-$12.7

Close-$12.7

Open positions3

USD balance$0

2-$3.3

Jul 2, 2026

Daily PnL

-$3.3

Open-$12.7

High-$5.35

Low-$16

Close-$16

Open positions3

USD balance$0

3$7.23

Jul 3, 2026

Daily PnL

$7.23

Open-$16

High-$8.72

Low-$16.2

Close-$8.72

Open positions3

USD balance$0

4-$7.21

Jul 4, 2026

Daily PnL

-$7.21

Open-$8.72

High-$8.54

Low-$18.1

Close-$15.9

Open positions3

USD balance$0

5$1.63

Jul 5, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.63

Open-$15.9

High-$8.54

Low-$16

Close-$14.3

Open positions3

USD balance$0

6$3.36

Jul 6, 2026

Daily PnL

$3.36

Open-$14.3

High-$8.91

Low-$19.4

Close-$10.9

Open positions3

USD balance$0

7$0

Jul 7, 2026

Daily PnL

Open-$10.9

High-$8.91

Low-$19.9

Close-$10.9

Open positions3

USD balance$0

8$0.49

Jul 8, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.49

Open-$10.9

High-$8.43

Low-$19.1

Close-$10.5

Open positions3

USD balance$0

9-$3.69

Jul 9, 2026

Daily PnL

-$3.69

Open-$10.5

High-$8.43

Low-$19.4

Close-$14.1

Open positions3

USD balance$0

10$4.14

Jul 10, 2026

Daily PnL

$4.14

Open-$14.1

High-$7.98

Low-$17.5

Close-$10

Open positions3

USD balance$0

11$1.26

Jul 11, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.26

Open-$10

High-$8.74

Low-$19.2

Close-$8.74

Open positions3

USD balance$0

12$0.02

Jul 12, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.02

Open-$8.74

High-$8.72

Low-$16.2

Close-$8.72

Open positions3

USD balance$0

13-$7.03

Jul 13, 2026

Daily PnL

-$7.03

Open-$8.72

High-$8.54

Low-$15.7

Close-$15.7

Open positions3

USD balance$0

14$4.82

Jul 14, 2026

Daily PnL

$4.82

Open-$15.7

High-$8.54

Low-$16.5

Close-$10.9

Open positions3

USD balance$0

15$2.39

Jul 15, 2026

Daily PnL

$2.39

Open-$10.9

High-$8.54

Low-$16.1

Close-$8.54

Open positions3

USD balance$0

16-$7.21

Jul 16, 2026

Daily PnL

-$7.21

Open-$8.54

High-$8.54

Low-$15.7

Close-$15.7

Open positions3

USD balance$0

17$4.5

Jul 17, 2026

Daily PnL

$4.5

Open-$15.7

High-$8.54

Low-$19

Close-$11.2

Open positions3

USD balance$0

18-$2.87

Jul 18, 2026

Daily PnL

-$2.87

Open-$11.2

High-$11.2

Low-$17.9

Close-$14.1

Open positions3

USD balance$0

20-$3.97

Jul 20, 2026

Daily PnL

-$3.97

Open-$14.1

High-$12.1

Low-$19.2

Close-$18.1

Open positions3

USD balance$0

21-$2.38

Jul 21, 2026

Daily PnL

-$2.38

Open-$18.1

High-$13

Low-$22.7

Close-$20.5

Open positions3

USD balance$0

22$2.97

Jul 22, 2026

Daily PnL

$2.97

Open-$20.5

High-$15.5

Low-$22.5

Close-$17.5

Open positions3

USD balance$0

23-$3.37

Jul 23, 2026

Daily PnL

-$3.37

Open-$17.5

High-$15.5

Low-$21.1

Close-$20.9

Open positions3

USD balance$0

24$5.4

Jul 24, 2026

Daily PnL

$5.4

Open-$20.9

High-$15.5

Low-$22.5

Close-$15.5

Open positions3

USD balance$0

25-$5

Jul 25, 2026

Daily PnL

-$5

Open-$15.5

High-$15.5

Low-$22.5

Close-$20.5

Open positions3

USD balance$0

26-$2.65

Jul 26, 2026

Daily PnL

-$2.65

Open-$20.5

High-$15.5

Low-$25.8

Close-$23.1

Open positions3

USD balance$0

27-$0.81

Jul 27, 2026

Daily PnL

-$0.81

Open-$23.1

High-$19

Low-$26

Close-$23.9

Open positions3

USD balance$0

28$1.52

Jul 28, 2026

Daily PnL

$1.52

Open-$23.9

High-$19

Low-$27.8

Close-$22.4

Open positions3

USD balance$0

29-$2.64

Jul 29, 2026

Daily PnL

-$2.64

Open-$22.4

High-$19

Low-$37.1

Close-$25.1

Open positions3

USD balance$0

30$3.99

Jul 30, 2026

Daily PnL

$3.99

Open-$25.1

High-$19

Low-$26

Close-$21.1

Open positions3

USD balance$0

Performance Summary

PnL Change

1D -$2.027D -$0.1930D -$8.41

Markets

Won

Lost

Win Rate

28.6%

Profit Factor

1.03x

Avg Win

$15.3

Avg Loss

-$5.96

Total Wins

$91.6

Total Losses

-$89.3

Avg. Hold Time

83d 10h 34m 23s

Best Win

$31.6

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Worst Loss

-$25

US government shutdown Saturday?

Period

Best Period

$40.7, Apr 17 – Apr 23

Worst Period

-$30.7, Apr 12 – Apr 18

Longest Streak

5d W / 5d L

Current Streak

1d W

Max Drawdown

-$67.1 (-1369.2%)

Current DD

-$31.7 (-297.1%)

Max Runup

$72.9 (117.2%)

Rebates

Rewards

Yield

$0.97(201)

Carlopol

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Volume

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Notional volume

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Carlopol

Trader DNA

Trader DNA