mrnotaninsider Polymarket Trader

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Volume

Fees

Trades

Avg trade size

					Merge
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? YesSports 1,797.45 shares	10.1¢ / 10.2¢	$2.75 (1.5%)	$176 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 13, 2026 11:48 PM
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? NoCrypto 31.25 shares	64.0¢ / 82.0¢	$5.63 (28.1%)	$20 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 13, 2026 11:44 PM
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026? YesPolitics 40.00 shares	25.0¢ / 10.0¢	-$6 (-60.0%)	$10 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 13, 2026 11:43 PM
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? NoPolitics 35.09 shares	57.0¢ / 46.0¢	-$3.86 (-19.3%)	$20 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 13, 2026 8:25 PM
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April? NoCryptoRedeemable 29.56 shares	67.7¢ / 100.0¢	$9.56 (47.8%)	$19.5 · 1	$0	$0	May 1, 2026 7:18 AM
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 April 13-19? YesCryptoRedeemable 40.38 shares	24.8¢ / 100.0¢	$30.4 (303.8%)	$9.45 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 17, 2026 5:03 PM
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 16? YesWeatherRedeemable 34.35 shares	58.2¢ / 100.0¢	$14.3 (71.7%)	$19.6 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 16, 2026 2:19 PM
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C or higher on April 16? YesWeatherRedeemable 26.18 shares	38.2¢ / 100.0¢	$16.2 (161.8%)	$9.69 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 16, 2026 6:03 AM
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 15? NoCryptoRedeemable 62.71 shares	39.9¢ / 100.0¢	$37.7 (150.9%)	$23.9 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 15, 2026 6:32 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET UpCryptoRedeemable 24.51 shares	40.8¢ / 100.0¢	$14.5 (145.1%)	$9.56 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 15, 2026 12:15 PM

Market	Entry / Current	PnL	Buys	Sells	Merge	Last Active
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on February 2? WonYesCrypto	33.9¢ / 100.0¢	$61.6 (162.1%)	$38 · 1	$99.6 · 1	$0	Feb 2, 2026 8:42 PM
Ethereum Up or Down - February 2, 11AM ET WonDownCrypto	33.0¢ / 100.0¢	$26.8 (202.7%)	$13.2 · 1	$40 · 1	$0	Feb 2, 2026 6:38 PM
Solana Up or Down - February 2, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET WonDownCrypto	39.0¢ / 100.0¢	$15.9 (79.5%)	$20 · 1	$35.9 · 1	$0	Feb 2, 2026 9:01 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET WonDownCrypto	64.9¢ / 100.0¢	$10.8 (54.2%)	$19.7 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 15, 2026 11:51 AM
Ethereum Up or Down - February 2, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET WonDownCrypto	63.9¢ / 100.0¢	$7.98 (56.6%)	$13.9 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 15, 2026 11:52 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET WonUpCrypto	65.9¢ / 100.0¢	$6.42 (32.1%)	$19.7 · 1	$26.4 · 1	$0	Feb 2, 2026 4:14 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET WonUpCrypto	77.6¢ / 100.0¢	$5.77 (28.9%)	$19.8 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 15, 2026 11:51 AM
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on February 2? WonNoCrypto	98.6¢ / 100.0¢	$1.34 (1.3%)	$100 · 1	$101 · 1	$0	Feb 2, 2026 8:43 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Lost	— / 100.0¢	$0	$0	$0	$0	Apr 13, 2026 3:46 PM
US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026? LostYesPolitics	9.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$5 (-100.0%)	$5 · 1	$0	$0	May 1, 2026 6:56 AM
Ethereum Up or Down - February 2, 11AM ET LostUpCrypto	68.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$5.04 (-100.0%)	$5.04 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 3, 2026 6:49 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET LostDownCrypto	28.3¢ / 0.0¢	-$7 (-100.0%)	$6.93 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 2, 2026 3:19 PM
Will Trump visit China by May 15? LostNoPolitics	24.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$10 (-100.0%)	$10 · 1	$0	$0	May 13, 2026 5:19 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET LostDownCrypto	15.1¢ / 0.0¢	-$10 (-100.0%)	$9.96 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 2, 2026 4:14 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET LostUpCrypto	50.8¢ / 0.0¢	-$10 (-100.0%)	$9.84 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 15, 2026 11:53 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET LostUpCrypto	31.6¢ / 0.0¢	-$15 (-100.0%)	$14.2 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 15, 2026 12:05 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET LostUpCrypto	46.7¢ / 0.0¢	-$17.9 (-100.0%)	$17.7 · 1	$0	$0	Feb 2, 2026 2:21 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 11AM ET LostUpCrypto	72.0¢ / 0.2¢	-$20 (-100.0%)	$20 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 15, 2026 11:53 AM
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31? LostYesPolitics	30.0¢ / 0.0¢	-$20 (-100.0%)	$20 · 1	$0	$0	Jun 1, 2026 7:18 AM
Will Trump visit China by May 31? LostNoPolitics	18.9¢ / 0.0¢	-$20 (-100.0%)	$20 · 1	$0	$0	May 13, 2026 4:19 PM
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? LostYesCrypto	30.6¢ / 0.0¢	-$20 (-100.0%)	$19 · 1	$0	$0	May 1, 2026 7:18 AM
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET LostDownCrypto	25.4¢ / 0.0¢	-$20 (-100.0%)	$18.9 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 13, 2026 4:00 PM
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET LostUpCrypto	7.5¢ / 0.0¢	-$20 (-100.0%)	$18.7 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 15, 2026 11:51 AM
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026? LostNoPolitics	34.2¢ / 0.0¢	-$25 (-100.0%)	$25 · 1	$0	$0	Apr 16, 2026 8:06 PM
Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in April? LostYesCrypto	68.1¢ / 0.0¢	-$30 (-100.0%)	$29.3 · 1	$0	$0	May 1, 2026 7:10 AM

mrnotaninsider Polymarket Trader

PnL Calendar

June 2026

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

1$9.99

Jun 1, 2026

Daily PnL

$9.99

Open-$577

High-$567

Low-$584

Close-$567

Open positions10

USD balance$0

2$5.59

Jun 2, 2026

Daily PnL

$5.59

Open-$567

High-$561

Low-$578

Close-$562

Open positions10

USD balance$1.24

3-$3.96

Jun 3, 2026

Daily PnL

-$3.96

Open-$562

High-$561

Low-$578

Close-$566

Open positions10

USD balance$1.26

4-$1.52

Jun 4, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.52

Open-$566

High-$562

Low-$575

Close-$567

Open positions10

USD balance$1.28

5$4.99

Jun 5, 2026

Daily PnL

$4.99

Open-$567

High-$560

Low-$580

Close-$562

Open positions10

USD balance$0

6$9.22

Jun 6, 2026

Daily PnL

$9.22

Open-$562

High-$553

Low-$569

Close-$553

Open positions10

USD balance$1.32

7-$7.45

Jun 7, 2026

Daily PnL

-$7.45

Open-$553

High-$552

Low-$572

Close-$560

Open positions10

USD balance$1.34

8-$3.29

Jun 8, 2026

Daily PnL

-$3.29

Open-$560

High-$543

Low-$567

Close-$564

Open positions10

USD balance$1.36

9$11

Jun 9, 2026

Daily PnL

$11

Open-$564

High-$515

Low-$571

Close-$553

Open positions10

USD balance$1.37

10-$1.8

Jun 10, 2026

Daily PnL

-$1.8

Open-$553

High-$537

Low-$560

Close-$554

Open positions10

USD balance$1.39

11$13.3

Jun 11, 2026

Daily PnL

$13.3

Open-$554

High-$523

Low-$554

Close-$541

Open positions10

USD balance$0

12-$5.08

Jun 12, 2026

Daily PnL

-$5.08

Open-$541

High-$533

Low-$557

Close-$546

Open positions10

USD balance$0

13$0.77

Jun 13, 2026

Daily PnL

$0.77

Open-$546

High-$544

Low-$560

Close-$545

Open positions10

USD balance$0

Performance Summary

PnL Change

1D $0.777D $6.8930D $4.54

Markets

Won

Lost

Win Rate

75.0%

Profit Factor

7.05x

Avg Win

$15.7

Avg Loss

-$6.67

Total Wins

$141

Total Losses

-$20

Avg. Hold Time

18d 8h 38m 50s

Best Win

$21.7

Ethereum Up or Down - February 2, 11AM ET

Worst Loss

-$120

Ethereum Up or Down - February 2, 12PM ET

Period

Best Period

$69.3, Apr 13 – Apr 20

Worst Period

-$88.1, Apr 26 – May 2

Longest Streak

6d W / 6d L

Current Streak

1d W

Max Drawdown

-$132 (-29.7%)

Current DD

-$100 (-22.6%)

Max Runup

$84 (15.9%)

Rebates

$0.02(1)

Rewards

Yield

$0.43(55)

mrnotaninsider

Analytics

Analytics

mrnotaninsider

mrnotaninsider

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Shares traded

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Volume

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Shares traded

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

Analytics

Volume (USD)

Yes vs No volume

Yes vs No trades

Avg trade size

Shares traded

Buy size distribution

Fees

Trade types

mrnotaninsider

Trader DNA

Trader DNA